Careful Max, if you don't ease back a little on this form of humor, you may become afflicted with the dreaded Sarcasm Spasms and never be able to speak normally again.
Lowrie has a career .819 OPS against us so he does hit us pretty well.
But the question that arises is, wouldn't he have had a much better career if he focused against every team like he does against us?
I could be wrong but I don't think the term 'accurate' can be applied to a forecast until results are known.
It's certainly a valid prediction at this point.
One of the most uncanny up and down seasons I've seen was Jason Bay in 2009. Here are his OPS by month:
A 1.123
M .978
J .701
J .689
A 1.097
S .966
It all added up to a .921 with 36 HR and 119 RBI. A great season, in spite of the fact he was not very good in June or July.
If a team is winning more than its share of blowouts and losing more than its share of close of games, or vice versa, this will show up in the difference between the actual W-L record and the Pythagorean record which is based on run differential.
There really are no perfect measurements for any of this stuff.
Not to be a wiseass, but...well, OK, I am a wiseass...nobody has 11 total bases in a game consistently.
I'm guessing Mookie will end up with an OPS of .825 or more this year...down from last year but still decent.