Ryan Howard - Will he live up to the hype?

[ANiMAL]

I think that Howards season last year was a fluke and he will never see those numbers ever again. Howard still may be a good player, but i think that smarter pitching will bring him down to Earth. his power numbers will decrease and the amount of HRs he hits this year will decline in half. He wont be the guy chasing records for HR's. Howard will start to see more BB's and he will be pressured to produce more due to a lack of production from his teammates. He will start to swing for the fences more and his will suffer from that by striking out more. Everyone seems to be speculating Howard a little too much, i dont think that he is worthy of a 1st round pick in a fantasy draft. Until he consecuativley has great seasons, he is not that great in my eyes. Anyone can have a great year, but only the greats continue to improve and consistently have great numbers in each season. I may not be giving him a fair chance, but i think that he wont be great this year, he will only do good.

 

2007 Predictions: .297 AVG 29 HR 120 RBI 120 BB 192 SO .415 OBP

[yankeessuck013]

29 hrs? are you kidding me...he is still young, continue to look for 50+ hrs with 140 rbi's.

[EvilDonut]

I dont think pitchers will pitch to him near as much, but 29 homers is pushing it. He'll still be definetely on the upper end of 40.

[ORS]

Citizen's Bank Park

 

3-year HR Factor (2003-2005): 1.16

 

Any questions?

[jacksonianmarch]

Citizen's Bank Park

 

3-year HR Factor (2003-2005): 1.16

 

Any questions?

 

ORS, I watched him launch a bunch against the yankees and mets last season. His homers are big boy homers. He hit one off Mussina into the 3rd deck down the right field line. It was 480+ feet down the line!

[ORS]

ORS' date=' I watched him launch a bunch against the yankees and mets last season. His homers are big boy homers. He hit one off Mussina into the 3rd deck down the right field line. It was 480+ feet down the line![/quote']

I'm not saying he doesn't launch some of them. However, he gets helped with some opposite field wall scrapers. Which, in the end, means there's no way in hell he's only hitting 29 dingers playing 81 games in that park. And, that was the point of showing the park factor.

[TheKilo]

Ryan Howard is the real deal.

 

I'd look for 40 dingers 135 RBIs at the least.

[SuperManny]

I think that Howards season last year was a fluke and he will never see those numbers ever again. Howard still may be a good player, but i think that smarter pitching will bring him down to Earth. his power numbers will decrease and the amount of HRs he hits this year will decline in half. He wont be the guy chasing records for HR's. Howard will start to see more BB's and he will be pressured to produce more due to a lack of production from his teammates. He will start to swing for the fences more and his will suffer from that by striking out more. Everyone seems to be speculating Howard a little too much, i dont think that he is worthy of a 1st round pick in a fantasy draft. Until he consecuativley has great seasons, he is not that great in my eyes. Anyone can have a great year, but only the greats continue to improve and consistently have great numbers in each season. I may not be giving him a fair chance, but i think that he wont be great this year, he will only do good.

 

2007 Predictions: .297 AVG 29 HR 120 RBI 120 BB 192 SO .415 OBP

 

Ryan Howard

 

Check out his minor league stats. He's been doing this for a while now and just because some teams walk him more won't mean that he's going to his less than 30 HRs. He probably won't hit as many as last year but he will definately be in the high 40's at least. You don't go from 58 HR's to 29 HRs unless you were on juice.

[TGov]

I think that Howards season last year was a fluke and he will never see those numbers ever again. Howard still may be a good player, but i think that smarter pitching will bring him down to Earth. his power numbers will decrease and the amount of HRs he hits this year will decline in half. He wont be the guy chasing records for HR's. Howard will start to see more BB's and he will be pressured to produce more due to a lack of production from his teammates. He will start to swing for the fences more and his will suffer from that by striking out more. Everyone seems to be speculating Howard a little too much, i dont think that he is worthy of a 1st round pick in a fantasy draft. Until he consecuativley has great seasons, he is not that great in my eyes. Anyone can have a great year, but only the greats continue to improve and consistently have great numbers in each season. I may not be giving him a fair chance, but i think that he wont be great this year, he will only do good.

