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Palodios

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Everything posted by Palodios

  1. Palodios
  2. Palodios
  3. Palodios
    Surprising-- If they trade for Ramirez and extend him, he will be 33 when that extension goes through, and the Red Sox have made it clear that they don't like signing older guys for long contracts.
  4. Palodios
    You said Lowrie would be average/above average. Above average 3B this year are from .750 OPS to .800 OPS and the top tier is from .800 to .920, although most of those guys are close to .850. Based on the samples we have, I don't think its unreasonable to believe Lowrie can't stay around low .800s considering that he's still a young guy who has been playing through injuries. Mark Reynolds is .818 for his career-- Young is .790, and Aramis is .838. Lowrie's stat line has suffered badly from his wrist injury, and its pretty clear if you look at befores/afters for the 2008 season, but he still has a .740 OPS. I don't believe he's going to stay healthy... but if this team needs to make a sacrifice at one position, which duo would you rather see starting-- Lowrie+Crawford or Beltre+Cameron?
  5. Palodios
    At this point in his career, he'd probably make a similar amount of money as a coach as he would a player.
  6. Palodios
  7. Palodios
  8. Palodios
    Here's an idea-- why don't the Red Sox dump Farrell's useless ass and replace him with Varitek?
  9. Palodios
  10. Palodios
    Cecil also started to struggle at the big league level around age 34/35. Prince is only 26. Unless they give him a 10 year contract, an early departure from the majors isn't going to be the Red Sox's problem.
  11. Palodios
    Nava needed more time to develop. For a guy who went undrafted, to go from A ball in 2008 to pro-ball in early 2010 is too fast a rise, and he just couldnt keep up.
  12. Palodios
    Sabathia gave up 7 runs last time out. You never know-- 230+ innings for 4 years straight could wear the big guy out.
  13. Palodios
    Its interesting to consider-- this organization's greatest strength lately has been their gift to draft good players and build through the farm system. They've been fairly weak when it comes to free agency. So, relief pitchers-- guys who generally get short term deals and live in free agency-- has been where this organization has had quite a few failures. Although this year has been bad luck, its still intriguing.
  14. Palodios
    Casey Blake is 16th(ie, dead middle) in the league for OPS at 3B, with .720. In his last three injury-ridden seasons, Lowrie has averaged .744. I don't think its over-optimistic to believe Lowrie will seriously outperform that kind of production. His arm might be lacking at third, but he is fairly talented defensively as it is.
  15. Palodios
    If you compare this year's bullpen to last year's bullpen, the only difference is they replace Saito with Bard, and Masterson with Atchison. And yet, the bullpen went from being #2 in the AL to #12 out of 14.
  16. Palodios
    I had Jed Lowrie as my starting shortstop in two fantasy leagues in 2009 because I thought he was going to be sleeper hit after struggling with the wrist injury in 2008, but if he can't play, he can't perform. It seems like everyone around here agrees with me-- he'd be a great hitter if only he could stay healthy.
  17. Palodios
    For all your warning signs, there were good signs too. Manny Delcarmen looked crummy in the preseason, but had incredible results in April/May before getting injured. The 7th spot mess worked out. Ramon Ramirez had a rough April, but the rest of his season has been fine-- especially his time with SF. Papelbon was solid at the beginning of the year. Okajima is the only pitcher who has been a complete black mark.
  18. Palodios
    Yeah, I can understand that. Just keep in mind-- Its a lot easier to back up your projections for a player when he has performed at the major league level rather than in AA or AAA. Other posters here will be much more likely to agree with you when prospects have faced real competition.
  19. Palodios
    Embree/Schoenweiss/Bonser/Atchison/the other Ramon Ramirez were all fighting for the last spot in the bullpen-- they were never meant to all be on the roster, the team simply wanted to take the best individual of that group, and they did. The early injury to Dice-k earned Shoenweiss a spot because Wakefield took Dice-k's spot. They weren't elite solutions, they were supposed to be mop-up men, and that plan worked out far better than anyone could have hoped with Atchison.
  20. Palodios
    Jed Lowrie has 7 HR in 150 at bats despite taking the last two full years off. I think he can hit a lot more than 12-15 per year. I know it isn't one of his prospected skills, but he's definitely proving it right now.
  21. Palodios
    Kerry Wood had an ERA of 6.30 when he was traded this year. Had they acquired him, and had he not turned back into an elite pitcher, you would be insulting the FO for not acquiring someone else.
  22. Palodios
    Let's compare the ERA of the bullpen arms from last year to this year, and by career numbers R. Ramirez___2.84/4.46/3.31 Okajima_____3.39/4.74/3.09 Papelbon____1.85/4.02/2.23 MDC________4.53/5.19/3.99 hell, I'll throw in these guys too. Beckett 3.87/5.77/3.95 Lackey 3.83/4.51/3.90 Wakefield 4.58/5.17/4.37 It is not opinion that this team's pitching staff has had a bad year, it is an explicitly clear fact. There is no way the FO could have foreseen this happening considering what these guys did last year. They spent half the season assuming that it was just a bad start and atleast one or two of them would revert to career numbers, but unfortunately it did not happen. I still am under the belief that there is something seriously wrong with the Red Sox training staff/program. I know everyone likes to ignore this as a crackpot theory, but every single pitcher over the age of 26 seriously underperformed this year. Whatever it is, the older guys can't handle it.
  23. Palodios
    The point I'm making is that the FO did have a plan. They converted their best two AAA pitchers to bullpen arms, and dropped the s***** pieces of the team. They also tested a few mediocre pitchers in noncrucial situation until one worked-- Atchison. Considering their long-term strategy for this season it makes more than enough sense for me.
  24. Palodios
    That too. Plus, you have to put into consideration that if they get him now for a 5-7 year extension, that means he'll be here for 6-8 years at high cost. If this team is planning to spend that much money they'll go for A-gon--or in a beautiful, ideal world, Pujols.
  25. Palodios
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