They have a tendency to overrate toolsy DSL bats (Jimenez, Bleis, A. Flores, Cespedes, Soto). Those guys end up seeing their stock go on a rollercoaster rather than just slowly building up over time. Compare that to Justin Gonzalez who they didn't even put in the top 10 until he was already mashing in Salem. Yeah, that's probably how long you should wait!