I believe in the naked eye as well as statistics. Statistics are a great precursor, and I'd be lost without them. However, he has no statistics, just minor league numbers, which to me, are highly flawed. Until I have a decent statistical base, I look for things in a player. I noticed that Abreu is not stepping in the bucket as much, and guess what? He starts hitting better.
Now, unlike some people, I don't think that it is my observation that made him hit better, just probably one of the major factors that influenced an improvement. For pitchers, when at home, I watch for how much the catcher moves his glove. In other words, how well he hits his spots. A catcher can set up low and outside, and the pitcher totally misses, goes up and in, and the batter swings right through it. Bad pitch, good result. However, I know he's gonna get rocked sooner rather than later. When watching Hughes, he has piss poor control. So I'm not sold on this kids press clippings. I was impressed with Kennedy today, he got a little rattled when Arod dropped a pop up a Tee Ball player should have caught, but other than that, his location was exceptional for a rookie. He pitched better than that bum Hughes has all season in any of his starts, save for the Texas one.