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FredLynn

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Everything posted by FredLynn

  1. Beating whoever replaces Petitte..............
  2. Theo gets all the credit he deserves, both good and bad. If Morales and Miller turn out to be great players I will be first in line to credit the guy who brought them here. The jury is still out on them. Nava is a career minor leaguer who is currently doing well. Enjoy it. History tells us that he will soon return to earth. Those other guys have barely sniffed the majors. I am not ready to give Epstein credit for any of those guys because they have proven nothing so far.
  3. It is a matter of math, I agree. How many more runs per game do you think that the return of Ellsbury and Crawford are going to produce? Don't forget that one of them is going to replace Nava, who has exceled. Do you think that either Ellsbury or Crawford will do better than .313/.902? And once both of them are playing again Ross and Sweeney will likely platoon in RF, so we lose some of Ross's production when Sweeney plays (.278/.915 vs Sweeney's .292/.733) Don't think that Sweeney will just sit on the bench, nor will whoever our 5th OF. There may be more runs scored; maybe not. I suspect we will get a few more, sure, but not many. On the other hand we are still stuck with mediocrity with Beckett, Lester, Buchholtz and less than mediocrity with DiceK and Doubront. An ace pitcher would make a real difference in our chances, but not Ellsbury and Crawford.
  4. The key is that none of the injured players is an ace SP. These guys are not going to come into town on a white horse to save the day. Oh sure, we will score a few more runs, but last I checked scoring runs wasn't much of a problem, overall, for this team. We are second in runs scored in the AL. If we were rehabbing Halladay or Sabathia or Hernandez then I would be having much higher expectations for the team once the injured players return. Instead, we are still going to be left with the same mediocre heap of #3 SP that we have accumulated along with a few lower tier SP. I am not expecting any sea change in how this team plays.
  5. All the other ALE teams lost tonite. This would be a great game to win. Hernandez is tough....
  6. Pretty funny. Gotta keep in mind Jacko's function here: in every way possible get under the skin of and attempt to demoralize Red Sox fans across the country and beyond. However, in order for us to accept that kind of agitation, it will cost the Yankees Sanchez, Banuelos, and Betances being sent to the Sox.
  7. I don't understand why thats a bad thing...all the runs count. They are fourth in runs scored, second in OBP and OPS. They mash, unfortunately.
  8. If they fail to do so then the injury excuse people are using to rationalize our mediocre performance so far can be tossed out the window. So far this year the Yankees have lost Pineda, Rivera, and now CC and Petitte to the DL. I am sure there are more too. Those guys are KEY pitchers, yet today they rank third in ERA in the AL. If that kind of pitching holds up over the next few weeks and we do not gain ground then the players have only themselves to blame.
  9. "How dare he remind me of someone I hate" Mo Howard
  10. What? You are a Giants fan??? You realize that all the good will towards you just went out the window, right?
  11. Both Middlebrooks and Doubront have proven nothing. They could just as easily flame out as become stars here. Both have potential, but thats about all you can reasonable say about them right now.
  12. Not that I know of-unless he routinely swallows that disgusting wad of chew.
  13. Root for whoever you like. No one is going to care much about what you say about the other Boston area teams as long as its in good taste. I am a fan of all of the Boston teams, though I have been in California for 35 years. Keep in mind that this is just a game we talk about here, not "real life". Anyone who calls you out for your team alliances is someone you can probably do without.
  14. I do not think that Lester is much better than his ERA shows he is after a review of his peripherals. I am only going to do this once, so here goes. I compared Lester's ERA to the pitcher with the median ERA for pitchers who have thrown at least 60 innings this year with a similar pitcher in terms of ERA, in this case Phil Hughes to see if Lester's peripherals were out of line. I also compared this year with Lester's career numbers. I did not use Babip as I do not think this is a particularly useful stat. The stats, in order, are ERA, WHIP, K/BB, ERA+, HR/9, and WAR. Lester this year: 4.53/1.367/2.78/93/0.8/-.1 Lester (career): 3.62/1.297/2.49/124/.8/3.27 Hughes this year: 4.48/1.297/3.86/93/2.0/.8 Hughes' numbers are not out of line with Lester's. He has allowed more HR/9, but his K/BB and WAR is better. His WHIP and ERA+ is identical. I conclude that based on these stats, Lester is NOT better than his ERA indicates, though more players could be analyzed this way to better substantiate that opinion.
  15. Hill is out for about 6 weeks starting about a week ago. He has tendonitis, I believe. You are right: no one gives a s*** about Jenks.
  16. If I believe that something is right, until I am persuaded otherwise, I stick to my guns. On the other hand, if I am handed evidence that I am clearly wrong (happened here the other day when SCM told me that Aviles had screwed up an IF play, not Pedroia) I will gladly admit that I am wrong. That has not happened here. I still think that I am correct, for me at least. You can call it whatever you like. It IS a draw.
  17. I never said the ERA is the ONLY useful statistic, just the most important single stat for a pitcher. Even babip has some usefulness, I suppose. The reason I quote ERA alone so often is in the interest of brevity when I post, both for me looking that stuff up and for people reading it. There are certainly other important indicators that need to be looked at if you want a clear picture of performance. I do not buy the BS that Lester has just been unlucky all year. One game or two games-maybe even three games, sure. But by now it should have evened out. He has simply sucked this year. It is US who are unlucky having to watch him.
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