Imperial59
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Everything posted by Imperial59
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Looks like Beltre turned down a 3-year deal and a 4-year deal to sign with the Sox. So I'm sure he'll be highly motivated to improve his value next year and get better contract offers next year. Will that mean another 48 home run seaosn? Probably not, but if he hits 30 home runs, he'd be worth about 2 more wins than Lowell was last year, which would make us about a 97 win team before you factor in Lackey and Scutaro. http://www.bostonherald.com/blogs/sports/red_sox/index.php/2010/01/04/beltre-turned-down-more-money-to-play-for-sox/
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Here's a BP blog post on how great a value Beltre could be next year. They project him at around a 3.1 WAR and a $14 million value in 2010. That's almost 3 times the WAR Lowell provided last year and it's well under what he's going to be paid as well. http://www.baseballdailydigest.com/2010/01/01/why-your-team-should-sign-adrian-beltre/
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Go take a look at the Cot's 2010 salary table. It doesn't include salary figures for any of those players because they haven't agreed to a contract for next year yet. They're under team control, but they don't have contracts.
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This commercial's a few years old, but it's what I think of every time I hear Beltre's name.
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That's because Cot's doesn't include arbitration eligible players since those players technically haven't committed to salaries for 2010. No one actually knows what the Red Sox salary will be next year yet. We'll have to wait and see what arb eligible players they settle with and for how much money, and which they have to go to arbitration with, and how much money the players that go to arbitration make. Unless the Sox dump part of Lowell's salary, or dump someone else's salary, their salary figures to be about $180 million.
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I agree completely. The last two years he was healthy he was good for 25 and 26 home runs in a very unfriendly hitter's park. He could easily hit 30 in Fenway next year if he's healthy and he's currently the best defensive 3B in baseball.
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I love the one year deal for Beltre. Worst case scenario, he repeats the offensive season he had last year, but he solidifies us as the best defense in baseball on paper. A more likely scenario is that his offense improves now that he's healthy and hitting in Fenway Park and he's a more productive player than Lowell was last year for less money. Plus the one year deal means that it's still possible to trade for a big bat to play first or third either at the trade deadline or next offseason.
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The Red Sox will almost certainly be over the luxury tax with their opening day salary. But remember, the luxury tax is based on the average salary of the team throughout the year. In theory, the Sox could find someone to take on some of Lowell's salary and then trade someone like Papelbon and/or Ellsbury and lower payroll back below the salary tax threshold. I think the Sox are more than willing to pay the extra few million for the salary tax this year. They have over $60 million coming off the books after this season, so they could easily slide back under the luxury tax threshold next year.
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You're right, there's no way the Sox could remain competitive without adding over $50 million in salary next year But then again, you're always right Jacko. We respect your opinions so much and wait in anticipation of your next post on how Brett Gardner is better than Jacoby Ellsbury.
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New York Yankees 2010 offseason thread
Imperial59 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Other Baseball
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New York Yankees 2010 offseason thread
Imperial59 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Other Baseball
Has 2007 repeated over and over the last few years? No? Then you don't have a point. -
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Average AL ERA in 2008 - 4.35 Vazquez - 4.67 Average AL ERA in 2006 - 4.56 Vazquez - 4.84 Average AL ERA in 2004 - 4.63 Vazquez - 4.91 I could care less if Jacko thinks he was "above average" in those years. I would love to Vazquez to pitch 300 innings for the Yankees if he's going to be that much worse than the league average pitcher as far as allowing runs.
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New York Yankees 2010 offseason thread
Imperial59 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Other Baseball
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I only got to see the first period, but I liked the box score.
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I would LOVE for Vazquez to repeat one of his "above average" performances like he had in 2004, 2006 or 2008 in the American League.
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I only had time to watch the first period before I had to go to work, but it pretty much made my day. I love the idea of the winter classic and I love the idea of my favorite hockey team playing in my favorite sports stadium even though they play a different sport. I was excited about this game ever since it was announced that they'd play in Fenway.
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Really, the duh didn't send off red flags for you? He just said he agreed with your argument...