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Palodios

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Everything posted by Palodios

  1. Palodios
    http://www.weei.com/sports/boston/baseball/red-sox/alex-speier/2010/10/07/why-red-sox-might-keep-rolling-daisuke-matsuza Injuries played a significant role in his failures. It happens.
  2. Palodios
    I think its more relevant to look at what they did the last two off-seasons. They try not to spend a ton of money, except on sure-things and short term deals. Lackey had pitched 160+ innings the last seven years, with an ERA around mid 3s for the last couple of years. Scutaro/Cameron/Penny/Smoltz/Beltre were clearly short term options. They spent the Texeira money on long term contracts for their young stars. Beckett's contract was considered to be very club-friendly at the time.
  3. Palodios
    3 But that really isn't the case. #2s get 14-16 million. Aces get 19-23 million. Any true ace, like Halladay, Lee, Sabathia, Santana, is going to be worth 33% more than their #2 counterparts. Maybe the gap isn't big enough, but its definitely there.
  4. Palodios
    Well, I know I have a bad habit of exaggerating a good point and making it seem questionable. But is it so hard to believe that having a record breaking passing game for several years has taken a little too much pressure off the defense and running game?
  5. Palodios
  6. Palodios
    Yeah, it is serious. When you're the Patriot defense, and suddenly, your team is scoring 40 points per game, you stop mattering. The only time anyone even mentions the defense the Patriot offense scores less than the opposing offense. The complete philosophy of the team shifted to simply crushing the other team on offense, and less emphasis was put on the defense from a coaching standpoint. Remember that game last year (I think it was against the Colts) where the Patriots had a 4 and short in their own territory in the fourth quarter and BB decided to give it to Tom instead of punting it? That's exactly what I'm talking about.
  7. Palodios
    Yes, he is a good decoy, and yes, he makes big plays against mediocre teams. But elite teams are going to have an answer for him defensively. The game against the Jets is a perfect example-- Sure he caught a touchdown pass, but Tom threw two interceptions while trying to get to him, very likely because Moss demanded to be thrown to. When a player's ego becomes more important than the team, how on earth would you expect BB to keep the guy around? Being late for practice, complaining about his treatment in press conferences, confrontations in the locker room and on the plane ride... it was time. It seems almost as if having Moss around has caused the defense to get lethargic because they feel like they don't need to play well, just good enough so the Patriot offense can finish it off. The offense is still going to be very very good, but now the defense is going to know that it actually needs to perform before this team will get anywhere.
  8. Palodios
    As much as it scares me to point it out... Wakefield is still under contract for 2011.
  9. Palodios
    By "wait" for him, most liklely that means a short term solution like Dunn/Konerko, and then let Rizzo fill in when he's ready.
  10. Palodios
  11. Palodios
    Minnesota scored 781 this season.... the Yankees scored 859. Is that a big enough difference in offense to make up for a pitching staff that drops off significantly after Sabathia? I think that if the Twins can get to C.C. in game 1, they have a very very good chance at winning the series.
  12. Palodios
    I can't seriously see a team with 70 million coming off the books-- and 23 coming off the outfield next year--being priced out of Werth AND Crawford.
  13. Palodios
    I don't see the Phillies losing games 1 or 2. Game 3 is up for grabs, but if not, Halladay will finish it out in game 4.
  14. Palodios
    I'm not saying they won't be in on him. The problem was that the Red Sox completely overbid on the posting fee, and they won't be doing that again. While their system has a handful of japanese translators and infrastructure in place to accommodate Darvish, unless they get him at a good price, I think that 1) it will be a bad PR move 2) They have five starters locked in until 2012. 3) A lot of Japan probably took Dice-k's side on his disagreements with the team, thus Darvish might not even want to play with the Red Sox. 4) The Red Sox have so much money tied into starting pitchers, and considering what a risk signing another unproven Japanese pitcher is, and the cost Yu will go for, they will probably be far more interested in going a different direction if they drop one of their five starters. 5) the Red Sox training program had no clue how to handle the transition for Dice-k, and quite frankly, I still don't think they do.
  15. Palodios
    Well, they'll be keeping tabs, but based on how Dice-k's situation has been a bit of a PR nightmare, I think they'll probably bid low on Yu if it happens.
  16. Palodios
    Its the matter of how much money the sox will be dumping. If they get 10/2 for him, it makes a much bigger difference if they're losing 27/2 than 9/2.
  17. Palodios
    Beltran makes our broken-outfield problem so much worse. Drew, Beltran, Ellsbury, Cameron.... Why do I get a feeling the starting OFs mid-season 2011 will be Nava, Reddick, and Kalish?
  18. Palodios
  19. Palodios
    He seems to dominate in odd years. But, I'm undecided so far.
  20. Palodios
    Everyone should know what I meant. "In Arbitration" is just as likely to mean "in arbitration years" as "in arbitration hearings". Please don't nitpick-- there are usually enough holes in my argument that semantics should be the least of your worries:lol:
  21. Palodios
    Dice-k will be costing roughly 18.5 million dollars each of the next two years because of the posting fee. He's clearly not going to be worth that much. However, at most, Seattle will probably give the team 5 million a year for him. The situation is the same with Dice-k as Beckett and as with Lackey. They are costing more than they're worth, but the simple fact is that no one is going to give the team anything of value to obtain them. They all have potential, and I'd rather seem them reach it here rather than pay for them to reach it elsewhere.
  22. Palodios
    Considering the Red Sox don't let players go to arbitration hearings, a one year contract resulting from avoiding arbitration like Bourn's is exactly what he's going to get.
  23. Palodios
    The best comparison I can find is Michael Bourn In 2008, he had a .588 OPS with 41 steals. In 2009, he had a .738 OPS with 61 steals. In arbitration the next season he made 2.4 million while playing for the Astros. Average/OPS is .269/.673 for his career. Ellsbury In 2008, he had a .729 OPS with 50 steals. In 2009, he had a .770 OPS with 70 steals. He was injured-- and the Red Sox medical misdiagnosed his injury. Average/OPS .291/.749 for his career in the toughest division. He definitely deserves more than Bourn. Crawford got a 4/16 contract through arbitration + the year before, and Crawford wasn't hitting quite as well back then. 4 to 5 million seems very likely, and because of the medical complications, were it to go to arbitration, he could definitely use that in his favor.
  24. Palodios
    Well, it depends on Ellsbury, but if he costs 3.5 like you say, we're still at 17. With Okajima, that's 20-21.
  25. Palodios
    9 straight hours of Red Sox Yankees... too bad they're not close in the standings, or this would have been epic.
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