Alex Mayes

Brayan Bello has completed his minor league rehab assignment and should be back in the starting rotation early next week. What can the Red Sox expect from him? Brayan Bello is finally headed back to the starting rotation in Boston, and not a minute too soon. With Richard Fitts on the IL due to a pectoral strain and Sean Newcomb only turning in one solid start so far this season, the back end of the rotation needs some stabilization. Bello has mostly been down with Triple-A Worcester working his way back up to speed to mixed results so far. Let’s dive into his minor league starts and see what we can expect from the young hurler. Bello made four minor league starts, one at Double-A Portland and three with Triple-A Worcester. During those outings, he posted a 7.07 ERA, allowing a .300 batting average, while working a 31.8% strikeout rate. If we dig just a bit deeper, though, Bello’s expected batting average is only .187, so hitters have been getting extremely lucky while he’s on the mound. Outside of the difference between actual and expected batting average we see an OBP of .341 but an xOBP of .247, a posted slug of .375 but an expected slug of .269, and a wOBA of .316 with an xwOBA of .236. Balls are falling in and hitting gaps even though the numbers say they should be outs. I think the strikeouts are more notable than the luck. Throughout his career, Bello has been a pitch-to-contact style pitcher, and we’re still seeing a bit of that. He ran a ground ball rate of 55.6% during his stint in the minor leagues, so the sinker is obviously still doing what he wants it to do, getting hitters to swing on top of the ball and drive it into the ground. However, in two-strike counts, he’s relying on his slider (in every situation except a full count, when he goes back to his sinker). His slider has become his out pitch, replacing the changeup, which filled that role last season. Bello is having trouble locating his sinker. During his stint in the minor leagues, the pitch has lived high in the zone and gotten crushed up there. When the sinker plays down, the contact is ice cold and it likely works as a true strikeout pitch, along with the slider. This will likely begin to happen once he’s back in Boston and working with Andrew Bailey on a daily basis. So far, the starting rotation has proven to be quite deep but fairly lackluster outside of Garrett Crochet. Walker Buehler looks as though he’s finding his footing, but Tanner Houck and Sean Newcomb have looked overmatched and unprepared. Getting Bello back will be a huge benefit, especially if he performs like he did in the second half of 2024. Last year, the coaching staff wanted Bello to take a giant step forward as the team's ace, and he faltered under the pressure. This year, though, Bello can sit further back in the rotation and build his case to be the number two starter by the end of the season. Bello offers a ton of upside, and he should make his extension look like a bargain by the end of the season. View full article

Alex Cora once again made himself a shield for his players after the Red Sox were trounced at the hands of a division rival. It's commendable, but there's more than enough blame to share for the team's sluggish start. When Alex Cora sat down in front of the NESN cameras after the Red Sox lost 16-1 to the Rays, he was ready to take ownership of the on-field failures. “It seems like there was a team that was prepared for the other one and the other one wasn’t prepared for them," he said. "That goes from top all the way to the bottom. That wasn’t a good night for us. I’ll take the blame because it seemed like our team wasn’t ready to go." Statements like these have become a bit of a hallmark for Cora. He’s a player’s manager and is willing to fall on the sword for his team. He can handle the negative attention and comments, that’s part of what he was hired to do. Eventually, though, you have to wonder if it’s working. On paper, this Red Sox team should be the best team in the American League. They shouldn’t be getting almost swept by the likes of the Blue Jays and the lowly White Sox. Sure, you can excuse a bit away because of the frigid conditions at Fenway Park during the series with the Blue Jays, but the offense was listless. That trend continued into the weekend series with the White Sox. We thought that venturing to a warmer climate in Florida might wake up the bats, but after one game, it looks like more of the same. On top of that, the defense has been terrible. The Red Sox lead all of baseball with 20 errors on the season, a problem that the signing of Alex Bregman and the return of Trevor Story were supposed to help fix (though it's worth noting that according to Statcast's fielding run value, Boston grades out just about average defensively). Bregman currently leads the team with four errors. An outfield that some