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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Hiring a 76 year old drunk as manager - what could possibly go wrong? There's a theory that Reinsdorf did this because he felt bad about firing Tony years ago. Sounds ridiculous, but maybe it's so.
  2. Bellhorn04
    So Larussa had a DUI the day before he was hired. Nice look, Tony. https://nypost.com/2020/11/09/tony-la-russa-charged-with-dui-one-day-before-white-sox-hiring/
  3. Bellhorn04
    I think the only area in which I diverge is that I'm skeptical about the analytics being able to factor in every condition. The stuff about the Dodgers getting a shot of adrenaline from seeing Snell come out of the game, for example. I can't say for sure that's a real factor, but I can't say for sure it isn't, either.
  4. Bellhorn04
    I wasn't implying that what Roberts did was right. I was just observing what he did. Last year when he used Kelly instead of Jansen it didn't work. This year Treinen and Urias made him look good.
  5. Bellhorn04
    The thing is, we can never know what would have happened if the other move was made.
  6. Bellhorn04
    If so, the same principle applies to a whole lot of other MLB contracts.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Maybe call it 'responsibility'.
  8. Bellhorn04
    I don't like the idea of trading Bogaerts, because it instantly creates a significant new need. As far as getting a better return for Bogaerts, other GM's aren't in the business of doing us favors. They see all the same pluses and minuses we do, and they probably know how to use Baseball Trade Values just as well as us, too...
  9. Bellhorn04
    Economic pessimism can change to optimism pretty quickly, as we can see in the stock market today.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Me: 50% John Henry's Checkbook 40% COVID and injuries 10% SSS
  11. Bellhorn04
    Bogaerts's opt out after 2022 is a bit troublesome, of course. I wonder if they might make an offer to tear up the existing contract and replace it with a new one - maybe 5 years and 110 million? That would guarantee him an additional 30 million. The AAV would only go up by 2 million a year.
  12. Bellhorn04
    You two would trade anything that isn't nailed down, as the saying goes.
  13. Bellhorn04
    And they probably pay their manager better than some teams do, too.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Bogaerts also has a no-trade clause, of course...
  15. Bellhorn04
    notin's proposed trade of Bogaerts to Cleveland for Triston McKenzie was accepted by BTV. McKenzie is a top-rated pitching prospect, but with some injury issues that have depressed his value somewhat. Then you just have to get busy replacing Bogaerts...
  16. Bellhorn04
    We have the real world example of the champion Dodgers and their closer Jansen, one of the best and best paid in the business. In Game 5 of the 2019 NLDS against the Nats, Roberts went with Joe Kelly instead of Jansen with the season on the line. This year he passed over Jansen in favor of Treinen and Urias in situations where you would normally use your closer. I don't know if you'd call it managing with your gut, but Roberts obviously lacked confidence in Jansen in spite of his tremendous career numbers.
  17. Bellhorn04
    "A metric ton of talent". What are you talking about? Baseball Trade Values has Xander with a surplus value of 21.8 million.
  18. Bellhorn04
    And Bogaerts has that opt out in his contract, too, which is not a real attraction for other teams.
  19. Bellhorn04
    No, I don't think it's quite that simple. Cora did have a couple of negatives, with the suspension and Restgate. And guys with no previous experience are getting hired as managers now.
  20. Bellhorn04
    I realize that. But Gold Gloves seemed to be suggesting he would not be all that difficult to replace or upgrade. I was sort of trying to elicit some clarification on that from him.
  21. Bellhorn04
    I think it sets something of a bar, yes.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Trading Bogie opens up a rather sizable hole. He's been a 5 WAR per year player since 2015.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Red Sox have reached out to JBJ. https://www.radio.com/weei/sports/red-sox/source-red-sox-have-reached-out-to-jackie-bradley-jr
  24. Bellhorn04
    Bloom continues to prove he is very meticulous and thorough, but also seems open-minded and willing to listen to others, too.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Of course, in the Cash decision, he was replacing a top starter with a reliever. A reliever with a fairly short track record, too. (These things are still bothering me, as you can see.)
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