ORS

This is the wildest he's looked. Not good.

Interesting. It's worded in a way that makes it sound like it isn't binding though. We'll have to see what happens.

Let me get this straight, Tek's contract will grant Trot a NTC? Please provide a link for this. It doesn't sound right at all, and this is the first time I've heard anything about it.

I paid for the year subscription because it is cheaper than going month by month. I like the features a subscription offers: sortable stats, PECOTA projections, access to all articles. The articles are a good read, and they write year round. However, if you really aren't a stats junkie, then it's probably not worth your dime.

I'm only voting for one person in this round, and it's because I see a disturbing trend. McCovey over Mattingly.

Great, he has the highest BA. But that is the least useful batting rate statistic. You want something that measures all of it? RISP, C&L, etc.....and gives credit for extra bases, stolen bases, et al? Look at WPA. Win Probability Added. Pujols - 550 Ortiz - 340 Dye - 326 Jeter - 317 Bonds - 286 Jeter is having a good year, but Ortiz is still a bit better in the clutch. Besides, the premise of the article was based on performance prior to this year, so Jeter's performance this year is immaterial. WPA is fairly new, so I don't know where to find previous seasons' perfomance. If that was available, we could see how 'clutch' he really was.

Yeah, he is. Here is a table where I analyze the offensive production of former FA COFs this year. The final value is in $/Win. What I did was take the AAV of the contract, adjust it for the amount of games played this season to determine the money paid thus far this year. Then I took that figure and divided by 1/10 of VORP -- in the current run scoring environment, approx. 10 runs is a win. I didn't include any players who have yet to hit the FA market because their salaries do not reflect the current market value. I didn't include players who have missed significant time to injury because VORP is playing time dependent. I didn't include Bonds for obvious reasons. $/VORP Win Comparison for COF -- All Money Figures in Millions Player AAV Salary VORP $/Win Manny 20.0 10.6 38.4 2.8 Nixon 6.5 3.5 17.2 2.0 Dye 5.1 2.8 36.2 0.8 Ordonez 15.0 8.1 20.2 4.0 Sanders 5.0 2.7 0.1 268.5 Vladdy 14.0 7.6 19.3 3.9 Anderson 12.0 6.5 0.1 651.9 Ichiro 11.0 6.0 33.3 1.8 Floyd 6.5 3.6 3.5 10.2 Abreu 12.8 6.9 27.8 2.5 Jones 5.3 2.9 16.6 1.7 Wilson 4.5 2.5 2.3 10.7 Alou 6.6 3.6 11.3 3.2 Giles 10.0 5.4 8.1 6.7 Roberts 2.3 1.2 14.0 0.9 Green 7.7 4.2 11.6 3.6 Gonzalez 10.0 5.4 2.1 25.9 Drew 11.0 6.0 14.6 4.1 Garrett Anderson and Reggie Sanders are actually at a negative VORP right now, but that wouldn't accurately reflect how much they are costing their team, so I made them very small without actually being zero. Throw those two out, and the current average $/Win for that group is $5.3M. Trot is reasonably priced, and can reasonably be expected to contribute about 25 VORP a year if healthy. That makes his market price 2.5 x 5.3 = $13.25. Yes, he is an injury concern, and that is worse as he gets older. But he's easily worth $7-8M.

I don't think anyone really thinks he's gay. But, what he said certainly sounds light in the loafers.

This guy would really dig your appreciation of fine threads.... http://www.houseofdiabolique.com/archives/carson.jpg

Vladdy. Nose to toes, he drills 'em.

Don't worry, for a rule to be implemented, it has to be voted on by the owners. Nobody will back this as it would affect the outcome of games.

Great, great stat for measuring true offensive contribution..... WPA - Win Probability Added Using data from the last 35 years, they have determined the probability of a team winning based on home/road, inning, outs, base runners, and score differential for every possible situation. The way this stat works is it measures how much each players' AB changes the probability. For example, when Youk leads the game off in Fenway (home team) the win probability is 0.591. If he singles, the win probability goes from .591 to .630, so he raised the win probability by .039. This is the first stat I've seen that truly measures the relative worth of each in game event. Situational Win Probability can be found here: Win Expectancy Finder WPA is here: Fan Graphs -- click on the teams button at the top of the page to see the stats for each player It works for pitchers too. The final WPA sum is multiplied by 100 to make it a percentage.

League: Union Association MVP: Ozzie Guillen WP: Mark Redman Save: Loretta On a more relevant note, anyone watching the pre-game on ESPN? Bud is thinking of making a rule that would prevent pitchers on the ASG roster from pitching the Sunday prior. WTF is that guy thinking? Now he wants to intentionally meddle with the season for the ASG. This clown needs to go.

I think you can quit commenting on how hot Posada's wife is, you aren't fooling anyone.

I'm aware of that. It was worded funny and made me laugh, so I asked a rhetorical question.

I'm not doubting the number. You said, "IMO he is just 53 away." IMO = In My Opinion Thus, you said, "In my opinion he is just 53 away." It's not an opinion, it's a fact.

Hehe, don't get upset, but.....is it your 'opinion' that he's 53 away, or is he really 53 away?

Wake, of course. Wouldn't that be something? You could leave them both in the game and switch pitcher from batter to batter.

Sorry, I ain't buying it. Coco started the year hot and hasn't been the same since the injury. I don't think he's made a full recovery. The injury is probably healed, but the recovery isn't complete until the timing is back, and he hasn't got it back yet. Tek has been awful.....for a year. A whole year. And, he's not doing the job behind the dish either. Everyone and anyone are swiping bags this year. It's not even close lately.

They drafted the best player available outside of Miller in their draft slot. I can't fault them for that because that is what teams should do.

Wasn't Miller a junior, and didn't they draft him out of HS? Maybe they wanted to avoid a tough sign.

Wily Mo has been a disappointment? In what way?

I'm aware of what is driving his ERA in the wrong direction. 11/18 QS isn't bad, and he's earned his 11-4 record. That said, I still feel a let down due to his inconsistency. I expected nothing from Clement, and those expectations were met. I expected to be in the game 90% of the time or more with Nuke. His bad performances have been extremely bad, which doesn't keep us in the game, and that means he's fallen short of my expectations.

MVP-- Manny. Ortiz has been flashier, but Manny is having a hell of a year, both at the plate and in the field. Comeback Pitcher-- Beowulf Comeback Position Player-- Lowell Cy Young-- Papelbon Best Glove -- Gonzo Best Catch-- Coco vs. Wright, but Stern's dive to end the game with the bases loaded deserves mention. Biggest Disappointment of a Pitcher -- Nuke LaLoosh (Beckett). We knew Clement would suck. I had higher hopes for Nuke. Biggest Disappointment of a Position Player -- Varitek

It might have something to do with trying to sandwich him between the two guys who are most likely to give you deep outings. Mussina, Wright, Wang, would protect the BP from having two straight days of 3-4 innings.