Yeah, that's true... I wouldn't say it got any worse as the Bills and Jets aren't going to be as good as previously thought. Miami's a little better, but they're not any sort of threat. And the rest are about as good as expected. The only other one is Denver -- but I thought they'd be a 10 win team, anyway, all the so-called 'experts' thought they'd hover around or below .500.
I think you need to beat Atlanta, or you're going into the bye week 2-4.
I say Denver will beat you because their defense (Held the always solid KC offense to 10) is very underrated and you guys are kind of poor against the run (10th worst). Once Denver develops the run and Jake Plummer can boot and throw on the run -- they're very tough to stop. Put up 20 on a very good Jacksonville defense.
10-6 is a ballsy pick. If not careful, you could have 6 losses by week 13, with that schedule. You won't, but you could.