predicted could sweep the American League Gold Glove awards looks like a weakness so far. Jarren Duran has gotten off to slow start both offensively and defensively, and Ceddanne Rafaela is making highlight reel plays but is still a liability on offense. Wilyer Abreu has been one of the few bright spots on both sides of the ball, but he’s currently battling his way back from his first mini slump of the season. All hope isn’t lost. It’s still early in the season, so it’s not yet time to hit the panic button. Plus, the American League as a whole is underperforming. Most teams are hovering around .500, and as of Tuesday morning, only two teams have nine wins. Unfortunately, those two teams are the Yankees and Blue Jays. There’s still a lot of baseball to be played and the Red Sox should be able to turn it around. If they can’t, though, it’s fair to wonder if coaches like Pete Fatse and, yes, even Jason Varitek will find their seats growing hotter. It’s incredibly rare for coaching changes to happen this early in the season, but should this slide continue, I don’t think it can be ruled out entirely. The Red Sox should be better than this, and honestly, they have to be better than this. If they can't find their footing, then sweeping changes could be coming sooner rather than later. View full article

Garrett Whitlock has had his fair share of bad luck the last few seasons. Now that he's returned to the bullpen, can he return to his 2021 form? Garrett Whitlock is finally back in the bullpen, where he is hoping to return to his best playing days. After the Red Sox selected him in Rule 5 draft in December 2020, Whitlock lit the world on fire in 2021. His appearances became appointment television. It was rare to see a pitcher so young with so much poise, all the more because the Yankees left him unprotected. He appeared in most of the big games that season, and for his efforts he was rewarded with an extension in 2022. But that marked the start of a run of seasons that featured injury after injury. He hit the IL multiple times in 2022 with hip injuries, then again in 2023 with elbow injuries, then again in 2024 with an oblique injury that ended up leading to the UCL injury that forced him to undergo an internal bracing procedure. Now that he’s fully healthy and back in the bullpen, I wanted to look at the start of this season and compare it to the start of his dominant 2021 run to see if we can find any parallels. To date, Whitlock has thrown 9 2/3 innings with an ERA of 2.79 and eight strikeouts while appearing in six total games. In 2021, during his first six appearances, Whitlock held a flat zero ERA with 18 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings pitched. I don’t think those surface-level numbers tell the whole story, though. If we dive in to some more advanced metrics we notice that Whitlock is performing a bit below where he was in 2021. What’s interesting, though, is where some of those differences are coming. So far, he’s underperforming his 2021 numbers in most categories. His chase rate is down a full two points from 29.8% in 2021 to 27.7% so far in 2025, his first-pitch strike rate is down significantly from 64.9% to 56.1%, and his average exit velocity is up from 87.7 mph to 88.5 mph. While those are trending in the wrong direction, his whiff percentage is actually up by a decent margin. In 2021 he posted a 27.6% whiff rate, but so far in 2025 he’s sitting at a 34.2%. The topline results may not be as great, but something is working in his pitch mix. Until 2025, Whitlock always featured two different fastball looks. From 2021 to 2023, he featured a sinker and a four-seam fastball. In 2024 he replaced the four-seamer with a cutter. So far in 2025, he’s scrapped the secondary fastball altogether and trimmed his pitch mix down to just four pitches: sinker, slider, changeup, and sweeper. With this comes a couple of changes that can explain the uptick in his whiff rate. He’s throwing the sinker harder than he’s thrown it since 2021, currently averaging 95.7 mph. It’s also being thrown with more rise, likely due to him raising his arm slot from 37 degrees in 2021 to 40 degrees in 2025. The increase in velocity is likely causing more hitters to swing and miss on the pitch, but the pitch is being left up in the zone so when it is hit, it’s getting hit harder than ever. The other noticeable issue is that Whitlock's sweeper and slider are much closer in average velocity in 2025 than they have been in the past. They're only separated by about two miles per hour this season, where before there was as much as a 4-mph difference between the pitches. His sweeper and slider also have very similar movement patterns this season. Along with the small difference in speed, that means Whitlock either has to dot each type of breaking pitch perfectly, or hitters can sit on one and still hit the other. As he works his way back from surgery, Whitlock can easily reclaim his title as most dominant bullpen arm in the bullpen. He asked to be moved back to the bullpen and likely realizes that he will be given every opportunity to be successful with the Red Sox. So far, Alex Cora has trusted him in close games and that trust should persist. Should Whitlock be able to improve his command, we’re could be looking at the most dangerous setup man in the big leagues. View full article

