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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    It's the major American hub on the East Coast ... flying there is a non-issue
  2. sk7326
    Well naturally it would be Charlotte or somewhere in the Triangle. I think San Antonio or Austin (who could draw fans from both places being only an hour and half apart) is a natural. San Jose has wanted the A's (and vice versa) for years but the anti trust exemption has blocked it.
  3. sk7326
    It motivated doing it - but without willing cities and large expansion fees it'd have not happened. 32 teams, 4 divisions - 12 games in the division, 9 out of the division, 6 interleague games. It's a more balanced schedule - 135 of the teams 162 games are identical in each league. Division winners make it, 4 wild cards otherwise. Two wild card games. Elimination games are awesome, and we should have more of them.
  4. sk7326
    My defense of numbers guys is "I love baseball so much I am doing dorky math stuff about it". It is complementary to the eye stuff. And it gives me some perspective since of course just watching the Sox means my opinions are skewed in both directions. That Jackson catch becomes exponentially more impressive with the wide angle view and you saw just how far he ran and tracked that.
  5. sk7326
    I suspect he is also hurt by having an outstanding defender next to him ... there are just not as many plays as other CFs might get.
  6. sk7326
    Andruw was just phenomenal. He was the hardest omission on my pretend HoF ballot. His career just fell off a cliff after age 30. He also suffered from being a prodigy - starring in the WS as a 19 year old - so whatever very goodness he achieved always left you wanting.
  7. sk7326
    I am very much for the Rays and A's moving. The A's have wanted to go to San Jose for years while the territorial monopoly issues have held it back. Personally 32 teams makes a lot of logistical things much easier ...
  8. sk7326
    Of course not - Baseball America is using its own assessment (and probably cross checking with the metrics) Also of course the metrics are largely range based - which does shortchange someone who has an exceptional throwing arm. Bradley I suspect is shortchanged by the metrics for having a similarly superb player to his left. (Betts who has lapped the field in DRS in RF the last 2 seasons) Bradley is an exceptional defender who has made some of the most amazing plays I have ever seen in CF. (for the record, that Austin Jackson catch last year was the best catch I've ever seen made at Fenway)
  9. sk7326
    My rules of thumb have been 1) don't get hung up on fractions of wins when comparing players, 2) be skeptical of WAR built on defense or heavy platooning
  10. sk7326
    The population is larger - the baseball playing population is larger. Growing the game is a good thing - that doesn't really get accomplished via contraction or whatever. You can fix the inequity you mention by just having a more balanced schedule. (I'd do 12 teams in division, 9 games cross division and 6 interleague).
  11. sk7326
    No need to apologize. WAR IS FLAWED - so is everything else. WAR gets closer to an all-in-one approximation of overall player value than anything else publicly available (teams probably are making their own more precise versions of it) ... that's all. Now - it is silly for us to EXPECT that there would be a unified "stat" which would be 100% accurate. There would be no need for player evaluation if that were true! But if you look at 17% (if that's what you want) ... that means you can take everybody within a win or so Jose Ramirez' 8 and put them in the MVP soup ... and that's pretty good. Personally, with regards to awards and such - I think WAR is useful for identifying the tiers ... and then you have to dive further after that.
  12. sk7326
    Probably not - but considering there could (should) be an extra position player slot available ... that said, let's see if there is a trade left before the real deadline
  13. sk7326
    you mean practically or statutorily? We can still add guys and have them be playoff eligible.
  14. sk7326
    The Springsteen cover on the Live album is almost as good.
  15. sk7326
    17% is the difference between 60 and 70 RBIs ... that is not big WAR is not abstract - nothing abstract has that sort of detailed explanation.
  16. sk7326
    The problem with that is it means you are planning for an extra pitcher - and for a team with the Red Sox aspirations, that is a pitcher who can give some major league innings. Buchholz' inability to pitch regularly (which has continued in Arizona) is the real problem.
  17. sk7326
    True - and that is a mistake. But WAR can cull big differences - and then the little ones become where you have to make your own decisions. Again - RBIs and Wins are used the same way and they are far more problematic as stats.
  18. sk7326
    WAR rankings of past AL MVPs 2017 - Altuve #1 2016 - Trout #1 2015 - Donaldson #2 (Trout was #1) 2014 - Trout - #2 (Kluber was #1) 2013 - Cabrera - #4 (Trout) 2012 - Cabrera - #5 (Trout) 2011 - Verlander - #1 2010 - Hamilton - #1 2009 - Mauer - #3 (Greinke) 2008 - Pedroia - #2 (Markakis) Now there have been some silly votes. Victor Martinez finishing 2nd in the MVP in 2014, or Mark Texeira in 2009 (neither were in the AL Top Ten). But the writers have gotten smarter about the new tools. If we go with bWAR it's Betts, Trout, Ramirez, Chapman, Lindor ...fWAR has a harder time with Chapman compared to the other 4 ... but again none of them are BAD choices. WAR is not a way to end the discussion, but a way to start it.
  19. sk7326
    I would submit that RBIs have a much much worse track record at identifying good hitters for example. Pitcher wins as well.
  20. sk7326
    I could see Boston offering a deal like that anyway - something which amounts to a 3 year guarantee with some vesting etc.
  21. sk7326
    I'd put it this way - the Price deal has "not" worked out ... that is, this was a below-median outcome for his first 3 years. That said, if a "bad" outcome is that he is more a fringy 2/excellent #3, that's not shabby.
  22. sk7326
    The question is what Sale's durability concerns do to his market. Will someone really give him 6 years. Boston should have no qualms about offering a very lucrative, short-ish deal. (3 years, $100-$110M) There are some tax concerns - but they are Henry profitability concerns more than baseball ones.
  23. sk7326
    Pitcher: Hector Velasquez. This is not difficult. The Red Sox have asked him to do a lot of things, and he has been consistently very effective. Given his stuff, I worry about whether it will continue to hold up, but he deserves this. Position: Moreland/Pearce. The tag team has allowed them to have a very productive 1B position for considerably less money than him and Ramirez. It has not been sexy but it has been very effective - and on a team which has had trouble getting offense from C and 2B for a lot of the season, the depth helped.
  24. sk7326
    I think what people got sick of was Buchholz lack of durability and very high variability. That he has been good for Arizona is not a surprise - he has always had elite stuff. And he has always had elite stretches.
  25. sk7326
    Martinez was a victim of Pujols contract. Yeah, Martinez did not have background in 1B like Pujols did, but there is no doubt that they could put him at 1B if it came down to it.
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