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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Well, that's exactly right. It's always been that way. SPLINTER does not think Cora is a good manager at all, other than that players like him. But the amusing thing is, SPLINTER didn't think Francona or Farrell were good managers either. And yet those are the 3 guys who managed the team to their 4 rings in our lifetimes.
  2. Bellhorn04
    moon, this is actually a lot like the CERA issue. Those numbers could mean something, or they could be random. But you tend to think they mean something. Kimmi thinks the lineup position comfort effect is real. Maybe it's all personal biases.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Can't prove anything either way. So can't say 'likely are'.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Eovaldi vs. Gil Beat the MFY's this time please.
  5. Bellhorn04
    The question is whether a crucial game like this is the time to try it. Seems more like something you work on for 2022.
  6. Bellhorn04
    And they jettisoned CERA champ Leon long ago.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Houck's ERA by inning this year before today: 1 1.50 2 0.00 3 0.00 4 6.35 5 6.00
  8. Bellhorn04
    Whitlock/Taylor/Barnes. I'm guessing not Otto, unless it's for 1 hitter (last out of inning).
  9. Bellhorn04
    Overall vs RHP 770 Overall vs LHP 767 RHB vs RHP 777 LHB vs RHP 757 RHB vs LHP 803 LHB vs LHP 658
  10. Bellhorn04
    But what does it mean?
  11. Bellhorn04
    Hard to say which fans get more excited about - a good signing, or a good DFA.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Duran is playing a lot.
  13. Bellhorn04
    I think it would be a tiny percentage. If you can come up with a tiny percentage of samples that fit, what does it show? That there's a tiny chance the postseason numbers can be attributed to randomness?
  14. Bellhorn04
    I thought it was supposed to be the most comprehensive of all defensive stats?
  15. Bellhorn04
    But we have the top UZR/150 in the AL.
  16. Bellhorn04
    LHP + Baltimore RHP.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Well, I'd like to see this applied to Kershaw. As I said, his worst monthly ERA is 2.84, so I'm not sure how you're going to generate a sample that has a 4.19.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Nice whataboutism. People who say that about Yaz are what you call...stupid. Yaz also made the last out in the 1975 WS, BTW.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Yes, the term "repeatable skill" is totally made-up and arguably useless.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Yep, can't be proved, can't be disproved. I think we're in agreement on that. But all the stuff about computer generated random samples just seems like gibberish.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Honestly, I don't even know what that first sentence means.
  22. Bellhorn04
    But repeatable skill is not well defined. It's a term I've never heard used except in this context.
  23. Bellhorn04
    The guy can swat the baseball when he connects, I must say.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Barry Bonds only became clutch after he discovered the magic of steroids. The juice made him a lot stronger physically and mentally. A-Rod was most likely on seriously good juice in the 2009 postseason as well.
  25. Bellhorn04
    My recollection is that in 2008, he was pitching hurt to some degree. They didn't know if he was going to be able to start Game 6 of the ALCS, and it was obvious he was struggling, but he pitched 5 innings and got the win. As I said to Kimmi earlier, I don't believe that clutch or choke are something pure and undiluted. I think it's more a belief that some guys are more confident or comfortable under pressure. Maybe the confidence factor comes from getting off to a good start in your postseason career. That would apply to guys like Schilling and Beckett. And we know that the postseason thing was a big burden on Price's head, and Kershaw's as well.
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