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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    I'm just suggesting the only reason they choose Boras is because he has gotten the biggest money deals in the past. It doesn't necessarily mean he's actually good at what he does.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Boras has the track record for getting the big deals, yes. But maybe it's just a case of the rich getting richer. How do we know other agents wouldn't have gotten just as much money?
  3. Bellhorn04
    It seems like we're out 22 million no matter which way we go, doesn't it?
  4. Bellhorn04
    Boras almost completely blew it for A-Rod, too. A-Rod had to take matters into his own hands and go crawling to the Yankee brass. Fortunately for him Hank Steinbrenner was there to play the fool.
  5. Bellhorn04
    I understand the sentiment, but I don't think Dave Dombrowski is going to use 'hardball' tactics quite like that. But he could certainly place a deadline on his best offer.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Or, the Red Sox will decide the matter by pulling their offer and going in another direction. Martinez will end up signing a smaller deal with Arizona because, well, he still wants to play baseball and like everyone he could use $100 million. There are all sorts of scenarios, harmony. Boras clients haven't always profited from his tactics. See Varitek, Jason and Drew, Stephen.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Red Sox ownership is wealthy, no one's denying that. But between all the bad contracts they've experienced, and all the taxes and penalties in place for exceeding payroll thresholds, you can't blame them for being a little conservative about how much they're willing to pay JDM.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Porcello also pretty much sucked in 2017. The guy just seems to throw too many pitches in the fat part of the plate.
  9. Bellhorn04
    I'm not averse to signing Cobb, but most seem to be. He also has the dreaded QO attached.
  10. Bellhorn04
    The facts indicate that Lester, ever the stand-up guy, was still open to re-signing with the Sox. If you recall it ended up with us, the Cubs and the Giants bidding for him. Then Lester informed the Giants they were out of it. Theo outbid us by $20 million. He 'overpaid', as we're all so fond of saying.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Yes, they basically traded Lester for Porcello. I'm still not a fan of it.
  12. Bellhorn04
    The other thing about Porcello is that he might be a case of being treated a little too well by fWAR as opposed to bWAR. If you look at Porcello's ERA+ or ERA-, he has actually been a below average pitcher most years.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Certainly not if Cobb's arm falls off as most think it will.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Way overstated. Porcello has NOT been a better value than Scherzer or Lester so far in terms of dollars per fWAR.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Hanley is a very likable fellow who can rake when he's healthy and in the groove. That said, he had an fWAR of -0.4 last year. He has a cumulative fWAR of 0.6 in 3 years for us, and has been paid 66 million dollars. So certainly we have issues with him in terms of value and cost. Plus he's got that burdensome vesting option adding to the yuck factors.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Don't count him out yet. He's probably more motivated than ever. It's all up to medical science.
  17. Bellhorn04
    There are actually two pretty big ifs. Pitchers staying healthy and offensive players rebounding. And then there's the Yankees. Pythagoras says they were 7 games better than us last year, and they added this Stanton guy and they still have some money and prospects to add on with...
  18. Bellhorn04
    Yes, it'll work out in the end for someone, that's for sure. Hopefully it's us. I think JDM is a good bet to be good, personally.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Certainly true. But at issue is what other offers do the Red Sox have to beat? That's normally all that really matters.
  20. Bellhorn04
    I think your position is reasonable but debatable. Certainly when John Henry hired DD he was looking for an aggressive approach. At the end of the day I think the current position can be traced to Henry, Dombrowski, Lucchino, and Cherington all. They all played their roles. You'll never hear me say anything bad about Theo, though. He was great and they screwed up letting him go.
  21. Bellhorn04
    It's not just years that matter. Cain 5/80 JDM 5/125 Notice any difference there? Also worth noting is that Cain is a 'complete player'. JDM is a bad defensive player with a DH profile.
  22. Bellhorn04
    But does this mean that the Red Sox should quite literally outbid themselves if necessary?
  23. Bellhorn04
    This isn't like buying a car where you can walk away from one dealership and go to another one selling the identical vehicle for less. There's only one truly big bat available and it's JDM.
  24. Bellhorn04
    What's so unusual is that so many other players are still unsigned. We've never seen anything like this kind of stagnancy. On the other side of the coin, if the Red Sox primary focus is JDM, why should they move on to other less preferable options if it seems highly unlikely no other team is going to make a serious move on JDM? He's not going to hold out forever with $125 million or so sitting on the table.
  25. Bellhorn04
    And how would we look for 2018 without Sale and Kimbrel?
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