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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    Yes. It's not like Bloom spent the weeks leading up to the deadline doing nothing. IMO, he looked into every possible deal that made any sense under his constraints. And I'm fine with his constraints of not trading away top prospects or exceeding the luxury tax limit.
  2. Kimmi
    As I've said before, it's not a matter of proving if something exists or doesn't exist. With clutch, there is overwhelming evidence that suggests that clutch doesn't exist. I have not seen any evidence that is statistically significant that suggests that clutch exists. Therefore, my opinion goes with the data. It is an opinion based on data, not on my bias. In fact, this particular opinion goes against what my biases would be. With the idea of comfort in the line up, there is no statistically significant evidence either way, for or against it. Therefore, I choose to believe it exists. I could have just as easily chosen to believe that it doesn't exist and asked you to prove that it does. Is this opinion based on my bias? Okay, I'll give you that. But it's not a bias that goes against any evidence. In short, there are numbers to support one opinion but there are no numbers to support the other. That's the difference in what you are viewing as inconsistencies or bias.
  3. Kimmi
    The Yankees aren't that good either. In the month of August, the Yankees are 10-2 in one and two run games. Luck. They will come back down to earth.
  4. Kimmi
  5. Kimmi
    The timing of the Red Sox' current free fall is really bad. Of course it seems like making a big splash at the deadline or failure to do so is the reason behind the way the month of August has gone. This is the same team that looked so great up until the ASB. If the team is so fragile that their inability to win is based on this, then they were never really that good a team to begin with. Getting someone like Rizzo would not have made the difference. If Cora cannot get this team turned around from their adversity, then maybe it's time for me to rethink my opinion of Cora's positive impact on the team.
  6. Kimmi
    The Red Sox will make the playoffs. Book it. The Yankees will come back down to reality. Many people had the Yankees dead in the water when they were 9-10 games out. If the Yankees can make up that much ground in 3 weeks, why do we count the Sox out when they are down by fewer games? Because we didn't make a trade acquisition?
  7. Kimmi
    Bad juju thread. But carry on.
  8. Kimmi
    This is interesting from Red Sox Stats. It seems both our pitchers and our hitters went from being clutch at points in the season to being chokers in August.
  9. Kimmi
    It's not bias. It's based on the research that has been done. Show me the evidence that comfort in the lineup has no effect on the number of runs scored and I will change my opinion.
  10. Kimmi
    No, it's not. If there is 0 correlation in something from year to year, then that something is not a repeatable skill. What happens is due to luck or randomness, not skill.
  11. Kimmi
    But you make it sound like it's a 50-50 thing as far as being proved or disproved. That's not the case. The data overwhelmingly suggests that clutch and choke do not exist.
  12. Kimmi
    It means that hitting in the clutch is random. It means that there is zero predictability in what a player will do in the clutch from season to season, or even week to week. It's much like 'momentum'.
  13. Kimmi
    That's a matter of opinion. LOL
  14. Kimmi
    Semantics. We went from a top 3 farm to a bottom 3 farm is 2 years. Call it what you want. I do give him credit for not trading Devers.
  15. Kimmi
    They have not proved that it doesn't exist.
  16. Kimmi
    The extreme of emptying our farm system.
  17. Kimmi
    They might not win any more WS before that happens. If you win a ring, then all is well. Just don't complain when you have to sit through seasons and offseasons like 2020 and 2021.
  18. Kimmi
    Good post Moon. The idea that any owner is going to just spend limitlessly year after year is just not reality. Yes, they can afford to do so, but they're not going to do it. It's not good business sense, plus as you mentioned, there are penalties beyond just the money. Henry has always been right around the tax penalty limit in payroll every year. In some years, he'll go over. In others, he won't. I don't see anything changing with that.
  19. Kimmi
    He has handed out insane contracts over his career, but I really don't have a problem with most of the contracts he gave out in Boston. I didn't like Price's contract, but unless I'm forgetting someone, I'm okay with the others.
  20. Kimmi
    If Sale and Schwarber contribute like we hope they will, the trade deadline moves take on a whole new look.
  21. Kimmi
    When you say Bloom has to win something, do you mean a World Series? My feeling is that it's really not fair to judge a GM by whether he wins a WS because of the randomness of playoffs. If you're talking about winning the division, I can get a little more on board with that opinion, though I'm not sure that's necessarily true either. If the team wins 100 games each season over the next 3 seasons and loses the division by 1 game, can we really fault Bloom? Also, I think this year has been a success regardless of the final outcome.
  22. Kimmi
    There isn't any evidence that either is true. If there's no evidence that a proposition is true or false, then you base your opinion on anecdotal evidence, which is all there is. If there is statistical evidence, then IMO, you have to go with what the numbers say.
  23. Kimmi
    I do not disagree with this.
  24. Kimmi
    The data that suggests that there is no such thing as clutch works both ways. "Clutch" stats, both in the positive and negative direction are largely random.
  25. Kimmi
    If there were no evidence suggesting that clutch doesn't exist, I would believe in it. I have had to change my opinion on certain things when the data suggests to me that my opinion was wrong. It's not that I'm picking and choosing which assertions can be accepted based on anecdotal evidence alone. It's that certain assertions have strong statistical evidence against them while others don't. Believe me, it has not been easy letting go of some of the ideas that I have believed in for as long as I can remember.
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