From Jay Jaffe today on the changes in playoff %'s since trade deadline:
Team
W
L
W%
Div
WC
Playoffs
W
L
W%
Div
WC
Playoffs
Net Playoffs
Mariners
56
52
.519
40.6%
8.3%
48.9%
69
69
.500
2.5%
3.3%
5.8%
-43.1%
Red Sox
56
50
.528
1.5%
1.4%
42.0%
70
68
.507
0.0%
14.0%
14.0%
-28.0%
Cardinals
54
52
.509
7.9%
14.9%
22.7%
69
69
.500
0.0%
0.9%
1.0%
-21.7%
Giants
53
55
.491
0.4%
17.3%
17.6%
68
70
.493
0.0%
0.4%
0.4%
-17.2%
Pirates
54
52
.509
5.8%
10.1%
15.9%
64
73
.467
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-15.9%
Mets
56
50
.528
1.5%
50.0%
51.6%
74
64
.536
1.0%
34.7%
35.8%
-15.8%
The Red Sox lost seven of 10 games heading into the deadline, slipping to 2.5 games out of a Wild Card spot, and while they made several moves, nothing they did amounted to an impact addition — an all-too-familiar situation for John Henry’s club in recent years. They reacquired James Paxton, and added Danny Jansen and a few bullpen pieces, including Luis García and Lucas Sims, but even those moves have largely backfired. Paxton made just three starts before returning to his all-too-familiar home on the injured list. Jansen made history by playing for both the Blue Jays and Red Sox in a suspended game but has hit for just a 64 wRC+ for his new team. García and Sims made a hash of their high-leverage opportunities, combining to allow 22 runs in 20.2 innings before landing on the IL, having made significant contributions to the bullpen’s 5.59 ERA and 5.20 FIP since the deadline.
With the exception of a strong stretch from Brayan Bello, the rotation has largely regressed in that time as well, and for as great a human interest story as the latest Rich Hill comeback may be, his workload isn’t going to turn things around. While the Sox remain fourth in the AL Wild Card race, they’re now closer to last place in the AL East (3.5 games) than qualifying for the postseason (4.5 games.).