If he's going to contribute, Trevor Story will need to start hitting when it counts. Trevor Story is looking to make an impact for the Boston Red Sox while staying healthy in 2025. So far, Story is slashing .273/.304/.432. That’s a respectable line for a shortstop in his age-32 season. Just looking at the numbers, it would be easy to assume that Story has been a contributing member of the lineup on a nightly basis. After all, he’s getting on base and already has two home runs. However, his at-bats don’t pass the eye test most of the time. Even more concerning is that when Story steps up to the plate with two outs, you don’t feel great about the outcome. When there are runners on base, it’s even worse. I spoke about Story’s struggles with two outs briefly on the most recent episode of The Talk Sox Podcast, so I wanted to dive into the numbers and see what exactly is going on. Let’s start by looking at Story’s at-bats with two outs so far this season. There have been 15 of those so far. Currently, he’s hitting .133 with a 53.3% strikeout rate and no walks. He’s had two hits in this situation: a soft grounder that he beat out for an infield single and a barreled single that died in the cold air on Tuesday night. He seems to be pressing a ton when he’s at the plate with two outs. As we can see with his pitch breakdown, he’s swinging at non-competitive pitches and either going down swinging or poking them off the end of the bat. We’re working with small sample sizes, sure, but this is a concerning trend. Even more concerning, though, is when Story is at the plate with two outs and runners on base. That putrid .133 average plummets to a flat zero with men on. He’s been in this situation eight times this season and he’s running a 50% strikeout rate. Of the four times he has made contact, three balls haven’t left the infield. So far, he’s chasing fastballs out of the zone and striking out on them, the classic definition of pressing. He’s trying to do too much and failing to do anything. The good news is that there’s plenty of time left in the season for Story to fix this issue. The bad news is Marcelo Mayer is breathing down Story’s neck at Worcester. Mayer looked ready in spring training and was surprised he didn’t make the big league club. Story isn’t going anywhere, but if his issues hitting with men on continue then it won’t take long for Alex Cora and company to start questioning wether the lineup would be better served with Mayer getting the nod at short. View full article

I think we'd all be lying to ourselves if we said we saw this version of Wilyer Abreu in 2025. In what may have been a shocking surprise to most Boston fans, Wilyer Abreu has been the shining star of the 2025 Red Sox so far this season. He missed the bulk of spring training with a gastrointestinal illness that cost him 15 pounds before he finally reported to camp. Fans were cautious about what he could contribute, citing Vaughn Grissom’s similar weight loss and lack of production in 2024 as a possible outcome for Abreu. He proved everyone wrong on Opening Day and he hasn’t stopped mashing since. As of Tuesday morning, Abreu is slashing .424/.537/.788 for a 249 wRC+. No one could have predicted this from him. Last season, he showed some power, but so far in 2025, he’s a can’t-miss at-bat each time he comes up to the plate. With the game on the line, as it was during the first part of the doubleheader on Sunday, there is no one else you want stepping into the batter’s box right now. Abreu is almost that automatic. His Savant page is red-hot. He’s currently in the 92nd percentile or better in the following categories: exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and walk rate. He’s working at-bats to get into counts he wants, taking walks, and making pitchers pay when they miss their spots by crushing the ball. We all knew Abreu was a phenomenal defender, and the Gold Glove last year solidified that. As we saw Sunday night, his arm is a genuine weapon. I venture to say that most other right fielders wouldn’t have thrown out Lars Nootbaar at third with such a precise throw. It was perfect, and it was totally Abreu. He’s played an excellent right field and should be in the Gold Glove conversation again in 2025. After that showcase on Sunday, runners will probably get the hint and finally stop running on Abreu. In my final roster prediction of spring training, I wrote that I expected Abreu to be the odd man out in the outfield as he worked his way back from his illness. I’ve never been more excited to be proven wrong so quickly. We knew that Abreu would shine on defense, but no one expected his offensive onslaught to start the season. He’s making a convincing argument that he’s much more than a platoon right fielder, and he has maybe even played his way into an extension conversation. The front office seems keen on handing those out lately. View full article

