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Everything posted by User Name

  1. User Name
    My main problem with QS is that 6 IP, 3 ER outing (4.50 ERA) is considered a QS while a 9 IP, 4 ER outing (4.00 ERA) is not. However, i agree with Bellhorn in that it's a decent tool for evaluating the overall effectiveness of a pitcher.
  2. User Name
    In theory yes. I'm not going to sit here and tell you i'm right, but it certainly helps clear the water if you try to keep the analysis as simple as possible. That's the problem with trying to analyze data in small samples. Too many outlier landmines.
  3. User Name
    Also, i don't know where you came up with 3.75 ERA Orange Juiced. If you take away his best and worst outings, you end up with a 4.09 ERA.
  4. User Name
    You can. If you can reliably pinpoint what an "outlier" is for a pitcher. With Peavy having two nearly identical 7 IP, 1 ER in a small sample, they can't be considered outliers. However, both 6 ER outings can be.
  5. User Name
    Usually what happens is that pitchers have several "outlier" starts. Those are starts you know a pitcher can't consistently get, like 2 IP, 6 ER blowups or CG shutouts. But Peavy's only "good" outlier is a 9 IP 1 ER outing, and his two best after that are nearly identical 7 IP,1 ER outings. Those aren't outliers. I think the 4.09 ERA resulting from removing his best and worst start is the best you can when looking for a "true" average.
  6. User Name
    Having "too much pitching" always works itself out. Next thing you know, Buch doesn't come back and one of the other guys get injured.
  7. User Name
    Taking the two 6 ER ones is not plausible. He does not have two equally good starts to discount for analytical purposes, which is strange.
  8. User Name
    For this case yes, since you are only mentioning his worst blowup. I am merely presenting the rule of thumb. For every one of his worst starts you discount, you have to discount one of the best.
  9. User Name
    By this criteria, he'd have a 4.09 ERA. Slight improvement, but not a .50 ERA improvement.
  10. User Name
    If you want to evaluate an SP by taking away his worst starts, you have to take away his best starts as well in order to remove all outliers.
  11. User Name
    All of those guys could outhit Iglesias with a blindfold. This post comes across as a whine-fest.
  12. User Name
    Rizzo: .238/.332/.433 .765 OPS this season. Just sayin'
  13. User Name
    Yet he's been the team's second-best hitter for almost a month now.......872 OPS over the last month, and an .868 OPS for the season with RISP. Don't get me wrong, they over paid, but it's not like he's a waste like Hamilton and some of the other overpriced FA busts (including Lord Snow favorite Nick Swisher)
  14. User Name
    Your opinion of Dempster is not valid. They expected him to be a mid-rotation starter (which is what he has been) and overpaid to reduce the contract's time. I wasn't crazy about the deal, but saw the logic behind it. Victorino's still a bit of a head-scratcher, but he's been decent. As for the rest of your post, you made several threads and posts whining about how Cherington should be fired and how this team would end up in last place and had some pretty strong words for those who said they could at least compete. You were dead wrong, and they (including me) were right.
  15. User Name
    Workman?
  16. User Name
    Yeah he did have a thing for Gonzales.
  17. User Name
    Palodios has dibs on Cherington.
  18. User Name
    Dempster's been better than most of the offseason pitcher signings, and a passable mid-rotation starter. You also conveniently forgot to add the value of Victorino's D to the equation. Health has been his issue. You were mostly wrong about everything you predicted about this team. Maybe man up and admit it instead of coming up with this sorta crap?
  19. User Name
    That's why i put in the caveats of them getting desperate at the last minute, and the Sox taking Young off their hands.....remember what the price for Peavy used to be? They wanted Bogaerts too.
  20. User Name
    And he can. But i doubt he will.
  21. User Name
    I'd consider it but I don't think there's something the Phillies would want that I would realistically do. I would personally inquire about Giancarlo Stanton. I don't think that'll happen either but I think you at the very least have to see what it would take to lure him away. He's more of somebody that I would consider losing key pieces on the farm for. I know it's a totally different idea than trading for Lee, I'm just spitballing here.
  22. User Name
    By that time one of our pitching prospects should be in the rotation with a WHIP below 1.4
  23. User Name
    Yes. He is.
  24. User Name
    Workman has the ability to work out of the BP, and Dempster's done it before too.
  25. User Name
    Sigged.
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