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Imperial59

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Everything posted by Imperial59

  1. Lester's pitched 200 innings the last two years. Beckett's pitched 200 innings 3 of the last 4 years. Lackey can usually be counted on for 200 innings. I wouldn't say it's super durable, but the average age of our rotation is more than 3 years younger than yours. And you guys are the ones counting on AJ Burnett and a 38 year old Andy Petitte as your #2 and #3 starter.
  2. And how many times throughout his 11 year career has he gone 3 seasons in a row without getting hurt? I'll save you time - 0.
  3. And where are you getting his career numbers in the NL?
  4. Can't be disappointed about this one. The Yankees had an opportunity to sign a free agent like John Lackey or make a trade for a pitcher like Roy Halladay. But instead, they traded away their regular CF/LF (and according to Joel Sherman they aren't going after a new one) for a guy with an ERA of 4.52 over 4 years in the American League. It should be fun watching a guy who's allowed more than a home run per 9 innings of his career pitch in the new Yankee Stadium.
  5. Here are the final payrolls for 2009. " Yankees; $220,024,917 Mets: $142,229,759 Cubs: $141,632,703 Red Sox: $140,454,683 Tigers: $139,429,408 Phillies: $138,286,499 Dodgers: $131,507,197 Angels: $121,947,524 Astros: $108,059,086 White Sox: $105,287,384 Cardinals: $102,678,475 Mariners: $102,343,617 Braves: $100,078,591 Giants: $95,202,185 Brewers: $90,006,172 Rockies: $84,450,797 Blue Jays: $84,130,513 Royals: $81,917,563 Orioles: $79,308,066 Rangers: $77,208,810 Guardians: $77,192,253 Diamondbacks: $73,800,852 Twins: $73,068,407 Reds: $72,693,206 Rays: $71,222,532 Nationals: $69,321,137 Athletics: $61,688,124 Pirates: $47,991,132 Padres: $43,210,258 Marlins: $37,532,482" http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/extras/extra_bases/2009/12/the_price_you_p.html As far as I know, the previous record for the highest MLB payroll was the 2007 mark the Yankees set at $218.3 million. So much for the myth that the Yankees cut payroll
  6. Your definition of a "sure thing" for a starter is a starter with a H/9 under 9 and a BB/9 under 4 as well? lol
  7. I brought up their career ERA and the fact that BABIP is more accurate when compared to career averages than the baseline .300. But basically my point is that neither starter is a sure thing because neither one has proven anything at the major league level yet. Career ERA isn't the most accurate assessment of a pitcher, but it's more accurate than using a 99 IP sample size to assess a pitcher's ability.
  8. It could be Harang. He's struggled to stay healthy the last 2 years while his hit rates have jumped from an average of 8.8 in 06 and 07 to 10.2 in 08 and 09. His home run rates have jumped to over 1.5 per 9 IP the last 2 years, something that could be disastrous at the new Yankee Stadium. And his K/9 rates have dropped from 8.4 per 9 to 7.7 per 9. His WHIP has skyrocketed along with this ERA+ and he'll be 32 next year. He's basically the same as a Lowe as far as his value.
  9. To me, and probably most others, "sure thing" means something completely different. But going by your definition how would you define "likely to actually work"?
  10. Again, you're just comparing Buchholz last year to Chamberlain last year. Both pitchers have much larger sample sizes as MLB starters. Even if you eliminate Buch's stats last year because of his changed arm slot, that doesn't give you a reason to eliminate Chamberlain's very strong stats last year as a starter.
  11. Hey Imp. This post is a little screwed up. No insult meant. But there is text in the bottom that sort of looks like Dipre's language. I think, anyways. Thanks man. I think I fixed it.
  12. 1) Career averages for BABIP are much more reliable than putting everyone on the same .300 scale because pitcher and hitters consistently maintain a higher than normal or lower than normal BABIP over their career. 2) How many starters can you name that have maintained a 1.38 WHIP while posting a good ERA over a few years? 3) I'm making the case that neither one of reliable, so you're just proving my point. 4) Buchholz high BB/9 in addition to his high H/9 are also not sustainable if he is to be a quality pitcher.
  13. What peripherals were ugly for Buch last year? His 8.9 H/9, 3.52 BB/9, his 1.89 K/BB, his 1.38 WHIP, his 76.7 LOB%, etc.
  14. I agree that Chamberlain was inconsistent last year, but so was Buccholz and his peripherals were rather ugly. I've used stats plenty of times now, whether or not you've ignored them is up to you. But me being a Sox fan isn't the basis of my objectivity lol
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