Hyperbole, yes. Illogical, no. There is a pattern and in the other years he has been bad, so it would be more accurate to say that the only certainty that he gives us is that in thos rare years where he is able to pitch past the All Star break he pitches poorly. I am not quite sure what point you are trying to prove.
Btw, I corrected your post. See bracketed language. If you are going to argue the accuracy of what I have posted, you need to be accurate about what I posted.