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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    Pom ended up pitching a very decent game after a very shaky start. Good to see.
  2. Kimmi
    The stat geeks at Baseball Prospectus have quantified this to the best of their ability. They have found that "the benefit of late inning defensive replacements is so small that attempting to find superior managers in that regard is nearly impossible."
  3. Kimmi
    Exactly my though process. LOL
  4. Kimmi
    I am actually the exact opposite. I have drafted an almost all Yankees team, and refuse to have any Sox players on my team for fear of jinxing them. My hope is to jinx the Yankees, but if that doesn't work, at least I get some benefit out of them playing well. To be clear, I NEVER pull for the Yankees to play well. I would much rather my fantasy team take the hit.
  5. Kimmi
    #5 is redundant
  6. Kimmi
    A biased opinion, for sure.
  7. Kimmi
    Haha, good one Kelly! I thought they way that he moved around the crowd during one of the games of his suspension was awesome. I've never had an issue with him to begin with. I like him even more now.
  8. Kimmi
    I love Kimbrel. Let me be clear that I will be very happy if the Sox re-sign him. I just think it would be a bad idea contractually.
  9. Kimmi
    I do not disagree with any of this.
  10. Kimmi
    Yes he was, largely in part to his great K/W ratio. He pitched better than the other closers. But in terms of save %, which is ultimately the goal of the closer, there were others better than Kimbrel. Kimbrel just got it done in a more dominating fashion. Which I really like, I must admit. I'm still not paying an arm and a leg for any relief pitcher.
  11. Kimmi
    Ha. Excellent.
  12. Kimmi
    That few million could be better spent elsewhere, meaning that it could bring more of an upgrade to the team than re-signing Kimbrel would be. It's not just about spending money on the closer versus not spending money on the closer. The team's resources are not unlimited.
  13. Kimmi
    I'm not talking about signing a lesser closer just to save money. IMO, a 'very good closer', aka a Craig Kimbrel type, can be found for a lot less money than what I think Kimbrel is going to command. The best closers seemingly often come out of nowhere. Also, those huge contracts to relievers almost never work out. As good as Kimbrel was last year, he was about the 8th best closer in terms of save %. Some better closers are making $2 to $4 mil a year.
  14. Kimmi
    I have no problem with anyone disagreeing with a manager's decision. I disagree with and question moves frequently, though I do try to give the manager the benefit of the doubt. You are actually making the point that I am trying to make, that whether a decision was good or bad is not based on the outcome.
  15. Kimmi
    Many of the decisions are more or less a coin flip. There are good decisions and bad decisions. However, most managers are typically not going to make decisions that are so egregious as to have a huge impact on the outcome of the game. Most 'bad' decisions are not so bad that they are indefensible.
  16. Kimmi
    Great choice. JBay is a very level headed poster. Congrats!
  17. Kimmi
    The philosophy is to spend the resources strengthening the team in other areas. A very good closer can be found for a much cheaper price.
  18. Kimmi
    Believe it or not, I am not at all a fan of defensive shifts.
  19. Kimmi
    I think everyone here is a knowledgeable baseball fan who can discern good from bad decisions. That said, I think a large majority of decisions could go either way. Do you want to let Sale (who has been cruising along but is at 110 pitches) get the last out of an inning or do you want to pull him for a fresh reliever? A case could be made for either choice. If Cora leaves Sale in and he gives up a bomb, then many would say Cora should have pulled Sale. OTOH, if Cora brings in Kelly or Kimbrel, who then gives up a bomb, then many would say Cora should have let Sale get the last out of the inning.
  20. Kimmi
    IMO, what a manager does off the field can have a fairly significant impact on how the players perform. I think the clubhouse management has a lot bigger impact on a team's record than the in game decisions.
  21. Kimmi
    Here's one example that I can give because I have the run expectancy data for the two situations. Let's say that there's a runner on 1B, no outs, in the bottom of the 9th, with the team down by one run. Your #9 hitter is up at the plate. Do you have him sac bunt or swing away? Let's assume the sac bunt will be successful. From a run expectancy viewpoint, the team's chances of scoring a run in that inning dropped by 1.9%, from 41.6% to 39.7%. The difference is not very significant at all. Sadly for me, I don't have access to all of the run expectancy data on how Pitcher A would fare in a situation versus Pitcher B, but the stat geeks do. From what I've read, that difference is surprisingly small.
  22. Kimmi
    I am convinced that the Red Sox lose games and the Yankees win games based on what I do/say or fail to do/say. And yet at the same time, I know that can't possibly be true.
  23. Kimmi
    A valid consideration for the team as a whole. Like I said, I don't know if the frequent days off are having a negative effect on the players or not. It certainly doesn't seem to be affecting Mookie. The philosophy seemed to work for the Astros. That doesn't necessarily mean it will work for the Sox.
  24. Kimmi
    The vast majority of managers' moves are defensible. For one, the managers likely have reasons/insight behind their decisions that we fans are not aware of. For two, from a strictly numbers viewpoint, the run/win expectancy between Decision A and Decision B, BEFORE the event occurs, is usually so small that it virtually makes little difference whether the manager goes with A or B. For many fans, the decision becomes a good or a bad decision based on whether it worked or not.
  25. Kimmi
    Red Sox Homers are the best. Yankees Homers, not so much. Homer Simpson is somewhere in between.
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