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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Maybe there really is some truth to the old adage about hitting being contagious.
  2. There was no change in the manager or hitting coach between the 2 years so it doesn't really make much sense to tie the decline to the coaching. The one glaring change between the 2 years was the retirement of Ortiz. And the hitters that came in after not being with us in 2016-Moreland, Devers and Nunez-all did well.
  3. Yes, he has to be there.
  4. Well, you see, Kimmi and the SABRmetricians say clutch exists...but isn't a repeatable skill.
  5. The only current/former MLB pitcher I would step in against is Tim Wakefield. I might not connect with anything but at least I wouldn't get killed.
  6. I said Vaz exceeded expectations. I think that's a fair statement. Holt only had 164 PA's this year. Pretty short sample. Plus the concussion/vertigo.
  7. Holt shouldn't be included. Vazquez exceeded expectations in 2017. Moreland probably exceeded expectations in 2017. Devers possibly exceeded expectations in 2017. I am picking cherries and coating them with sugar and they are quite tasty.
  8. With regard to the hitting declines, you may have to consider the possibility that the true outlier season was 2016. Some of these same hitters had big increases from 2015 to 2016.
  9. That's fair...increasing the probability is all you can ask.
  10. LOL nope, I wouldn't bet a quarter on a baseball prediction.
  11. I agree, the final verdict on JF's 2017 performance is not in yet.
  12. Larry really has it in for DD.
  13. Congratulations!
  14. Jeezus, no eephus pitches...Spaceman Lee throwing one to Tony Perez in 1975 Game 7 was a big reason we lost the Series.
  15. What are you saying?
  16. -No one knows what caused the hitting declines. I don't know on what basis these could be blamed on the manager. -Rick Porcello won a Cy Young, yes, but has generally been a 4+ ERA pitcher. Porcello is on Ben. -Wright can be pinned on Farrell, sure, but I have no idea what he had to do with Thornburg's injury.
  17. Hanley is quite capable of performing on the big stage, I have no doubt about that.
  18. Station13 comes up with some funny s*** on the game threads.
  19. With Porcello or Fister I think you're basically rolling the dice. They might pitch 7 innings of 1 run ball or they might give up 4 in the first.
  20. You may be right. Some of my thinking is based on the principle that the pitching and defense have a large advantage over the offense which dictates that only about 9 runs are going to be scored in a game. Therefore we essentially know in advance that the heavy majority of pitches are not going to lead to any runs.
  21. Statistically Porcello and Fister have been pretty close. At this point I'd probably rather have Fister start than Porcello. But that's probably based mostly on gut feelings and the Recency Effect.
  22. July/11, so Theo's.
  23. I agree with that. I think Ben also has to take some negative responsibility for leaving behind a pretty horrible pitching staff and some bad contracts. But he also left behind a lot of good pieces to be sure.
  24. Certainly one could argue that every single pitch in a baseball game contributes to the outcome. I understand that reasoning but I don't fully accept it. Historical facts show that in a major league baseball game the 2 teams will score about 9 runs on average. That's the way the way the game is set up. So nothing that leads to runs will happen on most of the 300 pitches or so thrown in the game. That means that there are only a limited number of pitches that actually impact the outcome of the game. The statements you referenced - 'Farrell cost us the game by leaving a pitcher in too long' or 'Beni's boneheaded running cost us that game' - I agree that statements like these are usually wrong. I do believe there are some games where the decision of when to pull the pitcher can be crucial to the outcome. I also realize that you can never really prove whether that was the case or not. Didn't mean to hijack the subject matter of this thread.
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