2023 Prospects

[Larry Cook]

WOO lost game one 5-4

Walter: 5IP, 6H, 2ER, 1BB, 2K

Hamilton hit his 4th HR

Dalbec 1-2 w BB & HBP

Abreu 1-3 w BB

Goodrum 1-1 w 2BB

 

Mata getting lit up in 2nd game.

 

POR won 6-1

Sharp has been amazing: 6IP, 3H, 1ER, 4BB, 3K (1.00 ERA)

Sikes 3-4 w BB

Yorke 0-2 2BB

Rafaela 1-4 w 2B

McDonough 1-4 w 3B

Scott 1-2 w 2BB

Diaz homered

 

GRE lost 4-1

Ferguson with 1st HR

 

SAL winning early

E R-C 3 IP, 1H, 0ER, 1BB, 1K

Castro, Chacon & Ravelo 2-2

 

 

 

A castro in Salem has a nice swing!!! He is more Rafeala than Kavadas when it comes to pitch selection

[mvp 78]

Ferguson needs to improve his batting skills, but he walks a ton.

 

Rosier and Hamilton are off to nice starts.

 

Hamilton is repeating High A this season where he hit below 200 last year. I don't know how much meat is on that bone.

[moonslav59]

Hamilton is repeating High A this season where he hit below 200 last year. I don't know how much meat is on that bone.

 

You mean Ferguson, I assume.

 

Yes, he's 23 and ended 2022 at A+. If he gets moved up to AA, this year, and does well, maybe we can start thinking there is some hope.

 

Guys who can't hit but walk a lot, usually don't translate all that well.

 

Rosier is not off to a great start in AA, but it is early.

 

David Hamilton is really starting to show more promise than hope.

 

[mvp 78]

You mean Ferguson, I assume.

 

Yes, he's 23 and ended 2022 at A+. If he gets moved up to AA, this year, and does well, maybe we can start thinking there is some hope.

 

Guys who can't hit but walk a lot, usually don't translate all that well.

 

Rosier is not off to a great start in AA, but it is early.

 

David Hamilton is really starting to show more promise than hope.

 

 

Yes, sorry I meant Ferguson.

 

You don't think Rosier is off to a good start in AA? He's the same age as Ferguson and has a 846 in POR. He was also projected as a bench bat. I didn't even recognize his name prior to this season. He's really a speed guy, 8 SB, 12 H, 3 2B. Ceiling of a bench/5th OFer.

[moonslav59]

Yes, sorry I meant Ferguson.

 

You don't think Rosier is off to a good start in AA? He's the same age as Ferguson and has a 846 in POR. He was also projected as a bench bat. I didn't even recognize his name prior to this season. He's really a speed guy, 8 SB, 12 H, 3 2B. Ceiling of a bench/5th OFer.

 

I looked at the wrong stats on Rosier.

 

You might not have heard about him much, because he wasn't in our system, until the Hosmer-Groome trade. He and Ferguson were part of our haul.

[mvp 78]

https://soxprospects.com/players/drohan-shane.htm

 

Drohan's scouting report was updated this morning.

 

Fastball: 92-94 mph. Tops out at 96 mph. Showed increased velocity in spring training 2023; previously sat 88-92 mph, topping out at 94 mph. Pitch shows natural sink and has a good spin rate. Has life up in the zone; hitters pick up the ball late. Has the delivery and athleticism that lend to a solid command and control profile in the future, and has improved in that area over time having once graded out as below-average. Potential above-average command and control profile. Potential above-average offering.

 

Changeup: 83-86 mph. Pitch shows fade down and away from right-handed hitters. Throws with deceptive arm speed and does a good job of not telegraphing the pitch. Pitch improved in college and took a massive jump forward in 2022. Developed into his go-to out pitch and showed bat-missing ability. Has the ability to throw it in the zone or start it at the bottom and land it down and out of the zone when looking to induce swinging strikes. Velocity increased from 78-81 mph at the same time his fastball velocity jumped in 2023. Potential plus offering.

 

Curveball: 75-78 mph. Power breaking ball with a plus spin rate. Pitch has 1-to-7 break and will flash depth and tight rotation when he finishes it. Solid feel. Will start at-bats with it or use it to put hitters away. Throws to hitters on both sides. Does a good job utilizing the pitch in conjunction with the rest of his arsenal, which allows it to play up. Potential average offering.

 

Cutter: 86-90 mph. Short, horizontal break with bite. Able to get in on the hands of right-handed hitters and likes to go to it early in the count. Already shows advanced feel for the pitch after adding it during the 2022-23 offseason. Potential average offering.

 

Career Notes: Father, Bill, was a pitcher in the Royals organization from 1987 to 1990. Was selected in the 23rd round of the 2017 draft by the Phillies. Successful quarterback in high school and did not commit fully to baseball until he was in college. First professional experience came in the 2020 Fall Instructional League. Participated in the Fall Performance Program in 2021. Was among the top 20 minor league leaders in strikeouts in 2022. Was set to participate in the 2022 Fall Performance Program that was canceled due to Hurricane Ian. Was among the most impressive pitchers in minor league camp in 2023 after his stuff took a big step forward over the offseason, showing increased velocity and a new cutter.

