sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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I think there is more reason to believe in him that not for sure. At the same time he is a 2 month rental - and you have to price him accordingly.
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No they're not. They are rich - now there will be some decisions ... but nobody is being let go because the Red Sox CAN'T do something. Henry has to spend money - sad! But the draft pick penalty is barely punitive (if the team you are buying is in fact actually good).
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No single player can move the needle that much. Besides, the Red Sox are pretty good right now, and they have enough depth that they can actually just not play Bradley if Cora loses confidence in him.
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The Sox gave up a couple of guys they won't miss. It is probably the cost of Anaheim eating some of Kinsler's money. Once Philips got hurt (and even if he didn't) contingencies for 2B were thin. If Kinsler doesn't work out - the Sox can probably fake it with Nunez and Holt anyway. But Kinsler clearly has much more upside than those guys. Just a smart low key move for Dombrowski.
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Why? Boston is up 4 games on the Astros.
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Not many teams do
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A ballpark where fly balls go to die
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Beeks COULD be quite good for Tampa ... but his style of pitching is much more of a fit in Tampa than Boston.
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Also the slide of Moreland is overrated - it was why Boston traded for Pearce. It's both a lefty masher and a solid hedge against Moreland just being Moreland. It's still an effective platoon.
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Agreed - he has always been their highest ceiling catcher.
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They needed a warm body to get them through the fall - Eovaldi qualifies. He can pitch in the postseason if necessary - although you are going to have a quick hook and use "all star rules" in his outings.
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Swihart played 2B in high school ... I am surprised they have not given him some reps there yet.
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He has the Joe Kelly thing - where his fastball is straight and does not get the results you would think from the radar gun.
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Take the time? Players do not have infinite talent level. You make the best assessment you can. He did not miss bats in his big league trials - and he was outstanding in AAA. He might be a 4A sort of guy. Moreover - a guy like him (command guy, doesn't miss a lot of bats) will probably play up in Tampa.
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Probably - but as Alex Speier noted who cares? The draft penalty for the Red Sox is very small. If Henry wants to pay the 62.5% marginal rate, who am I to stop him. The Red Sox - given their current "reloading" stage on the farm - can't get guys with prospects alone. Their ability to absorb money will have to come into play.
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Clay Buchholz - Is he worth the 2016 option?
sk7326 replied to Slasher9's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
That is an All-Star level changeup - the command came and went but the stuff was ace level. -
The way I look at it - the team needs another starter to get through the season healthy. I am not sure how much impact he will have in the playoffs - but we have to get there without destroying the bullpen. So this helps - for a pretty modest price.
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Nate Eovaldi to the Sox for Jalen Beeks I understand the move. Beeks is a command guy, and might just be a 4A guy. I do think Beeks will do better going to Tampa's run prevention environment. Eovaldi is definitely a Dombrowski sort of pitcher. He gives the sox rotation some more certainty ... although he has a bit of that Joe Kelly disease, where his fastball does not get as much swing and miss as the radar gun says it should.
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No. But if you don't have an actual answer - he is a good impersonator.
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WAR is accurate directionally - magnitude is as precise as the inputs. Because measuring defense is hard - and because the idea of a replacement player is inherently tricky - there is some level of error. As I will note, RBIs are a made up stat too - with far less rigor.
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I didn't watch - frankly it is too long, though from my memory of last year the clock helps. A more varied skills competition would be cool - but I am not sure what that would look like.
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That is pretty fair
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That is a fantastic season - and at that point, really the difference in WAR gets bogged down in noise and the squishier areas of quantification (read: defense, replacement level)
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I think he has been a positive. In a sense we are arguing something unknowable. And - we are arguing something causal about last year's performance when injuries and youth explain it just as well. I am more comfortable arguing for Martinez tangible value (massive upgrade at DH/OF, especially in the specific way the team needed).
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It is super interesting to be in the "players are human" camp - although being pro analytics certainly does not contradict that. (Cora is very much both!) Analytics are great to answer "what happened", "why it happened" (or more accurately the reverse - eliminating reasons why it happened), and a certain degree of "how it happened"). Where analytics fail - where the scouts, coaches, manager and players take the mantle - is how to fix it in the real world. How does the manager implement that? Well, clearly some of that is developing a plan with the org and with his coaches - and then there is the squishy stuff. Of course that stuff matters. And of course it is no guarantee what Cora is doing is built to last. It might be. (I think he was labeled to be really really good at this for a few years now) But Farrell established a different work environment which at times was also effective. There was a resourcefulness and intensity in the last two years - especially last year where the team fought through a lot of adversity to have a good season. (some of that adversity of their own making)