If the leaked jerseys are real, color me unimpressed. Last week, Sam Kennedy described the new City Connect uniforms as “controversial” in an interview on "The Fenway Rundown" podcast. If the leaks from late on Wednesday night are to be believed, then the new City Connect jerseys are...fine. The Green Monster colorway is excellent. That is a classic color and just as closely associated with the team as the color red. It makes sense that the second round of City Connect jerseys will play off of that. We’ve only seen the front of the jersey, but the back has a lot of heavy lifting to do. It will need to be impressive if the jerseys are going to make fans go, "Oh man, that’s really cool." like the Nationals did with their cherry blossom jerseys. I get that the font on the front mimics the hand-painted letters and numbers featured on the scoreboard. It’s just that it’s pretty bland looking for a jersey that’s supposed to get fans excited. If the back is bracketed in some way to look like the individual number slots in the scoreboard, that would be pretty neat and something that would make the jerseys unique. It makes me wonder if the Red Sox are going to break with tradition and have a home jersey with names on the back this season. They’ve already adopted their red jerseys on the road and left the names off the backs, so it could stand to reason that they could be a bit bold with these and put names on a home jersey. We’ll have to see. I’ve loved the yellow jerseys since I first saw them and would like to add a couple more into my jersey rotation in the near future. I think for these possible Green Monster ones, though, I’ll be more inclined to just pick up one of a player who is going to be here for a while instead of adding multiple green jerseys to my closet. My mind will likely change once the jersey is confirmed and we start seeing them on the field. I was expecting something controversial. Instead we got something perfectly fine. View full article

Tanner Houck has looked like a different pitcher in 2025, and not for the better. Three main things have stood out to me in both his outings so far. The Red Sox hoped that Tanner Houck would pitch like the guy who earned an All-Star selection in 2024. So far, after only two regular season starts, it has looked like last season may be an outlier. This drastic decline, which started during spring training, got me to wondering what could be going on with Houck and whether there was something he could do to try and rebound quicker. I’d noticed a few things in both starts that I thought were interesting. First, his pitch mix is slightly different this season. Last year, he scrapped his four-seam fastball entirely and replaced it briefly with a cutter. He has brought his four-seamer back for 2025 and so far hasn’t thrown a cutter yet. Second, his sweeper seemed to be breaking much less than it did last year. His splitter was being thrown a tick harder than last year, but since he throws it mostly in the same location as his sinker, it doesn’t play off nearly as well with that increase in velocity. It’s no secret that last season, the Red Sox were a fastball-light organization. Houck was arguably the biggest beneficiary of this, leaning heavily on a sweeper that kept hitters from both sides of the plate off balance. He’s still leaning on that sweeper, but so far he’s thrown his four-seam fastball 9% of the time, way more than the 1% of the time he used the cutter last year. The four-seamer has taken away usage on his best two pitches, the sweeper and the sinker. Last year, Houck used those pitches to keep batters on their toes, often swinging over the sinker and flailing wildly at a sweeper they had no chance to make contact with. So far this year, the sinker doesn’t sink like it did last year and the sweeper doesn’t sweep as much, forcing Houck to rely on a fastball back that lives high in the zone. A refocus on his top two pitches could go a long way towards getting Houck back to what he showed he could be last season. Unfortunately, there's a problem with the sweeper. Even fans watching on television can tell that it’s not sweeping like it was when he was dominant. Last year, his sweeper had 16.7 inches of horizontal break. Hitters typically swung wildly at a pitch that ended up far out of the zone. This season though, the horizontal break is 14.2 