Summation: Potential back-end starter. Ceiling of a mid-rotation starter. Even that projection might be light as there is a chance he takes another step forward with his stuff in the future. Already took a massive step forward during the 2022-23 offseason adding a cutter and increasing his velocity by a full grade. Now profiles as an athletic left-hander who will show four average-or-better pitches and a solid command and control profile. Strong pitchability and pitch utility. Can show hitters four unique pitches in distinct velocity bands that move in different directions. Changeup is a major league-quality out pitch and gives him a weapon against right-handed hitters. Cutter and curveball both are effective also and will flash bat-missing ability. Fastball is very effective at generating weak contact.

[mvp 78]

https://twitter.com/Hunter_Noll/status/1650906413315637270

 

Bleis with first tater at Salem.

[mvp 78]

@SoxProspects

Dalton Rogers pitching line- 5 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 8 K, 54/90 strikes (60%). The 22-year-old lefty has a 2.79 ERA over 9.2 IP with 19 strikeouts to 5 walks.

[moonslav59]

Top OPS on the Sox Farm (32+ ABs)

 

.997 Hamilton (Renfroe trade)

.972 Meidroth ('22 draft)

.910 Chacon ('19 IFA) The only DD guy on this list.

.871 Sogard (Springs/Mazza trade)

.863 Ferguson (Groome trade)

.848 Hickey ('21 draft)

.847 Rosier (Groome trade)

.846 Yorke ('20 draft)

 

OPS Against (10+ IP)

.388 Sharp MiLB FA '22)

.398 de la Rosa (Beni trade)

.412 Drohan ('20 draft)

 

[mvp 78]

@SoxProspects

Two perfect innings for Jacob Webb out of the bullpen today. The 24-year-old righty has a 1.74 ERA over 10.1 innings with 11 strikeouts to five walks at Double-A this season.

 

Webb was one of the long shot 40 man roster guys last November. I wonder if he'll pop this year. Probably makes AAA soon at this rate.

[mvp 78]

@SoxProspects

Ryan Fernandez allows a lead off single then strikes out the side in his return to Double-A.

 

One of the other pure relief options in AA.

[moonslav59]

Portland won and is now 12-5.

 

Drohan is looking like our top pitching prospect, right now.

6 IP, 2H, 1ER, 1BB, 7K (0.78 ERA)

Diaz with his 2nd HR

S Scott 4-4

Rafaela 3-5

Yorke 2-4 w 2B & BB

Kavadas 1-4 w BB

Binelas 1-5 w 2B and 2 RBI

[mvp 78]

Drohan is really on a roll this year. Wonder how long they keep him in AA? Wait until a midseason callup to give him the AS recognition?

[moonslav59]

Drohan is really on a roll this year. Wonder how long they keep him in AA? Wait until a midseason callup to give him the AS recognition?

 

First, the huge jump in the offseason rankings, and then this.

 

He's certainly got more to prove, but WOW!

 

26K: 4BB in 23 IP

Only 13 hits (0 HRs)

0.74 WHIP

.374 OPS Against

0.78 ERA

[mvp 78]

First, the huge jump in the offseason rankings, and then this.

 

He's certainly got more to prove, but WOW!

 

26K: 4BB in 23 IP

Only 13 hits (0 HRs)

0.74 WHIP

.374 OPS Against

0.78 ERA

 

It just shows that SoxProspects were right to push him up the rankings. They were on him early. If we knock them for their misses, they can earn their flowers for their hits.

[moonslav59]

It just shows that SoxProspects were right to push him up the rankings. They were on him early. If we knock them for their misses, they can earn their flowers for their hits.

 

They did kinda miss in the fall, though.

[mvp 78]

They did kinda miss in the fall, though.

 

Miss what? Drohan's velo hadn't popped and he didn't have the cutter yet. He's a different pitcher this April than he was in September.

[moonslav59]

Miss what? Drohan's velo hadn't popped and he didn't have the cutter yet. He's a different pitcher this April than he was in September.

 

He developed it between Dec 1, 2022 and April 5th, 2023?

Edited April 27, 2023 by moonslav59

[mvp 78]

He developed it between Dec 1, 2022 and April 5th, 2023?

 

Yeah, dude. I posted his updated scouting report the other day.

 

Cutter: 86-90 mph. Short, horizontal break with bite. Able to get in on the hands of right-handed hitters and likes to go to it early in the count. Already shows advanced feel for the pitch after adding it during the 2022-23 offseason. Potential average offering.

[mvp 78]

https://twitter.com/GreenvilleDrive/status/1651607184860389378

 

Major injury for a prominent Greenville prospect. Sad to see...

[moonslav59]

The Sea Dog pitchers have been on fire, pretty much all year. No wonder they are 13-5.

