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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    1. It might be 2. The Red Sox have the prospect muscle to shock the Reds now with an offer and drive Cueto off the lot. Question is whether you do that. Right now this team has not shown enough to earn that sort of outlay.
  2. sk7326
    JD Drew: $70 million, 12.7 fWAR ... worked, although not a steal John Lackey: $68 million, 9.2 fWAR ... did not work, although injury in middle impacts this (did not bother splitting WAR in 2014) Julio Lugo: $36 million, 0.5 fWAR ... oops Carl Crawford: $42 million, 0.3 fWAR ... oops squared Josh Beckett I: $40 million, 15.1 fWAR ... worked very well Josh Beckett II: $34 million ... 5.4 fWAR ... borderline, but better than you think Edgar Renteria: $25 million ... 1.8 fWAR ... did not work, although he did produce 10+ fWAR over the terms of the contract. The player was appropriately valued/compensated - he just stunk the one year he was in Boston Free agency was not Epstein's shining virtue - but it also was not nearly as bad as remembered
  3. sk7326
    The pitching "upgrade" was in the plan ... and to be fair, it has gotten better (replacing Masterson's entrails with what Eduardo has given them so far clearly does that - even Eduardo regressing to "promising rookie" would do that). But i think the pitching upgrade was dependent on the other stuff working. Let's put it another way - I thought there was a very low chance that the Sox would not be buyers given the team on paper. Management has to ask that question before the "who" part of it.
  4. sk7326
    I agree - but I think it is a tricky question too. How much of the offensive "salvation lies within"? That is a genuinely tricky question. Fixing the pitching is a lot more straightforward.
  5. sk7326
    Yes - although the team on the field has made it complicated. I think the idea was that the issues entering the season were known and finite (in other words, the rotation). The OTHER problems have been genuine surprises - which leads to a more complicated question as to whether this roster can be saved. That's why management gets the big bucks. It's not like trading for Johnny Cueto is going to make the bats perk up.
  6. sk7326
    23rd out of 30 in fWAR for the season for pitching ... on the bright side, 5th of 30 teams in June and 15th of 30 teams in the last month. Even the fielding has perked up a little. It has been the mystifying inability to score which has been the real bane here. I will not let management off the hook (buck stops there of course) but there was little of the hitting which a sane person could have predicted in February.
  7. sk7326
    That's because it's true. If you look at the 5 seasons: 2010: One of their proudest non-title seasons. Playoff spot alive with last weekend despite serious horrendous injury problems. 2011: A heartbreaking collapse, which missed the playoffs by one game. It was a 90 win season. Most teams that year did not win 90 games. 2012: This sucked a lot 2013: This was pretty good 2014: This sucked a lot when Lester wasn't pitching 2015: This has been annoying so far, no doubt, but nothing has really been decided one way or the other This was not perfect, but I suspect a lot of teams would take it.
  8. sk7326
    Fun stat: Rodriguez has now pitched more innings than Andrew Miller did last year
  9. sk7326
    Keith LAw recap of Sox draft http://espn.go.com/blog/mlb-draft/insider/post?id=2362
  10. sk7326
    He is a solid choice for sure. Very college heavy top of the draft this year - which to me reflects a general lack of star power in this group. Doesn't mean there aren't good players here - but not sure they can plop Benintendi in Portland right away for instance. My guess is he starts in Salem next year at worst - low-A or Instructs are lower level than he saw in the SEC.
  11. sk7326
    Oh you are right - the "top prospect" level is Portland. That is, guys who aren't that far away from Boston. But a lot of the Sox prospect muscle right now is at Greenville, and Margot is in Salem. The top 5 ranking for the farm system is not unreasonable, but the prospects are not at Portland ... yet.
  12. sk7326
    I think there are teams who are not convinced he can start.
  13. sk7326
    Yeah I think Keith Law's reporting had Benitendi as the Sox top target. Overall not a good draft class. I mean there COULD be some stars, but judging from the draft results it was a pretty poor year for high school position players and pitchers, and that is normally where your star upside comes from. Benintendi probably won't come under slot- he is a college sophomore, so he has more leverage than the average college draftee. The way the Sox work especially with the new CBA ... expect them to start piling up some guys they can get below slot ... and then chase down some tough signs later.
  14. sk7326
    Portland is not great - the system's power right now seems to be Pawtucket and Greenville ... that said Margot could be in Portland by the end of the year, as could Moncada and (perhaps) Devers
  15. sk7326
    Putting it simply, the Red Sox Brand is take and rake - but if you're only going to have one, you want the rake.
  16. sk7326
    1. The base coaching is the tiniest part of that job. All bad decisions reflect poorly on him, but he won't get credit for the good decisions. 2. The "right way" is the one which scores runs and the one which prevents them. 3. This is - aside from Davis and Willis - the identical staff to one which helmed the wire to wire best team in 2013. So the idea they became the drooling morons you see is just silly. 4. This is NOT the best coaching staff in Red Sox history - that ship sailed 4-5 years ago. But what you are pointing out is deeply reductive and flawed.
  17. sk7326
    He's known as one of the best fielding coaches in the sport - which is his real value-add to a staff. Certainly the work with Bogaerts is showing.
  18. sk7326
    Our slowpokes never got in the way the last decade plus - it might be a part - but it's a small one. There have not been an inordinate number of "Fenway singles" or anything
  19. sk7326
    It's either that or that there is/could be some sort of emphasis on plate coverage at the expense of just going after your pitch when you get it. "Approach" is one of the muddiest of scouting/analytic terms I think since it's squishing together two things which are not necessarily related ... 1. taking pitches and 2. your gameplan to get a pitch you can crush and to crush it ... and yeah #2 seems to have gotten lost in the shuffle
  20. sk7326
    If you want a simple, traditional stat btw to demonstrate the Sox woes - you don't need RISP, you don't need batted ball stats ... A team that plays half its games at Fenway Park is STILL 15th out of 15 AL teams in doubles. It is far and away the most mind numbing of the Red Sox statistical oddities this season.
  21. sk7326
    It's multitasking - and I'd EXPECT Cherington to cycle through back of the bullpen and back of the roster types ... I'm pretty sure the Cole Hamels phone call does not need to be made every day
  22. sk7326
    I don't know if the infusion is necessary. But the focus should be on the offense. I read a lot "our pitching, sniffle sniffle, blah blah" and it is hard to maintain patience. We knew the pitching was going to have to be upgraded. That was a known hole which was supposed to be addressed by the offense and by the defense. NEITHER of those things has happened. Offensively - it SEEMS like the team has (either consciously or unconsciously) traded raking for preventing strikeouts - which is generally a bad idea. Defensively, the combination of slow starts by Pedroia and Sandoval as well as Hanley apparently having issues playing the easiest position on the field. (although I'd love to see the splits - since from my observation defensive metrics can get screwed up by odd shaped fields)
  23. sk7326
    Are you really hyperventilating about the 25th man on the roster??
  24. sk7326
    De Aza can at least legitimately start if something happened. He is a 4th outfielder, but a much better one.
  25. sk7326
    The issue is everybody knows he can hit AAA pitching
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