sk7326

What we know about Margot is that he is at AA already, which counts for quite a bit. Good approach, but power is limited, and ++ defensively. A lot of Jackie Bradley profile while being a better base stealer and 5 years younger. There is a very high floor there, even if the ceiling might be more "could be an All-star in his career" as opposed to a "future All-Star"

What does help are Margot and Johnson (in particular) look to have very high probability - the range of opinions I read about both are about their best outcomes, but they both look like very likely starters.

that sounds good until you note that only one Top 50 prospect moved the entire trade deadline last year, and that included deals where Lester and Lackey moved.

I think Margot is possible - he has tremendous potential, and being in Portland before his drinking age is great. At the same time, CF looks like it will be well staffed for a while. Margot alone might be enough to get the Reds attention. Would he be an overpay for a dozen Cueto starts? Maybe - but it's at least a position the Red Sox could deal from strength.

Good enough for me to be totally fascinated. If he is in Portland next year, you can dream as much as you want.

Oh they had good starters no doubt, but you look at the staffs those years 1975-1978, you are looking at 9th, 8th, 8th, 9th in fWAR. Once again, a case of "enough" pitching to augment a really good lineup. Balance would be great - but in terms of winning games, teams that rake to cover up pitching flaws happens plenty often too.

If you are looking to win the World Series then yeah, power pitching wins the day ... but that's not the immediate goal - getting to October is. Teams of all sorts of shapes can (and have) done that. Execrable Rangers pitching staffs with Rick Helling as an "ace". The 1987 Minnesota Twins which had Les Straker as a #3 starter. The 70s Red Sox, with their ummm ... problematic pitching staffs would have qualified for the postseason in expanded formats of today.

XB is leading AL SSs in fWAR as a 22 year old ... makes sense to be on the team for both the "reward good seasons" and "sell the game" reasons.

Well, I think the last offer included quite a bit of that - I think he just enjoys doing it this way. The challenge of staying ahead of the industry, identifying arbitrage. Sure he wishes he had a bit more luck in October, but having some ownership stake and iron locked loyalty from ownership is pretty neat too.

Holt is 18th in the AL in fWAR, 11th in bWAR. He's been one of the top 20 or so position players in the AL this year ... I'd have gone in a different direction, but it's not a bad choice

The culture shock is significant. On top of the things Elton noticed, you also come from a culture where the duende - the bat flipping and whatnot is part of the fun, as opposed to the relatively repressed baseball culture here. (here fans often secretly love the bat flips and showboating, but like to pretend it's not classy, especially when it's not one of their guys) It's easier to catch the lazy moniker or the "no respect" or what have you.

Holt is a reasonable choice - he has been better than last season, and his Scrappy McScrapperson thing leaves the stench of the disappointing season off of him. While I could argue that the .376 BABIP might turn into a pumpkin, he has always had high BABIPs, and perhaps there is a little more control there than other guys might have. It also allows simplifies the manager's staffing of positions. IMO he's probably the 3rd or 4th best option on the Red Sox, but he is a worthy choice without a doubt.

You sign a guy to a big league deal, fans want fairy dust. It's clear the journey from Cuba - and inescapably, how little baseball he had played until this spring - shows. No more, no less. Surprised at the character comments.

Well, let's see ... The Beckett deal was a Top 10 prospect and a Top 100 one and having to take on Lowell's (then considered bad) deal. And that was more than what moved in the David Price deal. The haul for Pedro was Carl Pavano and Tony Armas Jr - which is probably equivalent to the prospect haul for Beckett in 1998 terms.

What he and Melvin have done is leverage platoons to get lots of cheap production - it is hard for that to be sustained in the playoffs when the pitching is better, but it has allowed them to be consistently competitive. And of course, they have built to the ballpark as well as anybody.

I think he might be the surest, although Ramirez' hitting numbers are there too. I also think Uehara makes sense. You get scads of relievers on the pitching staff and Koji had been his usual self. He is only a disappointment if you compare him to the 2013 version.

But a harder road to a playoff bid. I don't think they have any intention of rebuilding. But we know beane will take calls on zobrist and Kazmir. That is why he got them in part.

Let's hope so - he faced better opposition in the SEC (generally)

I think the issue was the term rebuild. This season has not gone well - but the fundamentals of a good team are there. I could see a sell because Beane is a smart guy (and it's why you got Zobrist in the first place), but nothing on the level of ripping to the studs or anything.

I don't disagree and we know Beane is Belichikian in his unsentimentality. That said, their run scoring margin is so misaligned with record that he might (justifiably) see a better team than others do.

Every team needs one ... some thoughts Hanley Ramirez - probably the favorite. Players and managers vote, and there is not much evidence that the statistical revolution has hit that entire community. Ramirez has the most impressive counting stats on the team, regardless of whether he has provided an overall positive contribution or not. Clay Buchholz - actually leads the team in fWAR (3.1), 3rd in bWAR (2.4). Outside of a shaky April has been very very good. Still not a great record, and Sale and Kluber have been better among starters without the record to show for it. Mookie Betts - alas, life at the position Mike Trout plays. Had a terrific first half 2.7/3.9, tops among position players for the Sox. Now in an All-Star game with proper priorities (a game that doesn't count and is a showcase for the best of the sport), he gets in somehow. Xander Bogaerts - the field at shortstop is thinner, and Bogaerts has had a terrific season too. The stunning change in defensive bWAR (-0.9 in 2014 to +0.6 to date) is particularly encouraging. Strong choice to showcase the game's future as well. Dustin Pedroia - another good choice to showcase the game's best. One hell of a bounceback season before going to the DL, although defensively not to the usual standard. Brock Holt - Easiest guy to root for putting on the list. Has had a season to justify it too, although position would be tricky. He'd be a fun guy for the 32nd (or whatever the number is) man balloting. Koji Uehara, Junichi Tazawa - the managers put way way way way too many relievers on the roster relative to player value. But if you are going to do it, both have had excellent first halves. Yeah, Uehara is not the guy he was in 2013, but that guy was superhuman. MY PICKS: Bogaerts, Betts and Holt (final man ballot) MY GUESS: Uehara, Pedroia (since he's on the DL, easy selection to make and replace), maybe Bogaerts

There are guys who are not "available" the Red Sox could put an offer to get - I do agree with Pal that the Red Sox are definitely looking at that goal. Simultaneously they know that starting pitching, young controllable pitching, is easier to make than buy. It's not 1998 - there are very few teams that cannot see a pitcher through to at least the arbitration deals. Still the Red Sox best bet is doing what they did with Rodriguez - land a guy with uncertain probability and (for now) get lucky.

Kelly could be an excellent bullpen piece - they just have to make the move

And as it has happened, the team has played better ... when the team has hit like the offense they were supposed to be, this team has been above average ... which is not ideal, but at least something you can consider making an in-season trade to bolster.

Definitely see what he could bring back ... but no rush to trade him. A quality starter at his salary with 2 seasons control should net at least one Top 50 sort ... the trade deadline could be funny. Last year the cost of starting pitching was not that bad, but then the Orioles moved the best prospect for a short reliever, so who knows??