1.77 HR/FB.
He has had a couple of good starts against s***** teams yet the homers keep coming. The toronto one is an encouraging sign, no doubt, but how about the Minessota one, where he gave up 5 ER (and of course, a HR) against a team with a good offense.
Talk smack when his ERA comes under 5.
Of course, you conveniently ignore both the BABIP and HR rate, but it's to be expected.
As i said before, the one who has trouble analyzing data is you, because of the magical pinstriped uniform.
Pertinent data:
FIP: 5.37
BABIP: .274
He's not unlucky, hell, he's been lucky.
HR/9: 1.77, as predicted,.
K/9: 8.36, right around career averages.
BB/9: 4.34, aberration.
But what happens when the BB's stop coming but the hits start falling in?
As you said yourself, this is a guy treading water with diminished stuff, but hey, let's see if the magical pinstripes help him along.