 

Here are all the pitchers with 7.1+ IP and their OPS Against:

 

 

.311 Whitlock

.374 Drohan 26:4 K:BB

.388 Sharp

.401 Nail

.408 Van Belle

.448 Denlinger (7.1 IP German trade, 11:1 K:BB)

.486 Miller 12:2

.519 Webb

.526 Olds

.558 Gomez 14:4

.622 Arias

.663 Guerrero

 

Only one pitcher above .664!

 

.840 Liu

 

Edited April 28, 2023 by moonslav59

[notin]

The Sea Dog pitchers have been on fire, pretty much all year. No wonder they are 13-5.

 

Here are all the pitchers with 7.1+ IP and their OPS Against:

 

 

.311 Whitlock

.374 Drohan 26:4 K:BB

.388 Sharp

.401 Nail

.408 Van Belle

.448 Denlinger (7.1 IP Wallace trade, 11:1 K:BB)

.486 Miller 12:2

.519 Webb

.526 Olds

.558 Gomez 14:4

.622 Arias

.663 Guerrero

 

Only one pitcher above .664!

 

.840 Liu

 

 

Denslinger was acquired for German, not Wallace. Wyatt Mills was acquired for Wallace…

[moonslav59]

Denslinger was acquired for German, not Wallace. Wyatt Mills was acquired for Wallace…

 

Thanks. I wonder who will end up doing better.

[Larry Cook]

Yorke and Jordan with their 3rd taters.

[moonslav59]

It is still very early in the season, but let's take a look at how our top prospects are doing and how some lower ones seem to be making an early push up the rankings.

 

(sox prospects.com's rankins)

 

1, Mayer .785 A+

 

2. Casas .576 MLB

 

3. Bleis .691 A-

 

4. Rafaela .770 AA

 

5. Mata 5.12 ERA AAA

6. Yorke .948 AA

7. Romero on IL with back issues

8. Perales 10.29 ERA

9. Walter 4.19 ERA

10. Paulino .538 A+

 

All in all, except for Yorke, the rest have not been very impressive, to say the least.

 

Some promising starts:

12. Drohan 0.78 ERA AA

15. EValdez .858 MLB

16. E R-C 1.08 ERA A-

18. Jordan .851 A+

19. Hickey .969 A+

24. Abreu .855 AAA

25. Guerrero 2.57 ERA AA

26. Hamilton .911 AAA

30. Meidroth .855 A+

 

[moonslav59]

Woo won 7-6 in 11.

Walter did not do well 5.1, 6H, 4ER, 3BB, 5K)

3-5 Alfaro w 3B & SF

2-5 Abreu w BB

1-5 Hamilton w BB & 2 SB

1-4 R Hern w 2B & BB

2-3 Allen w BB & SF

 

Portland continued winning (11-10 in 10)

Sharp came down to earth (3.1, 9H, 5ER, 2BB, 4K)

3-5 McDonough w 2B and 3 rbi

2-5 Rosier w HR

2-5 Scott w HR & 2B

2-5 Sikes, Yorke, Binelas and Koss

7 of the 9 batters had 2+ hits. (Rafaela 1-5, Dearden 0-4 w BB)

 

 

Salem lost game one 5-3

Perales looked better (5.0, 4, 1, 4, 2)

Ravelo had the team's only hit. The team had 7 BBs (Chacon & Coffey w 2)

 

Greenville up 13-3 early.

4-4 Paulino

3-3 w BB Meidroth

1-4 Mayer

 

[Hugh2]

Drohan is really on a roll this year. Wonder how long they keep him in AA? Wait until a midseason callup to give him the AS recognition?

 

I forget the exact number, and it isn’t an exact science, but there’s a milestone the player development department wants a guy to reach before advancing to the next level.

 

With pitchers, they generally want them to get a certain number of IP before they think of promoting him. He probably gets around 100 IP in AA, which means we are looking at an early July promotion.

 

I highly doubt we see him in Boston, heck I 100% doubt it. I mean, in 2023, if he keeps this up we will see him in 2024 for sure.

[moonslav59]

I forget the exact number, and it isn’t an exact science, but there’s a milestone the player development department wants a guy to reach before advancing to the next level.

 

With pitchers, they generally want them to get a certain number of IP before they think of promoting him. He probably gets around 100 IP in AA, which means we are looking at an early July promotion.

 

I highly doubt we see him in Boston, heck I 100% doubt it. I mean, in 2023, if he keeps this up we will see him in 2024 for sure.

 

You think he passes Mata, Perales and Walter on the next rankings list? It seems to me to be a near certainty, unless one of the other three start turning things around.

 

Current:

5. Mata

8. Perales

9. Walter

12. Drohan

 

[moonslav59]

Looks like Hamilton is coming back down to earth. His 0-4 brings him to .848, now. Besides the gem thrown by Paxton, Alfaro went 2-4 and Allen went 2-3 w HBP & SB. The batting star was Palk, who went 3-4 w 3 rbi.

 

[Hugh2]

You think he passes Mata, Perales and Walter on the next rankings list? It seems to me to be a near certainty, unless one of the other three start turning things around.

 

Current:

5. Mata

8. Perales

9. Walter

12. Drohan

 

 

Walter, maybe. Perales and Mata no way.