 

2007 Predictions: .297 AVG 29 HR 120 RBI 120 BB 192 SO .415 OBP

 

I'm telling you man, Howard is the real thing, he will only get better... I told you, he's the next Ortiz, but in the NL... well that's my opinion...

[elsrbueno]

Howard will probably settle into the 40 HR range as a regular for a while.

 

Keep in mind though that despite his limited experience, he will be 27 this year-- so he's older than you might think.

 

That having been said the year 27 season is widely considered to be his "prime" so I could easily see upper 40s this season. 58 is a stretch.

 

Don't start etching his HOF plaque yet, but he'll be a fearsome hitter for 5 more seasons. I could see him having a Mo Vaughn-esque career (fizzling in his mid-30s), but there's nothing wrong with that.

[ANiMAL]

im sticking to my guns, 29 dingers, thats it.

 

haha, watch him go on the DL and he only hits 29 HRs, haha

 

but still, only 29, i may get burned in 3 months, but idc, thats what i say

 

 

also, on the part about him being young, hinski won the ROY when he was 25/26 years old, and he didnt improve any from there - so saying that hes young when hes 27 doenst help the case of him improving much. By the time he gets a lot of experience he will be too old to be great. normally players get 3-4 yrs of experince then they hit their physical and mental prime at about 27/28, but by the time he reaches the mental prime at about 30 which may be too late IMO.

[redsoxrules]

in my opinion id say 40 HR , cause pitchers will be a little bit more carefull with him this year , he will be walked alot .

[ORS]

also' date=' on the part about him being young, hinski won the ROY when he was 25/26 years old, and he didnt improve any from there - so saying that hes young when hes 27 doenst help the case of him improving much. By the time he gets a lot of experience he will be too old to be great. normally players get 3-4 yrs of experince then they hit their physical and mental prime at about 27/28, but by the time he reaches the mental prime at about 30 which may be too late IMO.[/quote']

I know we've only known each other four weeks and three days, but to me it seems like nine weeks and five days. The first day seemed like a week and the second day seemed like five days. And the third day seemed like a week again and the fourth day seemed like eight days. And the fifth day you went to see your mother and that seemed just like a day, and then you came back and later on the sixth day, in the evening, when we saw each other, that started seeming like two days, so in the evening it seemed like two days spilling over into the next day and that started seeming like four days, so at the end of the sixth day on into the seventh day, it seemed like a total of five days. And the sixth day seemed like a week and a half. I have it written down, but I can show it to you tomorrow if you want to see it.

:what:

[TGov]

in my opinion id say 40 HR ' date=' cause pitchers will be a little bit more carefull with him this year , he will be walked alot .[/quote']

 

that's what Im expecting... especially since he can hit opposite field as well as he can pull the ball... I doubt he'll hit 58 home runs again, I think that happened because no one really say him as big as a home run hitter as he was, that's why now they'll walk him more... and I keep forgetting he's 27, he seems younger...

[ORS]

that's what Im expecting... especially since he can hit opposite field as well as he can pull the ball... I doubt he'll hit 58 home runs again' date=' I think that happened because no one really say him as big as a home run hitter as he was, that's why now they'll walk him more... and I keep forgetting he's 27, he seems younger...[/quote']

If that were the case, you'd see it in the 1st vs. 2nd half numbers from last year.

 

April-June: 27 HR, 30 BB

July-Sept: 31 HR, 78 BB

 

Yes, he got walked more, but that didn't drop his HR total.

[CrespoBlows]

He's constantly been a 40 HR guy, even in the minors. I don't see a fluke, I see a proven track record.

