of course you'de take papelbon, you're a sox fan. my bias wants me to do the same thing. but if i was thinking of the future i'de go with zumaya. the kid is absolutely filthy, i'm not sure if he's reached his ceiling but he is damn good. yeah, papelbon has slightly better numbers (7 er is the biggest difference really, papelbon 1 to his 8) but his k/9 is MUCH higher and he's FOUR years younger. 4 years ago papelbon couldn't crack a AAA roster, let alone a MLB roster.
also, we must remember that zumaya is a middle reliever. he's called in, usually to face big bats. it's true that middle relievers usually pitch against better hitters. closers sometimes get it a little easier (obviously not by choice), they happen to land across the bottom of the lineup and that could easily be a 4-5 run difference.
honestly, it would be a very difficult decision, but in the end i think i might go with zumaya, for the future, the 4 years is pretty huge. the kid is 22, that's just great.
john
and yes, i'de take liriano also, i wish i didn't drop him in my money league.. oh well, it was to pick nick johnson off waivers, so far it has been worth it but it still bugs me when i drop good prospects.