Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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Last year, MLB teams used an average of 11 different pitchers during the season. That includes teams like the Braves who used 16 pitchers and probably didn't need to use that many, but the point remains that teams need starting pitching depth. The median was also 11 pitchers. The Jays used the fewest number which was 7. Two teams used 8. Seven teams used 9. Four teams used 10. Six teams used 11. One team used 12. Two teams used 13. Three teams used 14. Three teams used 15. One team used 16.
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I don't think it's a matter of motivation. I think he gets to thinking too much on the mound. He needs to stop thinking and just pitch.
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Thank you. Spot on.
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Buchholz will almost certainly start, and my guess is that he will start for a good part of the season. We don't know which Buchholz we will get next year, but remember, Buchholz is an extremely good pitcher when he's right.
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^^This.
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I would much rather keep Buchholz and take a chance on our remaining BP guy than the other way around. Bullpen guys are a lot easier to replace than starters are, which is why their replacement level value is so much lower than starting pitchers.
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I really don't know how our depth stacks up with other teams. I am not concerned with having 5 or 6 pitchers ready to start the season. I am concerned with the inevitable injuries and/or underperformances that will occur as the season progresses. Do you think that the starting 5 or 6 are going to make every one of their scheduled starts all season long? If we trade Buchholz, then we have a starting 5. What happens if we lose one of those starters for 1/2 a season due to injury? What happens if pitching at 100% in the WBC in March messes ERod up for 2-3 months or longer?
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The points that you and Notin make about the roster crunch are valid points. It may be difficult to keep Elias on the 25 man roster.
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The one year commitment is a huge factor. Even if he tanks, most teams can eat a one year deal without too much hardship. It's the same reason why picking up Buchholz' options last year and this year made so much sense. As you said, a declining Beltran is a lot better than many other options. And as Bellhorn said, the contract is extremely reasonable.
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The Astros are apparently not out of the mix for Encarnacion, despite signing Beltran.
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I was reminded by something I read this morning that Dombrowski is pretty much a straight shooter. He has maintained that there would not be any big moves this offseason. I'm really thinking that that will be the case. A bullpen arm and maybe a couple of other minor moves, and that's it.
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If Beltran is playing well next season, he would be very tradeable. Why wouldn't he be?
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I think my biggest concern about the team is the depth of the starting rotation. I feel pretty good about Porcello, Price, ERod, Pomeranz, and Wright/Buchholz as our starting five, but what happens in case of injury or underperformance? ERod pitching in the World Baseball Classic does nothing to allay my concerns. Trading Buchholz or Elias would only add to my concerns. There's a long way to go in this offseason (unfortunately), so things may change, but right now I'm not in any hurry to trade any of our starting pitchers or potential starting pitchers for non-starters. Unless it's a deal that blows us away, of course.
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Since Ross is coming off an injury, it may be possible to sign him for a low guaranteed, high incentive contract. You're probably right that somebody will pay him more than he deserves though. As far as Johnson goes, the same could be asked about de la Rosa, no? Would de la Rosa be better than Owens, and would he be better than Johnson?
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That could be. If they really wanted Beltran, however, they could have acquired him and worried about shedding payroll later. Honestly, unlike last offseason, I really don't know what the FO's plans are, outside of getting an 8th inning reliever. Dombrowski may have some big blockbuster up his sleeve, he may be planning a series of mid-size moves, or he may do almost nothing.
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Are you talking to me? Scratch that. I know you're talking to me. The randomness in baseball that I love so much is about what takes place on the field, not in the decisions on how the game is going to be played. There is a difference. And FTR, you are misquoting me on the ball and strike thing.
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IMO, using best record is a lot better.
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No, it doesn't. It might not be fair for teams in stronger divisions, but it at least makes sense.
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Fair enough point about the roster crunch. I may be wrong, but I just can't see the Sox getting rid of Elias who could be a solid back end starter for us. Or maybe it's just me hoping that the Sox don't get rid of him. As the saying goes, these things have a way of working themselves out. As unfair as it might be, someone like Barnes might start the season in AAA because he has options remaining.
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I was thinking the same thing about Beltran's deal. It is extremely reasonable and I can't imagine that the Sox couldn't outbid it if they really wanted Beltran.
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We really don't know if the FO is intending to get under the luxury tax cap this season or not. They might wait until next season to do so. My guess is that they will make some tweaks to the roster during the offseason and wait until midseason to re-evaluate. If Pablo is not cutting it, he might be traded or even DFA'd for some salary relief. Or Buchholz might be. I would re-sign Koji, but not at anywhere near the $9 million he made last year.
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LOL This almost made me spit my coffee out. I think the Rays have a stranglehold on the "Logans". At least they did. Will they make it back to the postseason before their Logans are gone?
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I agree with you Notin. Alternating years just seems so random.
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Last I read, Elias was pitching pretty well in whatever fall league he's pitching in. I can't see the Sox getting rid of him.
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Absolutely. Unfortunately, I think many other teams are thinking the same thing.