inches, a full two and a half inches less break. That may not sound like a lot, but it can make a big difference. Moreover, Houck isn't locating the pitch like he did last season. In the heat maps below, 2024 is on the left and 2025 is on the right. Last season, Houck mainly used the pitch on his arm-side, throwing it as a front-door pitch to righties and a backdoor pitch to lefties. This season he's leaving the sweeper out ove the plate, allowing righties to get their arms extended. Houck’s arm angle hasn’t changed , so that’s not the reason why his sweeper isn’t moving like it should. There’s also not a giant difference in velocity, last season the sweeper came in at 83.2 mph while it comes in this season at 83.6 mph. There could be some correlation with that slight velocity increase, but it shouldn’t take over two inches of break off of a pitch. That brings us to the slight uptick in velocity for the splitter. Last season, Houck threw his splitter at an average of 88.4 mph. So far this season, he’s averaging 89.5 mph. He mentioned in an interview after his final spring training start that he’s ready for the season and his "velo is up," but I think this slight increase is one reason why we’re seeing him get knocked around so much this season. His splitter and his sinker share tunnel off one another, keeping hitters behind on the sinker and out in front of the splitter. However, without as much velocity separation, hitters don't have to guess which pitch is which as often as they did last year. This means the hitter can sit on pitches on one side of the plate, ignoring anything else. I understand that we’re working with a small sample size at this point in the season, and maybe I’m reading too much into things right now. That’s possible, but Houck has looked rough through all of spring training and the regular season, and these three things have stood out to me in both regular season outings so far. It’s entirely possible that Houck gets it together and changes the outlook on his season. As it currently stands, though, the number two starter role could be up for grabs, and there are a number of pitchers behind him looking to move up in the pecking order. View full article

The Red Sox finally spent money on a pitcher. Let's win some ballgames. As I write this on April 1, I think back to exactly a month ago when I wrote about how the Boston Red Sox needed to lock Garrett Crochet into a long-term extension, ideally before the season began. It had just come out that Crochet wasn’t interested in talking about an extension once the season was underway. Like Sam Kennedy, I believed that the deadline wasn't iron-clad. Lo and behold, on March 31, ESPN’s Jeff Passan reported that the Red Sox and Crochet were in agreement on an extension that would keep him here through 2031. Caleb Kohn and Nick John have done an excellent job of getting the details of the contract up here on Talk Sox, so I want to go in a different direction for a minute. This deal, along with the rumored Kristian Campbell extension talks and the Alex Bregman signing, proves that the front office is putting its money where its mouth is. The organization is serious about winning, even if the current on-field product has gotten off to a slow start. The Red Sox traded their two most recent first-round picks for Crochet, and that’s a lot to give up for one player. However, the Sox have lacked a top-of-the-rotation arm for years at this point. The starting rotation has been made up of journeymen like Martin Perez, young hurlers like Brayan Bello, or reclamation projects like James Paxton. Tanner Houck turned in a stellar first half of 2024 but faltered as his innings piled up in the second half. If the Red Sox believed that Houck was going to repeat his first-half performance, they likely would have given him some sort of extension during the offseason. Crochet was the best left-handed pitcher on the market, arguably the game, and the Red Sox paid a steep price to get him. It only makes sense, then, that the front office paid a steeper cash price to secure Crochet’s talent for the foreseeable future. Had he pitched well and stayed healthy this season, his price only would have increased. Crochet is legitimate Cy Young candidate, and pitcher anywhere near that level would have meant a significantly more expensive contract. The closer he got to the end of his two-year stint without a contract, the more money he would have cost in free agency. With this deal, Crochet makes enough money to set him up for life and the Red Sox get their Game 1 starter for the long haul. A small percentage of fans complained about the Bregman deal's deferred money and opt-outs, which could have been a possibility for Crochet's as well. However, there is no deferred money, and the only opt-out comes one year before the end of the deal. That’s smart business for both the player and the team. Recent history suggests that the Red Sox have felt burned by giving out massive extensions and contracts to starting pitchers, and some of that is justified. However, Garrett Crochet is young enough to make any kind of risk worth it. Even if he's hurt for a year or two, if he pitches like he's capable of pitching the rest of the time, he will provide more than $170 million in value. By locking him up for the next six seasons, the Red Sox have finally shown that they believe that the championship window in Boston is wide open. We’re now entering the early part of many exciting seasons to come. View full article

