Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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It's kind of a monster outlier in this size data set. What's especially incredible is the futility of those teams in the LDS round. 3 wins and 21 losses.
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Here's something that fascinates me: Over the last 20 years, 3 teams, Atlanta, Minnesota, and Oakland, have made the postseason, including Wild Card games, a combined total of 29 times. Results: Elimination in Wild Card Game - 5 (and no wins) Elimination in LDS - 21 Elimination in LCS - 3 Appearances in World Series - 0 If the playoffs really are a pure crapshoot, these teams have been INCREDIBLY snakebit.
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Many have given up on JBJ but what about Benny ?
Bellhorn04 replied to Swiharts Ghost's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Right, but if he opts out, that could impact what they do about Mookie. -
It's an imperfect rhyme.
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Aren't you the same fellow who, whenever it's pointed out that 2003 'closer by committee' was a bust, points out that by the playoffs the bullpen was actually pretty good? Maybe it was someone else.
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Or Romero the Zero!
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Many have given up on JBJ but what about Benny ?
Bellhorn04 replied to Swiharts Ghost's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The first big decision comes from JDM. -
One little side issue I'd like to raise is 'luck' vs. 'randomness'. I think there are some shades of difference between the two terms when applied to baseball, and there is also some crossover. For me, pure luck is something like Tony Clark's double bouncing into the stands in Game 5 of the 2004 ALCS and preventing what could have been the series-winning run from scoring. Pure randomness is something like a starting pitcher not having his best stuff on that particular day, as may have been the case with Cole in Game 1 of the WS. (On that point I'll refer once again to Mike Mussina's neat theorem that in 32 starts he would have everything working in 8 starts, nothing working in 8 starts, and something working in 16 starts.)
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It was Pedro's pitch count that was the issue. Grady was basically instructed by Theo to not let Pedro throw more than 105 pitches. Grady defied the order. It was ballsy of him, I'll say that much.
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I have set up a new thread for the 'playoffs are a crapshoot' topic.
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This question has been generating some debate again. I thought we should have a separate thread for it, and a poll to boot.
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It'll be a Cole day in Hell when we sign him.
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Plus 7-4 against the Rays & Yanks in the postseason.
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You gotta be kidding.
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Well, I'm afraid that wasn't much help. Kidding. I love philosophical stuff too.
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I pretty much agree. Baseball is a complex game at the major league level. Especially now with all the analytical and game-planning stuff. The "cheating" element can't be overlooked either-detecting pitch-tipping and stealing signs. That has become huge, for better or worse.
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So what exactly meets your definition of raw data?
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No, I agree that randomness is a big factor. I just think saying it's all luck once you get to the playoffs is overstating it.
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Soto looks Barry Bonds-ish.
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But on the Yankee thread you just said that the Yankees beat the Twins because they're the Twins, and that the Yankees over-reliance on bullpen contributed heavily to them losing to the Astros - implying that luck had little to do with either result.
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We also had Travis and Chavis who could play first. I'm not even sure why this is an issue.
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We've mentioned possible issues with his ability to play the position and injuries (back, Lisfranc). There's a pretty good chance he's a goner anyway, rendering all this a moot point.
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Greinke's payroll cost is not a killer. He's on the books for 2 years at a net AAV of about 24 mill per year after Arizona's contribution of 10.33 mill. Also woth noting is that Verlander's deal expires in 2021 just like Greinke's.
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He also had the Lisfranc injury in 2017.
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There are two possible downsides. One is he's not a good first baseman. The other is he's more subject to injury. Pretty much the same as they were for David Ortiz. Although Ortiz was a decent first baseman when he played.
