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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Most pitchers would kill for Beckett's postseason resume.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Speaking of Beckett, his 2 biggest clutch games were Game 6 of the 2003 WS, and Game 5 of the 2007 ALCS. Now doesn't the fact that he came up clutch twice like that show that it's a 'repeatable skill'?
  3. Bellhorn04
    No. My only hope is that the work they've presumably been doing with him on approach will ultimately pay off.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Now you're the one trying to chop it up into tiny samples. At least with Kershaw and Schilling the samples are a decent size.
  5. Bellhorn04
    According to this site, the chance of flipping 75 heads out of 100 is 0.0000001913, i.e. infinitesimal. https://www.omnicalculator.com/statistics/coin-flip-probability
  6. Bellhorn04
    It makes no sense with respect to Kershaw's numbers. Not with a disparity that big.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Kershaw's highest monthly ERA is 2.84. I think you would have to do an awful lot of digging to find that random sample you're looking for.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Not if it's only painted.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Ortiz?
  10. Bellhorn04
    I'm not sure teams will be handing out deals like that to DH's any more.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Schilling vs. Kershaw Schilling Regular season ERA 3.46 Postseason ERA 2.23 Postseason 1.23 runs, or 36% better Kershaw Regular season ERA 2.48 Postseason ERA 4.19 Postseason 1.71 runs, or 69% worse
  12. Bellhorn04
    This is the kind of confusing stuff that folks like dgalehouse ridicule...
  13. Bellhorn04
    Well, I meant an extension, making the 19 mill into 2 years 36 mill.
  14. Bellhorn04
    "Repeatable skill" is somewhat problematic terminology, IMO. What does it mean?
  15. Bellhorn04
    But even in peak years Cruz did not exceed 14.25 mill. The question is how much teams are willing to pay a DH now. Will there be a DH in the NL next year?
  16. Bellhorn04
    The ball does come out of his left hand. Not sure he's any worse than Davis.
  17. Bellhorn04
  18. Bellhorn04
    This is a very relevant comp. Like JD, Cruz has been posting a .900 OPS with regularity. And according to B-R, the highest salary he's ever made is slightly over $14 mill.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Maybe offer a one year extension at 17 million or thereabouts?
  20. Bellhorn04
    I suppose Martin Perez also counts.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Man, you really know how to deliver a news tidbit.
  22. Bellhorn04
    I think it's the nature of the game. Even the best teams lose 60-70 times, or 10-12 times a month. There's a lot of suffering over the course of a season. But some fans are certainly a lot more knee-jerky than others.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Wins lift the mood no matter who they come against. Getting Sale and Schwarber on the field is also nice. The Rays losing 2 out of 3 to the Twinkies doesn't hurt either. But it's an emotional roller coaster.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Yes, for most of this century the Red Sox have been near the top in payroll and always hovering around the tax line, except for 2018 and 2019 when they went over by a lot. Henry's ownership has been about everything you could ask for.
  25. Bellhorn04
    It has all worked out amazingly well, IMO. Bloom was the perfect guy to step into a situation like this. I'm a big fan of him, even though I was disappointed by the deadline inactivity. He probably did all the right things at the deadline too.
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