His book "Have Glove Will Travel" is a good read. He played several years for the Moncton (New Brunswick) Mets. Moncton is about a two hour drive from my house.
It does make sense that the WC winners' chances are less than 25% because of the handicaps, and maybe more like 20%. I'll buy that.
Which means being a Wild Card team gives you only 40% as good a chance as being a division winner.
Is there any reason to think there will be significant changes to the tax system? I think the only changes the players can really push for are higher thresholds.