Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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I'm an accountant, and I have this one particular client who's kind of old-school. When I get to a certain point in our tax discussions he always says something to the effect of 'the mumbo-jumbo part'. I just laugh and agree with him, because some of the tax rules really are just mumbo-jumbo that most people should not be expected to understand.
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'Scatter plots', exactly: that's statistical mumbo-jumbo to the average fan. Statistics can be a fairly esoteric discipline. I'm not criticizing it, I'm just trying to explain why the average fan doesn't accept certain points of the baseball research articles. It's too much for them like reading scientific journals.
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Agreed.
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All offenses are inconsistent. We were a little heavy on the blowouts last year, I agree with that part. That's a big part of why our Pythagorean W-L record was 5 wins higher than our actual record. But to do a more meaningful analysis on offensive consistency you would have to go through the game logs and see how many times we scored 5 runs or more and compare to other teams, that type of thing.
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Are there any offenses that don't struggle against good pitching?
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2017 Spring Training Thread - Everything Sox ST
Bellhorn04 replied to southpaw777's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
My reaction the day we signed both HanRam and Pablo was something like this: 'It's nice to pick up a couple of big bats...it's nice to see JH so willing to shell out to make the team better...but something about this doesn't feel quite right.' -
I haven't read the comments yet but I will. As for the article itself, frankly I think that to the average fan it comes across as a bunch of unintelligible statistical mumbo-jumbo.
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Agreed. I think Farrell is fine in that area.
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Care to pass on any specific names and comments?
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Seems like an awful lot of assumptions to me, notin.
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The Pomeranz trade looks like a serious blunder, without a doubt.
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You have to be able to deal with a certain amount of pressure to make it to the big leagues. But I don't think that necessarily means you'll be able to deal with the kinds of pressure that are created by crucial games with all the attendant heat from fans and media, or with the kind of negativity and abuse that a player is subjected to if they fail in a big situation or two.
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Don't you think there are different levels of pressure, though? I certainly do.
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2017 Spring Training Thread - Everything Sox ST
Bellhorn04 replied to southpaw777's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
If Hernandez continues to impress, even if he gets sent down for a little while, he will get his chance. -
This is an absolutely crucial point.
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According to Dan Shaughnessy, Joe Kerrigan tried this when he managed the Red Sox for the last 43 games of the 2001 season. Shaughnessy referred to Kerrigan as 'The Nutty Professor'.
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Speier sends out an e-mail newsletter called 108 Stitches.
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I found it and Speier was actually referencing this article from a couple of years ago. http://click.email.bostonglobe.com/?qs=fe477c9f7761eb2afb383622fd6a7b666621f9237403e38883ed1fb3f537ba791ea8f71f1c61930a7ef7c3a4d648f14b741af67f7cfaa058
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Do they believe choking is a real thing?
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Interesting that all the studies are about clutch hitting and there's nothing about clutch pitching.
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Not exactly. With some postseason numbers you can find very large differences (e.g. Schilling vs. Price) - it's the sample sizes that are what's small, arguably.
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Crickets, Kimmi, crickets.
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There was also a piece by Alex Speier a little while ago about K/BB being the one truly important stat in ST games.
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Excellent news about ERod and Wright especially.
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59% of us were right. http://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/18040-Who-is-our-opening-day-starter
