Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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5/26 Colorado @ Boston
Bellhorn04 replied to VA Sox Fan's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Clay, AKA Bastard 1, please pitch like you want to remain a member of the 2016 team. -
I think he also may have gotten a little ruined in the last World Baseball Classic he pitched in. His injury woes really started after that.
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I think there's another team or two out there that would take him if they didn't have to give up much in return. As Sox fans we've been watching the guy so long that all we see now is his downside.
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And people would be bitching like crazy right now if we signed Chen.
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That's the idea, except it's Bastards instead of Things.
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The Sox FO seems to be on a roll with their decisions. Swihart looked like a pretty legit outfielder last night.
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Here's a fun pitching stat...and I realize BA is not the crucial stat it was once thought to be, but opponents are batting .098 against Kimbrel.
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Some players do sustain higher BABip's over their careers, mainly because they hit more line drives, I think.
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For what it's worth, over the three seasons from 2013 to 2015 Miley posted 5.9 fWAR and 4.6 bWAR while Buchholz posted 7.5 fWAR and 5.4 bWAR. I agree with your other points. Miley had significant advantages other than the quality of his pitching.
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I agree 100%. But that still leaves you with a WAR of 3.2 or 2.7 for Buchholz's slot in 2015. You just add 0.0 to his number.
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Bastard Number 1, I like it.
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Yeah, there's not much doubt that being manager of the Red Sox is one of the toughest jobs in sports when it comes to scrutiny and abuse. You can win 2 World Series and pick up the nickname Coma along the way.
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You have a vivid imagination. Whether you go by FanGraphs or B-R, Buchholz put up a higher WAR in less innings last year. That's a simple and indisputable fact.
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You don't know that. Buchholz had a higher WAR last year. Miley is cheaper with more years of control. Doesn't make him the better pitcher.
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Preferring Miley over Buchholz is not the same as having no interest in Buchholz.
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5/25 Colorado @ Boston
Bellhorn04 replied to VA Sox Fan's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Shaw just keeps hitting. -
5/25 Colorado @ Boston
Bellhorn04 replied to VA Sox Fan's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Had a feeling Swihart was going to do something good there. It'd be cool if he starts hitting. -
I see what she's saying, which is that they signed Buchholz, then tried to swing a trade of prospects for a #2 type starter but found the price too high, so they kept Buch. If they had swung the trade they would have traded him.
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Or maybe it was more the case that they preferred Miley...I mean, how exact is our information on this?
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By the same token, in spite of the big dollar mistakes, Cherington's best pitching moves may have been getting Wright and ERod for Lars Anderson and a 2-month rental of Andrew Miller.
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OK it's time for me to take a clear stand on Buchholz. No more fooling around. I am in the group that believes categorically and unequivocally that if Clay starts pitching better, picking up the option will start looking better. And I'm not backing down on that.
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Not to mention pitching coach Pedroia explaining where his hands should be.
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WAR is what you're looking for. Clay needs a WAR of 2. Price needs a WAR of 4.5.
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You're illustrating the value of the WAR concept which gives you a much clearer way to compare 2 guys. For 13 million Buchholz should produce a WAR of about 2 to earn his pay. Price should produce a WAR of about 4.5.
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In 2003 the Red Sox and Cubs were each, in spooky lockstep, exactly 5 outs away from the World Series when the walls began caving in.
