Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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That's kind of scary right there. You're paying for 9 post-prime years.
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You're using fuzzy math. Price's birthday is August 26. Mookie's is October 7. That's a difference of only 42 days, but you're making it into a full year. Might as well use exact ages down to the days, if you're going to do a fair comparison. Edit: Or you can just use the same method Baseball-Reference uses, the player's age at the start of the season. That makes Price's 2016 season his age 30 season, and Mookie's 2021 season his age 28 season. 2 years difference.
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Would you be surprised to find that your math is actually off by about two years? Price TURNED 31 in August of the first season of his 7 year contract. Mookie TURNS 29 in October of the first year of his 12 year contract.
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I've been saying pretty much the same thing. With a 12 year contract you've got the risk of an unexpected performance decline and you've got the risk of injury. With a player of Mookie's profile, you can handle the risk of performance decline. But the risk of injury makes a 12 year contract totally insane. And the Red Sox say they don't buy insurance on contracts because the premiums are exorbitant - which is hardly a surprise.
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It is a little strange how much time we spent dissecting past GM's and their moves. But it's something to jabber and debate and argue about. Even if at a certain point we're just saying the same things over and over. -
OK. I guess I was arguing about something different, which had more to do with HanRam's being a terrible contract. There are, of course, a lot of random variances in player performances and outright luck that can make a GM look good or bad. With Ben a classic example would be Victorino. Terrific in 2013, a major contributor to a ring, and then useless, finito, in 2014 and 2015. A lot of guys had 'good outlier' seasons in 2013 for us, in fact.
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Don't you think the Rays have a good shot in Game 6 with the Dodgers starting Gonsolin, though?
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a) They'll pay him every nickel. No, they closed the Rusney loophole before Pedey got hurt.
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Can they just keep him on the 60 day IL all season? In any case it's a non-issue. They'll treat him with respect but obviously he won't be on the roster.
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In HanRam's Red Sox career, 2016 was the outlier. Surely you're not disagreeing with that.
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It's kind of a dubious argument IMO, because Porcello and HanRam's 2016 seasons were HUGE outliers in their Red Sox careers. Their 2015 seasons were not the outliers.
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It was a decent achievement, but like so many other things, you have to put it in perspective. -The first thing is that there have only been 3 divisions since 1995. -Second is that the 2016 and 2017 teams each won 93 games. That's very good but hardly great. There were a number of seasons the Red Sox won 95 games or more and didn't win the division. Not trying to be the cooler here, the 2016-2018 run was great, but it really needed 2018 to be great.
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If they generate value above replacement level.
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Cavan's offensive numbers look pretty solid.
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The Three Sons are pretty good, though.
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It almost seems like karmic algebra that Dave traded two starting pitchers who got hurt, and traded for two relievers who got hurt. Or maybe what it says is that pitchers are incredibly fragile and risky assets these days...
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I don't really disagree. But punting Game 6 of the World Series could be, perhaps, a slightly dubious strategy...
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Colorful hyperbole!
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The Rays big hope is that they light up Gonsolin quickly, and force Roberts into a lot of innings from the pen, weakening it for Game 7.
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It's impossible to predict what will happen in these games. But you're right, beating the Dodgers twice is a tall order for the Rays.
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I'll agree that it's premature, yes.
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I think you can take that to the bank.
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I agree with most of this. But I think 'traded the future' might be overstating it a bit.
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So he did a lot of good things.
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100%
