Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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Cuts down on travel time and costs.
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93-69
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2017 Spring Training Thread - Everything Sox ST
Bellhorn04 replied to southpaw777's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Who knows what will happen over a long season though. -
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Kimmi do you by chance have a link to the latest research study on this topic or can you tell me who did it?
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The fact that Castillo and Craig are off the 40 man roster doesn't mean they have no impact on the payroll. I'm sure Henry takes them into account when he calculates the team's profit. Also, if they do by chance play well and you want to use them, you have to put them back on the 40 man and incur the tax.
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What about a guy like Matt Cain? I thought he had the kind of easy-looking delivery that would last a long time.
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That's true. But even if you do get there a bunch of times the sample size will still never get big enough. How much more of an exercise in futility can you get LOL
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Nice to see Workman's name in some box scores again.
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I don't think Northern Star meant you specifically but the generalized "you" meaning anyone.
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It does seem to make sense. And it seems to give you the best chance of scoring runs in the first inning and getting a lead. OTOH I don't doubt that Kimmi's research findings are accurate.
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I was surprised when Kimmi said research showed that the 3 spot is not a great place for your best hitter. Apparently it has to do with the fact the 3 hitter comes up with 2 outs and no one on more than any other position. I would assume a hefty chunk of those instances occur in the first inning.
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Move one little word and you're right: Clutch has not been proven statistically to exist.
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Of all the hits in Red Sox history, that one by Mueller may have been the biggest.
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Some of the terms you hear when a player is going through a slump: He's 'pressing'. He's 'trying to do too much'. He's 'falling into bad habits'. All of which confirms the idea that when a hitter has been failing it gets in their head and messes them up. When I think of guys like Price and Swisher and their postseason failures I don't really think of them 'choking', but I do think of them having 'psychological baggage' that affects them. And even if the guy had a great regular season and finished strongly, when the postseason starts I suspect their past postseason results are very much in their heads.
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The ultimate postseason flop may have been Nick Swisher. Career regular season 249/351/447 OPS 799 Career postseason 185 PA's 165/277/297 OPS 575
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What really sticks out in Bagwell's postseason numbers is the lack of extra-base hits. In 129 PA's and 106 AB's, only 2 HR and 4 2B and an SLG of .321. Doesn't prove anything, but it's hard to deny that the numbers are remarkably bad for a power hitter of his stature.
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Oh, I remember it. I remember just about everything about that game. Dent's home run would have been the 'game winning RBI', under the rules that were used for that short-lived stat from 1980 to 1988. It was the same basic principle used to determine the winning pitcher, that is, the RBI that gave the winning team a lead that they didn't lose.
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It is a pretty sweet feeling.
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That's simple. A proper measurement of clutch would only consider the situation at the time of the at-bat, not what happened afterward. It wouldn't be based on fan perceptions.
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I remember the 2008 hits as well. The clutch hits get lost a bit when the team loses the series, like Hendu's home run in the 1986 World Series.
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I think the grand slam was a huge clutch hit regardless of the inning or the final score. It was an elimination game.
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I totally agree with that. Success is relative.
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Let's be clear though: that doesn't apply to succeeding as a baseball hitter, which is what a lot of this debate about. It doesn't matter if you have nerves of steel and ice water in your veins. You're still going to fail more than succeed.
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But there are guys like Ortiz and Schilling who have had multiple extraordinary postseason performances.
