Here we go again E1. Nothing is controllable. Predictable? Yes. This is not about lucky. Look at the tremendous job that TB has done in the recent years with a limited budget.
Even a single win or 5 or 20 or 95 wins are outside of your control, NOTHING can guarantee you an outcome, NOTHING. On the other hand each team makes all the necessary to win as many games as possible according to their budget, farm, market, structure, etc., etc. etc.
NY, Boston, Philadelphia, among a few others, have the OBLIGATION to make at least the POs. If they don't do that, it doesn't matter how many games you win against NYY or how many months you are in the first place or how many games you win after 162; the balance score card will show you that you failed. is it cruel? is it silly? is it drastic? no it is not, actually. When you have a record of 3 Y in a row which you haven't won a single PO game, regardless the terrible execution at FA, and even with those 95 W/year or whatever, an imminent fumigation is expected to be executed in your house as happened in our team. A700, SCM33, I and a few others said that and a lot of people called us crazy and pessimist and that these kind of things don't happen in baseball and much less in a team like Boston. This is pretty simple, actually, when you spend those tons of money and you don't make at least the POs as a minimal objective or the ALCS (not win it but at least appear in that series) in order to call it as an acceptable/good season, you simply label the season as a failure. This is called result-oriented view and is how business execute and run their business in order to plan and move forward. Don't believe me? look at the people that have lost their jobs included Mr. Theo, otherwise they wouldn't walk, would they?