The Red Sox can steal bases from almost every spot in the lineup. It’s no secret that the Boston Red Sox have a speedy lineup. The focus on the youth movement at the major league level has come with a speed boost on the base paths. We saw this last year from a handful of guys. Jarren Duran swiped bags with ease for the first half of the season, David Hamilton led the team in steals before his injury in late August, and Ceddanne Rafaela flashed his speed on offense and defense. This year, the Sox look ready to run. As of Monday morning, six out of the 12 starters for the team have stolen at least one base. Duran has swiped two, as has Story. Wilyer Abreu, Rafaela, Alex Bregman, and Connor Wong have all stolen one base each so far. The team ranks third in steals, behind the Padres with nine and the Pirates with 15. Out of the top three, Boston is the only organization that has yet to be thrown out. That won’t last as they’ll face better catchers over the next few series, it looks like the Red Sox are going to be aggressive on the bases, and that should pay dividends as the season unfolds. In 2024, the Red Sox finished seventh with 144 stolen bases. That total was carried mostly by Duran and Hamilton, with 34 and 33 steals respectively. Rafaela swiped 19 bases and Romy Gonzalez claimed another 11. Everyone else on the roster was in single digits for the year. Duran all but quit stealing bases in the second half, focusing on saving his legs in order to play a full season. Now that Alex Cora has said Duran will get more rest, he should have the green light whenever he’s on base. Story’s speed looks like it hasn't waned much despite several injuries. Bregman isn’t a speedster, but he showed that he can take advantage of a pitcher who is slow to the plate. Even Wong looked like he was comfortable stealing a base on Sunday. Gonzalez and Hamilton haven’t had much chance to run yet, but we’re early in the season. It wouldn’t be a shock for Hamilton to lead the team in steals even as a utility infielder. Basestealing isn’t a surefire way to guarantee success for a season. Last season, the Dodgers were 10th in the league in steals with 136 while the Yankees came in at 24th with only 88 stolen bases. As we know, both teams made the World Series. However, a team that can steal bases with ease is a team that constantly has runners in scoring position. The Red Sox have struggled both getting on base and hitting with runners on base so far, but we’re only five games in. As the bats wake up ( hopefully soon) watch for the Red Sox to jump up the stolen base leaderboard. View full article

Kristian Campbell looks like the real deal. Maddie, Alex, and Adam try not to overreact to the Red Sox 1-3 start. They find the goodness in Kristian Campbell and Wilyer Abreu's performances while recognizing the historic bad start for Rafael Devers. They also discuss the latest in the Masataka Yoshida saga. Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-talk-sox-podcast/id1783204104 Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3qPrPXEngu0CxgTmlf0ynm Listen on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/263-the-talk-sox-podcast-244591331/ Listen on Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/4tmd121v Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@talksox View full article

We now know Rafael Devers won't see time at third base this season, and I fully expect him to keep putting the team ahead of his own interests. Alex Cora confirmed on Friday that Rafael Devers will not see time at third base this season. When Alex Bregman needs a day off, Romy Gonzalez will man the hot corner. To those paying attention, this shouldn’t have come as much of a surprise. Cora has made it pretty clear since the signing of Bregman that Devers has been moved off of the position. Now, we know that's for good for the 2025 season. In the first two games of the season, Raffy has looked lost at the plate. He’s still swinging from his heels and is behind on almost every pitch. Currently, prior to Saturday's game, he’s 0-for-8 with seven strikeouts. Likely, this is rust that is being shaken off from his abbreviated spring training, so there shouldn’t need to be too much concern from fans. Which