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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. Napoli has been okay, on pace for being a 3 win player, maybe a bit less. For 1/5 of Gonzalez' salary pretty good. Gonzalez was a case of the Red Sox (and frankly the industry) being fooled into thinking he was an amazing 1B when he is merely a good one. Most of the OBP was from being pitched around so much in San Diego - and his approach in 2012 was awful for so much of the season. He is a good 1B, but not Joey Votto or 2009 Albert Pujols, who he was being paid like. fWAR FWIW has Napoli at 2.2 and Gonzalez at 2.3. Really Gonzalez decline from his MVP-flavored San Diego/2011 Boston days has been sharp. His fielding and athleticism (by 1B standards) will ease the decline but his days as a true monster are probably done.
  2. man strikes out a ton - but he is also getting on at a solid clip. Not really a better option - and he has been solid. The strikeouts look bad but really don't matter.
  3. He is definitely the plan for Ellsbury's departure - I am expecting Ellsbury to be gone. Bradley to me has less ceiling, but chance for elite defense, already has an excellent batting eye (even with a .133 BA he was getting on base as much as WMB) and solid in the other areas. Yeah he is probably not a 50+ SB sort, but that matters way less than it seems. Also remember he had like 61 PA above single-A entering this season. The time to just get reps has helped.
  4. Not sure how much of an overpay it was ... it definitely was reflective of a sport that is starting to understand the value of defense and ballpark effects and not just batting average and RBIs. Elite defensive 3B whose bat more than justified it when you took out his horrid home park out of the equation. Red Sox paid him a little less, but I suspect it was quid pro quo. Red Sox did not want to tie up the position and Beltre needed a place where he could put up the counting stats for his reputation to be totally repaired.
  5. Beltre was a steal - helps to leave Safeco doesn't it. I get not signing him - though he is a HoF level 3B. Their plan made sense but when Youkilis' body broke down the 3B position became a hole. And when the injuries piled up in general, you get the "collapse" and then the 2012 disaster.
  6. Even then, when a dude can't play Center Field - it is hard to empty the farm anyway.
  7. Only one guy is paying attention to his career - so I don't blame him. But obviously the team can use him. I think the length was caused by the setback earlier. At least everybody is on the same page here now on his prognosis.
  8. Progress is not a straight line up. Even Mike Trout had a slow patch early in the year before getting back to his first year levels. Rizzo clearly has shown enough to commit good money to him. Middlebrooks is a little different in that a serious scouting problem that was a question even coming up the minors has bitten him - and usually "approach at the plate" is a skill that is very hard to teach. But yeah, he should be at least an average regular and he has not gotten there yet at all. Cespedes has had some shaky BABIP luck but yeah has struggled - but there are more tools than WMB. Machado has slowed a bit - but he's a definite future star sort.
  9. On Aug 31, everybody on the 25 man roster is eligible. Everybody on the disabled list is eligible. However, if anybody on the disabled list is STILL on the DL when the regular season ends - the team gets to replace that person with another player who was in the org as of August 31. So - considering Miller, Hanrahan and Bailey are all out for the season, that's 3 names right away. Kalish and Ross are also strong candidates to also still be on the DL by season's end. That's 2 more possible replacements. The Red Sox used this quirk in the rules in 2007 to get Ellsbury onto the playoff roster. And Aaron Sele's injury for Anaheim in 2002 allowed them to put K-Rod on in the same vein.
  10. Have hard time trading that much for any corner OF ... even with his age and homeruns.
  11. By my count, Sox will have probably 3-5 free playoff roster slots ... so Boegarts can be snuck onto the postseason roster without worrying about the August 31 date. That said, I think next week represents a really opportunistic time to add him to the club. Lesser opponents, quieter circumstances for a big debut.
  12. also - let's be honest ... no ML team really uses AAA as a prospect level anymore. It's a parking lot for guys the big league team need - so Workman heading back down really has no significance aside from just roster usage. At least he's getting paid still - this isn't the Patriots cutting Ross Ventrone every single week like they did in 2011.
  13. Obviously have no inside info here. HOWEVER - consider next week, 10 game road trip - three low profile-ish opponents (Houston, KC, Toronto). If Boegarts is coming - makes sense to bring him up next week and allow him to get his feet wet without the circus that would come with debuting at Fenway.
  14. I don't think there is a rush either - though he has shown enough to argue that he is their best option. That is the more interesting deal. That said, I would not expect any sort of promotion like that to take place until the Sox are on the road. Also, with Bailey, Hanrahan, Miller, Kalish and Ross all having disabled list stints which will (or might) last the rest of the regular season - that's up to 5 additional playoff eligible positions Sox can sneak a callup onto - so the urgency to promote before September is a lot less.
  15. The 2010 team. There has been a lot of part timers who have been key contributors. The team has had to scrap a LOT. The 2010 team missed the playoffs because the players who absolutely could not afford to get injured all did - yet they found 89 wins anyway. 2007 is not fair - that was a true juggernaut and the best team in baseball pretty much wire to wire. The Red Sox regardless of record do not have that level of quality this season. 2003-4 their lineup was otherworldly - also unfair
  16. He is a viable option for them - I can see them doing some machinations to keep him postseason eligible. Sox have a severe lack of multi inning relief options - it's basically Workman, Wright or bust. I expect the Sox will do everything they can to at least have access to him for the playoff roster.
  17. BTW: his twitter feed is amazing. The dude is like 250 years old and he churns out the volume - and is there a topic he won't blather about?
  18. Rays had a stretch of pitching where the starting staff collectively performed like 1999 Pedro. That is not something you can bet on. Tonight though was a bit of a clinic on dealing with really good pitching. Felix was very good, but we competed - had good at bats, got the pitch count up. Did not have much to show for it, but it did get us into the bullpen - and every second not facing Felix was a chance to claw back.
  19. Without a doubt especially on a dollar for dollar level. The durability concern with Uehara is there (why he's not paid more) but otherwise ... tonight was pretty special. Wright probably gets squeezed by Peavy's arrival - Workman becomes the "multi-inning reliever" most likely. But he has shown some value.
  20. We were due ... after earlier a run scored after a blown strike 3 call off of Dempster ... Gomes REALLY lucky to have another chance and cashed it in
  21. Drew evokes memories of Mark Bellhorn (better defensively). Has been fairly effective at SS, but obscured by the sheer volume of strikeouts.
  22. Holt was brought up because he can back up SS/2B absolutely. Honestly when they did not promote Middlebrooks immediately - the sign to me is the internal discussion is on Boegarts. They can fake 3B enough for now - but AAA is not a prospect level anymore. It is a big league taxi squad - they would not have promoted Boegarts to this level if there were not serious big league thoughts about him.
  23. Michael Young was not urgent before the deadline because he could come to them anyway. Decent chance he'll be blocked, but the Phillies might be happy to unload him - enough to spook teams from claiming willy nilly.
  24. He would not have given up a starting SS for a rental. One additional year of control with a vesting option that will not kick in at what is basically the going rate for a guy his caliber? That makes Iggy a fair price.
  25. The Peavy move is leverage either way. Red Sox rotation is good enough now with or without Buchholz. Maybe not 69 Orioles or nothin, but good enough to crank out competitive start after competitive start. If you step back and see, it's been almost three weeks since a starter REALLY did not perform.
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