sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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You look at the months where they hit - they have. If 4.00 is the magic number, 3 of the 6 teams at 4.00 or above have .500 or better records. Lots of ways to win. Hell, the leading and 6th best ERAs in the league have worse records than Boston.
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5th there are options ... Wright, Johnson, Owens ... guys you haven't thought of yet ... skip a turn from time to time ... I am not delusional here. As you noted in a previous post, the months where the Sox have hit, they have been an above-average team. No reason to think that will change given that condition.
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Span Poll: Can 2015 be salvaged for the Boston Red Sox ?
sk7326 replied to a700hitter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Cutting Masterson makes a lot of sense - reason you sign him for 1-year is to be able to blast him without any regrets Napoli needs to be platooned at best - really a Hanley-Sandoval-Napoli platoon between 3B and 1B would not be unreasonable, which would also allow them to back up LF a bit better I do think Johnson will be up by the end of the break. The team is saved by being the AL East where one 20-7 sort of month probably wins the thing. At the same time, the players are playing better - this season has been more about underperformance than pure talent gaps. I think the front office hesitation so far has really been about figuring out whether they are buying or not. The truth is, without these 25 guys playing better, adding guys will not do much. But they are playing better, and that's important. -
You know ... if they got any sort of improvement from Porcello, a Buchholz-Rodriguez-Porcello-Miley Top 4 is workable, especially with the uptick in the lineup production
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BTW: He won't, because of W/L and the general fetish with relievers in the midsummer classic, but Buchholz being an All-Star would not be crazy at all
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Miley at his price is totally reasonable. I actually like him. There have been a couple of horrific starts. But he has swing and miss, and there is that sort of toughness that you saw out of a guy like Lackey. The ability to cobble together a workable start on a day when his command is basically nil. Of the pitching acquisitions and extensions, his is harder to quibble with.
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And when you adjust for SoS and quality of fielders behind them and parks, it evens out ... 2.8/2.5 (bWAR/fWAR) for Lackey, 2.4/2.8 for Porcello I suppose the FO Calculus was replacing LAckey with somebody of equivalent quality but 9 years younger. Plenty of time to adjudicate this - his compensation is not silly, but clearly this is not what either party expected.
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Porcello had as good a season as John Lackey had the last two seasons - he has been bad this year, duh
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Apparently Daisuke Matsuzaka is pitching this game? Yeesh
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What is interesting about Cherington is that the areas where an "eye for talent" actually matters, he has been quite good.
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I always thought the Donaldson thing was basically analogous to Beane owning a $200,000 house and then Anthopolous one day bullshitting on a phone call that he'd pay $500,000 for that house. Beane: "You'd give them up? You serious?" AA: "Well, whatever. Not like Donaldson is on the market. That'd be stupid." Beane: "Sure, yeah. I gotta go." (click!)
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All Stars? Xander Bogaerts is 2nd in SS fWAR to date. He'd be a fine choice, although Carlos Correa in just 22 games has made an amazing charge Pedroia has had a really nice bounceback season (at least at the plate) Mookie Betts could be in the mix, although CF is pretty stacked There are way way way way too many reliever on All-Star rosters in general, but given that both Uehara and Tazawa deserve looks too. My guess would be Pedroia
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Here is the thing about blaming the pitching (which is not last when you look at advanced metrics) ... the idea we were expecting was that this team would lose its share of slo-pitch softball scores because its pitching might stink. But THAT HAS LARGELY NOT HAPPENED because the hitting has largely not been able to get into slugfests. I would be more inclined to blame the pitching if the former were actually happening.
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They're playing better - which at least makes it better to watch. Gotta start small.
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That slumping month is the driver of the record
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Of course - the challenge for the team is to get to a position in the next month where the FO can justify the price.
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Regardless of where this leads - they are playing better ... and the kids are settling in. There is no way to improve the pitching enough during the season to cover for the everyday lineup not doing its job. For any other changes to be justifiable, the guys in the clubhouse need to play to their abilities.
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only one is in the bigs, only two are above single A. These things iron themselves out.
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Not sure if Sandoval is bad - as much as I don't like it. The Lester move is also debateable, although Porcello has not been a good flag bearer so far. The Redick deal was bad although one can argue Jed Lowrie for Melancon was worse. At the same time, Reddick seemed to bottom out in Boston - Oakland might have been able to tolerate his flaws (basically, zero approach) for the good stuff I tend to give Cherington the thumbs up in a very very difficult job. The +/- with major league moves is plus and the stocking up of the org at large has been very strong.
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Span Poll: Can 2015 be salvaged for the Boston Red Sox ?
sk7326 replied to a700hitter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Nice thing is that the defensive results show - nobody will confuse him with Ozzie Smith, but he has actually been pretty solid. -
Span Poll: Can 2015 be salvaged for the Boston Red Sox ?
sk7326 replied to a700hitter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Doubles and triples so far, fewer HRs ... in the same breath he's tracking to be a 4 win player this year, which is a pretty good place. I think the comfort level has improved markedly. -
The line and the age have to matter too ... Guerra .818 OPS as a 19 year old SS, Devers .306/.336./449 as an 18 year old. What they are doing at ages when you don't expect guys to be in full-season leagues is very encouraging. Margot in Portland as a 20 year old even moreso.
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4 strikeouts on 26 AAA batters faced tempers my enthusiasm ... he should go in the pen, where I'd expect him to be quite good.
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That he is hitting is great, but I think it also has to do with scouting and coaching outcomes. Has his approach changed? Is he still trying to do a Mike Napoli impression? How has he adjusted to the pitches he was getting retired on? Just those sorts of milestones.
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1. I'll believe it when I see it 2. All three contracts are much more moveable than the older three.