[ANiMAL]

Either you're just trying to scare off some people from taking him before tomorrow's talksox fantasy baseball draft or you're a complete moron. Sure' date=' he'll be feared a little more throughout the league leading to some more walks but don't forget that he was walked 108 times last season. It's not like he wasn't a feared power hitter last season either. So by looking at your stat line, he'll be walked 12 more times and strikeout 11 more times than he did last season and that's going to cut his home run total from 58 to a mere 29...? Wow.[/quote']

 

im not saying that his increase in walks/strikeouts will be the only factor for decline in power numbers -

 

if x + y + z = 29, and none of the variables = 0, that means that x cannot = 29

 

and im sorry for the mathematically impaired that do not understand that

[TGov]

im not saying that his increase in walks/strikeouts will be the only factor for decline in power numbers -

 

if x + y + z = 29, and none of the variables = 0, that means that x cannot = 29

 

and im sorry for the mathematically impaired that do not understand that

 

Howard might hit 29 home runs..... in the first half of the year... or more...

[Ray10]

29 homeruns not a chance the only way that would happen with Howard is if he misses a crap load of games due to injury or something this guy will be in the upper 40's this year at the least.

[ORS]

im not saying that his increase in walks/strikeouts will be the only factor for decline in power numbers -

 

if x + y + z = 29, and none of the variables = 0, that means that x cannot = 29

 

and im sorry for the mathematically impaired that do not understand that

What exactly does that equation prove in terms of the conversation, Mr Hilbert?

[CrespoBlows]

X = 29

Y = -1

Z = 1

 

:dunno:

[ORS]

X = 29

Y = -1

Z = 1

 

:dunno:

Shhh. He hasn't gotten to integers yet.

[BoSox34]

im not saying that his increase in walks/strikeouts will be the only factor for decline in power numbers -

 

if x + y + z = 29, and none of the variables = 0, that means that x cannot = 29

 

and im sorry for the mathematically impaired that do not understand that

 

The only way that Howard would hit 29 homers or less would be if he was injured for a good amount of time and I don't any middle school math equation to prove that one.

[TheKilo]

im not saying that his increase in walks/strikeouts will be the only factor for decline in power numbers -

 

if x + y + z = 29, and none of the variables = 0, that means that x cannot = 29

 

and im sorry for the mathematically impaired that do not understand that

 

what. THE f***. does this. mean.

[ANiMAL]

im just saying that there are mony factors that can conclude to the reasoning of Howard only hitting 29 HRs.

x= more BB, more SO

y= smarter pitchers

z= more workload because of lack of team production

 

therefore x+y+z=29 and none of the variables can be = to or be less than 0.

 

Happy CB? now there's no negative integers, and im sure ORS is a genious at math btw

[schillingouttheks]

im just saying that there are mony factors that can conclude to the reasoning of Howard only hitting 29 HRs.

x= more BB, more SO

y= smarter pitchers

z= more workload because of lack of team production

 

therefore x+y+z=29 and none of the variables can be = to or be less than 0.

 

Happy CB? now there's no negative integers, and im sure ORS is a genious at math btw

 

You are a f***ing moron. How do you apply a number to pitchers' smarts or a workload because of lack of team production?

 

I can see it now...

 

OH! ANIBAL SANCHEZ THREW A NO HITTER LAST YEAR SO HE GETS A 10 AND JON LIEBER WILL BLOW DIK THIS YEAR SO HE GETS A 2 AND HOWARD WILL STRIKE OUT 5O TIMES THIS YEAR ADDED TO 100 WALKS SO YA 10+2+150 = 29 YOU'RE ALL MATHEMATICALLY IMPAIRED :harhar:

 

Anyone else notice that I conveniently made that sentence a run-on?

 

I was tempted to vote for adam123 in the "Primetime Matchup" thread, but you basically proved time and time again that I made the correct decision.

[ANiMAL]

everything in life is a variable, and it all results into an equation

 

boastful + unintelligence = you

 

varaibles dont need to be numbers

[ORS]

im sure ORS is a genious at math btw

Try me.

[schillingouttheks]

everything in life is a variable, and it all results into an equation

 

boastful + unintelligence = you

 

varaibles dont need to be numbers

 

Then you're not talking about mathematics, dumbass. Mathematics involves numbers. You want to talk about life equations? Then talk about philosophy or psychology.

 

Variables representing something other than numbers isn't mathematics.

 

ANiMAL, honestly, how old are you?

[ANiMAL]

Try me.

 

honestly, are you successful in the feild of mathematics?

 

if you are, i apologize