sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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In the latter case - they did not materially impact their ability to contend. Since all of their best players were on pre-arb kind of deals (save for Price) - they were able to do this while adding to the team. 2014 involved placing some bets that did not work, and a commentary on the general sustainability of 2013. And their big pay/no pay decision was Ellsbury - and 99 out of 100 dentists would have recommended the Red Sox let him walk.
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Now Price not opting out is a mixed blessing. If he was fantastic, he probably opts out - and in a sense the deal worked out for everybody. But he has been good. The $30M would have been nice for lots of reasons - but not a big deal ultimately. As long as this team is competitive, they'll pay for the roster. Some of their roster choices will be tricky (Bogaerts and Bradley and Sale in their own ways) but ownership has been willing to pay for a contender, and there is no reason to think that will change. (and again given the price charged to consumers - that certainly is the way it ought to be)
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I'm in Fairfax County - looks like it will be like last weekend to us ... rainy, icky but clearly the folks down south will get it a lot worse
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Yeah, Swihart is an unusually good athlete for a catcher ... I am pretty confident he can handle any corner position pretty well, and possibly fake 2B if things got desperate.
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September 13, 2018 7 That is all
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Right - while it is good to deal with tough pitches by going the other way ... the better way is laying off the pitches and forcing them to give you something to drive.
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To get to 106, they have to go 8-10. I don't think it's an either/or. Really the question should be asked once the magic number is exhausted.
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ARod is a giant dork - which works on the broadcast.
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Unlike 2014 - the team has handled Devers exactly right ... bat him low in the lineup and let him learn. Now later in the season platoon him a bit with other guys ... it has been good they have not jerked around his playing time.
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Yeah I can see that - though I never liked his stuff. Guys with that velo should miss more bats.
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I think he's good athlete and it's harder to find good 3B than good 1B - so you stick it out and give him a chance. I agree there. And obviously Devers has a higher ceiling than their other 3B prospects ...
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The best reason to move Devers to 1B is if a superior option shows up - and you have to project some improvement with Devers (not just because he is young, but because he has had a habit of conquering levels given time). Now 3B is the org's best position - and the most likely place for a legit stud to show up.
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Moreland is a placeholder until a superior option announces itself - if he's a full time starter, we did it wrong. There was not a superior option this year so Dombrowski traded for a platoon partner to optimize the situation.
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He's been one of the top 20-30 players this year. He's been the 3rd best Red Sox hitter overall, and their 2nd best baserunner. Now the season would look sexier with 25 HRs, but 79 RBIs and nearly 100 runs scored is nothing to sneeze at. I mean it's kind of a middle class version of Jose Altuve - who wouldn't want that?
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I don't think it's 100%. But I think if this were a life and death struggle, Sale would have pitched more.
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Devers is younger than the 3rd pick in the 2018 MLB draft. That he did not explode this year is not a surprise. His trajectory is still super encouraging. Defensively he needs to improve - but if he doesn't it's not a big deal. His bat plays at 1B and 3B is probably the org's biggest strength as far as position players go. Casas might be the org's #1 prospect generally Chavis profiles there Dalbec has shown he can defend the position well - question is whether he can make enough contact to play
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Pomeranz - this is easy There were first rounders in this past draft younger than Devers. No reason for it to be a straight road.
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i'm worried about every team that qualifies - all it takes is a slightly better or slightly worse run of pitching.
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The Sox knew they were giving up a premium prospect. At the same time, I think Dombrowski - not unreasonably - decided that the high variability that comes with an 18 year old pitcher in Single A was enough reason to cash him in to help the major league club who had a division to win. I did not love the move - but my disagreement is more in the "I disagree, but I get where he's coming from, and his view is pretty reasonable" vs "What the heck is that guy doing?"
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Top 20 fWAR 2014-2018 pitchers 1. Clayton Kershaw (High School) 2. Corey Kluber (College) 3. Chris Sale (College) 4. Max Scherzer (College) 5. Jacob DeGrom (College) 6. David Price (College) 7. Zack Greinke (High School) 8. Justin Verlander (College) 9. Jake Arrieta (College) 10. Carlos Carrasco (Intl) 11. Stephen Strasburg (College) 12. Jose Quintana (Intl) 13. Gerrit Cole (College) 14. Jon Lester (High School) 15. Chris Archer (High School) 16. Dallas Kuechel (College) 17. Madison Bumgarner (High School) 18. Johnny Cueto (Intl) 19. Cole Hamels (High School) 20. Trevor Bauer (College) 11 of the top 20 here were college players. Of the 6 high schoolers - only Lester and Archer were not drafted in the first round. So there seems to be a slight bias to college success here - much more stark trend at the top of the list. The physical maturity matters. College kids in general are safer, but the upside for college pitchers is still really high, especially compared to say college middle field prospects.
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At this point the additional 20-30 innings of value is a lot to overcome. This is like the Beckett-Sabbathia race of 2007. Beckett in a lot of ways was better but Sabbathia pitched more than 40 more innings and you can't ignore that.
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I think if the Red Sox needed Sale to start, he would have. It was one of the perks of being 50 games above .500
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Booo!!! Scouting the stat line, boo!!!!! There are reasons to be skeptical of Espinoza - but the stat line ain't it. He struck out 100 guys in 108 innings as the league's youngest regular. He did not dominate the level you'd expect "the next pedro" to do - but he was very good and still very much profiled as a potential top of the rotation sort.
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I think he is a very strong candidate for a 1-year prove it deal.
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fWAR leaders among position players 2014-2018 1. Mike Trout (High School) 2. Mookie Betts (High School) 3. Jose Altuve (Intl) 4. Josh Donaldson (College) 5. Paul Goldschmidt (College) 6. Giancarlo Stanton (High School) 7. Manny Machado (High School) 8. Freddie Freeman (High School) 9. Anthony Rendon (College) 10. Kris Bryant (College) 11. Joey Votto (College) 12. Anthony Rizzo (High School) 13. Nolen Arenado (High School) 14. Lorenzo Cain (High School) 15. Francisco Lindor (High School) 16. Bryce Harper (High School) 17. Christian Yelich (High School) 18. Buster Posey (College) 19. Justin Turner (College) 20. Matt Carpenter (College) Some conclusions If you want a catcher or a corner infielder, largely who cares - 7 of the 11 guys on this list went to college. (Carpenter was drafted as a 3B - though he has played 2B in the majors) Anybody else, high school was very much dominated. Teams have definitely wanted to get elite athletes as young as possible - and it makes sense. Pitchers are much more college biased - the physical maturity just matters so much there.