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a700hitter

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Everything posted by a700hitter

  1. Papelbon with 27 k's and 3 walks in 19.2 innings.
  2. In my mind that would be the optimal use of a prospect. Use them to get a current star. Let another team develop them, and then get back the finished product for more prospects.
  3. Bard is not available tonight. Who will pitch the 8th?
  4. Here are the stats that I have found for LHB vs. LHP. In the last 7 years, he exceeded the AL avg 4 times and the MLB avg 5 times. Year Crawford AL MLB 2004 .764 .725 .731 2005 .620 .696 .698 2006 .776 .717 .711 2007 .837 .729 .708 2008 .641 .718 .699 2009 .704 .729 .703 2010 .696 .669 .683
  5. Is this thread relevant anymore? Neither one will play for the Red Sox.
  6. Interesting. Those numbers are not what I thought they were. I'm in transit now and statistical research is too difficult on my Blackberry. I will check tonight to see if you have pulled anymore of your shenanigans.
  7. Not surprisingly, league OPS for LHB vs LHP varies from season to season. Comparing a player to the league or major league average year by year is the best apples to apples comparison of performance. A season's worth of stats for the whole league or the whole major leagues is a sufficiently large statistical sample. It is certainly much much larger than the 60 ABs that you used to liken Carl Crawford to Rey Ordonez. The year by year comparison of Crawford to the AL or MLB doesn't support your conclusion, because he is exceeds the league average in every year except one going back to 2005. Comparing his career stats to MLB cumulative stats from 2000 to 2006 is shenanigans, indeed, but I do appreciate the effort.
  8. Nice trickery, but this is not apples to apples. You are using 2000 to 2006 figures to compare to Crawford's career stats? I'm not buying. If you want and apples to apples comparison, check the AL OPS for LHB vs LHP year by year, or if you prefer check the MLB stats on this (don't limit it to AL). Each year, Crawford is at or above the average, with the exception of maybe one year. That's your apples to apples-- year by year-- the majors or just the AL vs. Crawford.
  9. I didn't bring Agon into the argument to compare the two players, which you clearly did. What is the percentage drop off in lefty-righty OPS splits for left handed batters? Does Crawford exceed the average drop off? What is the league average OPS for lefty batters vs. lefty pitchers? Those would be the stats that would support your argument, but I don't think you have produced either. Instead, you have tried to divert the issue into an AGon vs. Crawford comparison which it clearly is not.
  10. Statistically speaking, the old guy's ability to use statistics in an argument about statistics has been statistically under-rated.
  11. This is a legitimate point, however, the percentage drop off by AGon and Crawford is almost identical -- about 16%. Agon's drop off is slightly over 16% and Crawford's is about .4 less than 16%.
  12. The issue is not who is the better offensive player. Clearly AGon is hands down. Not only is this not an apples to apples comparison. It is not the issue at all. The issue is whether Crawford has platoon issues. You have raised this before he even signed. I did not bring AGon's stats into this to compare the two players. I brought AGon's stats into it to demonstrate that the lefty-righty split differential that Crawford has is indicative of nothing. You are straying from the point. This is not an AGon vs. Crawford comparison. There is no comparison between the two players in any aspect of their games.
  13. But .779 is far below the career OPS splits against lefties for such superstars as Jonny Gomes (.883) and Cody Ross (.945). Should the Sox obtain one of them to platoon with AGon? That would be preposterous. It is also preposterous to say that Crawford should not have been signed because of his problems against lefties. I'm pretty sure Theo checked the splits before he cut the check.
  14. They are different types of hitters. The fact is that there is more of a drop off in OPS for AGon against lefties than for Crawford. That's just a fact. You are not comparing apples to apples. Clearly, 2010 was the outlier for AGon when his left OPS split exceeded his righty OPS. This season the differential is about 300 points.
  15. And that can be accounted for by the fact that AGon is clearly the superior power hitter. AGon is the better offensive player, and he makes more money to prove it. Who is better is not the issue. The issue is whether Crawford (a great offensive player in his own right) has platoon issues. Facts are facts and the stats show that over his career Crawford's lefty-righty OPS split has a smaller differential than AGon's differential.
  16. ..and sandwiching him between Varitek and Sutton makes no sense at all. He's not the most patient hitter to begin with. What kind of pitches do you think he will see with those two hitting around him?
  17. The difference in AGon's career splits vs. righties and lefties is 149 pts while Crawford's differential is only 127 points. Who has the platoon issue? Also, AGon had a suckass .675 OPS against lefties in 2008. They are both great offensive players. AGon is a power guy and Crawford is a speed guy, but both of them are great offensive players.
  18. Is this trend based on less than 60 ABs. His 2009 and 2010 OPS against lefties were higher than his career average, so one could argue that the trend is going in the right direction.
  19. He has less than 60 ABs against lefties this season and almost 1700 career ABs against lefties. Do you think this might be too small of a sample size to make a Rey Ordonez comparison?
  20. He has more HRs at Fenway than at Yankee Stadium, and his OPS at Fenway is only a few points below what it was at the old Yankee Stadium which had much more favorable dimensions for a lefty than Fenway.
  21. I'm not worrying about a guy with Crawford's skills, work ethic and resume who is entering his prime.
  22. He had a terrible April, but so did almost the whole team. May has been getting much better, and he has 6 steals not 2.
  23. That was the challenge that he had to overcome to get to this level. It looked like he had harnessed his stuff in 2009, but he has slid back a bit.
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