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iortiz

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Everything posted by iortiz

  1. iortiz
    I like Koji and all he did but at the time Koji had very little experience closing. Not even comparable with the other 2 busts. At the time I clearly remember Cherrys asking for closers included Papelbon since Koji and Tazawa weren't that "safe bet" for the rest of the season left.
  2. iortiz
    Yeah! Add this as well to the planets haha. Will all the things align again? I do not want to be negative but it is a looooooong crap shot.
  3. iortiz
    Bailey and Hanrahan were busts, so at the time you had two options, trade for a closer or try with Koji or Tazawa. It worked out but in all fairness nobody saw that coming specially with those numbers posted.
  4. iortiz
    I was going to say the same. Find me an available 2B with his O and specially with his D right now. The strategy is to set a GB pitching staff, since we do not want to pay big money in proved arms, isn't it? well, Peddy is a master piece in that regard, considering as well that XB has to improve, and probably you are going to need a guy who covers a bit more of the usual range of the IF.
  5. iortiz
    You are missing the point. You are looking it in a retrospective way. In a retrospective take, it is easy to judge, even a 10 Y old can. Point is, look it as it is right now; entering into a new season. Did you expect a microscopic ERA from Buch while giving u 12 W even with his healthy situation during that season? Did you really expect a solid Lackey? a lot of scepticism was around Lester everywhere. ...And yes! a lot of things aligned as well. Our back-end of the BP was found during the season and their performance were simply ridiculous; an automatic win. Papi hit as he was out of this planet, specially in PO. etc. Point is, while I was very sceptical entering into 2013 season, I was not this sceptical specially regarding pitching.
  6. iortiz
    I do not want to take away any credit to anybody of the 2013 red sox, cause they were a very exciting team to watch, but in that year a lot of good and unexpected things happened. The planets just aligned I would say. Is it going to happen again if this is the finish product? Hopefully, but this current rotation is not even a PO one in my book.
  7. iortiz
    What point?
  8. iortiz
    Yeah but those teams were in POs and with realistic posibilities to make a big splash. Do u really think this rotation is even comparable with those? Really? Again, hopefully I eat my words but I see a bunch of mediocre arms with serious prone injury issues in this current rotation.
  9. iortiz
    LOL, maybe.
  10. iortiz
    “We’re pursuing some stuff but I think it’€™s more what you would classify as depth related,” Cherington said. “…We like where we’€™re at. We like the collection of pitchers we have. We think there’€™s untapped potential in the group and the collection we have now can give us a strong pitching staff this year.” If true, the worst rotation on paper since I can remember entering into a new season.
  11. iortiz
    Thank you Fred, anytime I could give you some picks and hopefully help you win some extra cash but mostly put extra pepper and excitement to the game.
  12. iortiz
    Since Lackey, who has been our top dollar pitcher in recent years? No one has emerged from the farm since then either. It's time to spend on quality arms for once and for all.
  13. iortiz
    Yeah! A 190-200 M take it or leave it offer could have worked out at the time, I'm pretty sure as well. At the same discount rate it would have meant a NPV of 97 M with a cash flow of 20 M/10 Y.
  14. iortiz
    haha...Well, I'm not a golfing guy but it would be great to learn a bit and share with you and your friends a couple of shots of bourbons with a cigar while talking about baseball cp. Regarding JZ he would be a nice addition but again... why would we give up top prospects when Shields is still around, and he only would cost money. On the other hand, if they land JZ AND Shields (pipe dream) I'm all for it regardless the names of the prospects.
  15. iortiz
    Not sure which name would be, but at least 1 top prospect will be on the table.
  16. iortiz
    Well if the the cash flow is 15 M/14 Y (210 M), and the discount rate is around 10% in the next 14 Y (which is high IMO), the Net Present Value will be 110 M.
  17. iortiz
    They tried but shitted the bed on Lester. Their plan B was to sign these #4-5 combo and probably round them with a No. 1 which still too be seen. If they end up like this my feeling of frustration will be just the same as yours cp.
  18. iortiz
    This reinforces my argument... Fred is nice when you are nice regardless you agree or disagree in a specific topic. Problem is when you or anybody is attacked.
  19. iortiz
    I think I've been disciplined and cautious when I bet. Thanks God I haven't lost my mind reacting based on my feelings; I think it has been great part of this little success. Some still calling it lucky... well I think time will tell.
  20. iortiz
    Sure you both have had your differences, but in all fairness MVP, recently I think Fred has been very nice with you as far I remember. I have said this before, but while some posters talk about the FO and players (good or bad, Fred's case), others attack the poster. Of course, once you are attacked, like in Fred's case, you have to strike back, Newton's 3rd law haha.
  21. iortiz
    Thanks Ted. It is just a hobby in order to put more excitement and interest to the game. I began with 100 bucks and after 3 years running this model I have made around 10,000 USD, not bad for a fan huh LOL!. Even if I lose this money (unlikely considering the W tendency), it is still the money of the house haha. I see this just as the stock market... but instead of using economic metrics, I use a combination of basic and advanced baseball metrics arranged in a numeric method suggested by an IBM SPSS software (Recently incorporated to my model). I think I said before but this model works pretty decent (72 % of Hit Rate last season) when you bet on 4 1/2 handicap bets at bet365.com since it gives you an edge to away teams and makes it interesting in parlay/multilines tickets when these away teams are underdogs and their pitchers are at least their No. 2s.
  22. iortiz
    ... On the other hand, there was a poll on ESPNBoston.com some weeks ago, about the current rotation; not sure if you checked it out but it showed a considerable percentage (40%+ or so) who said that the actual rotation is ok going forward.
  23. iortiz
    Again, I'm not arguing that.
  24. iortiz
    Not sure what the "actual argument" is, but It's pretty clear that the majority of the fan base think that we need an extra arm, no one has disputed that. Maybe very few think that we are 2 arms away. I'm in that group.
  25. iortiz
    really? dammit! haha. Porcello better perform as some are projecting.
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