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Imperial59

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Everything posted by Imperial59

  1. Imperial59
    I just don't know how the Yankees will overcome such a "massive dropoff" in offense going from Matsui to Granderson
  2. Imperial59
  3. Imperial59
    Anything's possible. It's possible they could score 2,000 runs next year. But I think it's highly improbable that they see improvement from 7 spots in the lineup.
  4. Imperial59
    Gee, I wonder why they weren't interested...
  5. Imperial59
    There's really only a major dropoff at the 5th spot, where the Yankees will lose 15-20 points of OPS+. But they'll gain some offense if A-Rod is healthier next year as well. They'll probably see some minor regression from a handful of other players (Jeter, Posada, Swisher) as well. Overall, they'll still be a great offense but probably not as good as they were last year.
  6. Imperial59
  7. Imperial59
    I'd start the season off with: *Ellsbury (.770 OPS, 70 SB ) Pedroia (.819 OPS) Martinez (.861 OPS) Youkilis (.961 OPS, 1.075+ OPS w/ RISP the last two years) Drew (.914 OPS, .958 OPS ove his career hitting in the 5th spot) Beltre (.850+ OPS away from Safeco the last two years he was healthy) Ortiz (.798 OPS) Cameron (.795 OPS) *Scutaro (.789 OPS) The great part about this lineup is that it has no weak spot. The AL average OPS was .763 last year. *If Scutaro posts an OBP that's .10 points better than Ellsbury, I'd make him the leadoff hitter. Ellsbury has been a much better hitter at the bottom of the order over his career. He has a .725 OPS at a leadoff hitter, an .804 OPS batting 7th, a 1.135 OPS batting 8th and a .985 OPS batting 9th.
  8. Imperial59
    Yeah, that was vintage Thomas. He stopped 41 of 42 shots in regulation and then stopped all 4 shots in the shootout. He carried this team. We can only hope he keeps this up while 1/3 of our team is on the bench.
  9. Imperial59
    I'm especially interested to see what Scutaro can do. He had a +20.3 UZR at shortstop in 2008, and he lead all AL shortstops in UZR/150 in the first half of last year before his foot slowed him down. All he needs to do is have a .700 OPS and he'll be an improvement offensively over the combined OPS our 2009 shortstops. And Scutaro's another guy who figures to get an offensive boost coming to Fenway. He's played most of his career in the Rogers Center and the Coliseum, neither of which are very friendly to hitters. If he can just play solid defense and be a .350 OBP guy at the bottom of the order, we'd be a lot better off than we were last year.
  10. Imperial59
  11. Imperial59
    Yeah, not sure where he's getting the .270 AVG from. I could care less about what AVG Cameron hits for though. The 25 home runs is a pretty safe guess, he's hit 24 and 25 each of the last two years. Beltre hitting 32 home runs in Fenway is certainly possible. He hit 25+ 2006-2008 in a very unfriendly hitting park. His road splits suggest he could have hit 30 home runs had he played all his games away from Safeco. If Fenway Park improves Beltre's numbers anywhere near the level it improved Lowell's, we've got another middle of the order bat.
  12. Imperial59
    If anyone doubts that defense is a major difference maker, tust look at the teams that have played in the World Series lately. Yankees - 19th in UZR, Phillies - 8th in UZR Rays - 1st in UZR, Phillies - 2nd in UZR Red Sox - 7th in UZR, Rockies - 10th in UZR Tigers - 3rd in UZR, Cardinals - 10th in UZR White Sox - 4th in UZR, Astros - 11th in UZR Red Sox - 29th in UZR, Cardinals - 8th in UZR Only 2 out of 12 teams that made the World Series had poor defense. 9 of the 12 teams were in the top 1/3 of team UZR. And the only two teams that won the World Series with a poor defense scored over 900 runs, which isn't realistically in reach for us next year.
  13. Imperial59
    Here's some food for though. In 2004 the Red Sox scored 82 more runs than they did in 2007. But if it was the improved defense, not the offense that won it for us in 2007. They went from the second worst defense in baseball in 2004 (according to UZR) to the 7th best and their run differential improved by 68 runs, event though they lost 82 runs of offense.
  14. Imperial59
    BA has him ranked #23 in the draft and we have the 20th pick. It's certainly possible that we could draft him.
  15. Imperial59
    I think you misunderstood what I said. I said that Wang was coming off an injury shortened season and he was no longer counted on to be the team's #2 starter after the Yankees acquired AJ Burnett, who is a better pitcher. I seriously doubt the Yankees were expecting him to be the Yankees' #2 starter going into 2009.
  16. Imperial59
  17. Imperial59
    Yeah, he's a rather typical minor league signing that may provide some depth down the road should another guy not work out or get hurt.
  18. Imperial59
    It's more or less neutral. But Miller Park is not at all neutral. It cut down on run production by 11.5%, which made it the 4th worst hitting ballpark in baseball last year. It has had a negative effect on run production both of the years that Cameron has played there.
  19. Imperial59
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  23. Imperial59
    Of course you agree that Miller Park is a friendly hitter's park even though it's an extreme pitcher's park. You'd agree with someone who disagreed with me if they said the sky was yellow.
  24. Imperial59
    http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor Actually, it's one of the most extreme pitcher's parks in baseball.
  25. Imperial59
    Was there actually a post saying the rotation stayed healthy all year, or did the post say the Yankees were pretty luck with injuries last year?
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