means, even though he has looked lost at the plate so far, Devers will continue to be the company man and do what is best for the team while keeping his head down. I’ve written before how Devers doesn’t need to be vocal to be a team leader. His ability to do what the team needs him to do will do that for him. By keeping his head down, even if he disagrees with the position switch, he’s showing the younger players that sometimes you have to put your team ahead of your own personal interests. Something that has been brought up a handful of times recently is that there has been another Dominican powerhouse hitter who made the move to DH at the same age, David Ortiz. In all likelihood, Big Papi will go down as the greatest DH in the history of the game. He has been in Devers' ear, at least through the media, about the position switch. Devers would benefit greatly from reaching out to Ortiz and entering into a mentor/mentee relationship with him. Ortiz is highly regarded in Boston and if Devers follows in his path, then we’re likely looking at two Red Sox designated hitters in the Hall of Fame when everything is said and done. To his credit, outside of the very first time he spoke about the Bregman signing at camp, Devers has publicly said the right thing. Alex Cora has implied that he’s been far more vocal about the switch behind the scenes and that’s to be expected, but at the end of the day, Devers wants to win championships. Having him focus on his best skill will hopefully propel the team to their next championship. View full article

Opening Day is here and I've got some questions about each member of the current roster. Plus one bonus question. Opening Day is finally here and the Boston Red Sox seemed primed to take the American League by storm in 2025. What questions remain about the 26 man roster as we head into the season? Catchers Connor Wong: Will the defensive progress shown in spring training carry over to the regular season? There has been an added focus on Wong’s defense coming into the season. So far, it seems to be paying off. When the games matter though, especially in tight situations where he’s anxious or pressing a bit to get a call, we could see him revert to his old defensive habits. Should he be able to keep up the defensive strides he’s made so far, we could be looking at Wong stepping into elite catcher status in 2025. Carlos Narváez: Will he be content remaining a backup throughout an entire season in the big leagues? Honestly, there’s no reason to assume Narváez won’t be okay with playing this season as the backup catcher. He will see spot starts when Wong needs a break or if he develops a relationship with certain members of the starting rotation who prefer throwing to him. When that happens, though, if he shows out on both sides of the ball, there could be some ‘what if’ scenarios running through his head. As it stands, backing up Connor Wong on the team that has been picked by experts to with the American League oennant isn’t a bad spot to be in. Infielders Triston Casas: Can he stay healthy through an entire season without drastically changing his incredibly powerful swing? Maddie Landis did an excellent job with this article a couple of months ago, and it’s going to be interesting to watch as the season unfolds. Casas hasn’t had a stellar spring. He finished spring training with a 91 wRC+, a far cry from his season totals over his career. His approach seems to be the same as before, but there is concern that his rib injury from last year could reappear due to his violent cut. I expect Casas to be his usual slugger self, I even predicted he would hit 40 home runs this season on the lost episode of the Talk Sox Podcast, but he has to make it through the season healthy. Kristian Campbell: Can he take big defensive strides at the major league level? Campbell’s bat started to come around toward the end of spring training, likely solidifying the team’s decision to make him the Opening Day starting second baseman. However, he still leaves a little to be desired on the defensive side of the ball. Throughout spring training he has made some excellent plays, but also shown that he’s still learning the position. He’s more than capable of succeeding defensively, so it's more a matter of how long it takes him. Trevor Story: Will he rest his body after a Boston career plagued by freak injuries to this point? I debated a few different questions for Story, but settled on this one because during interviews, he’s mentioned that he knows he needs to rest for his body to heal so he can play a full season but it’s difficult for him to do it. Story offers a calming presence in the infield and excellent veteran leadership to the young core that seems to be major league ready, so staying on the field is paramount for him this season. Alex Bregman: What if he doesn’t live up to his Gold Glove on defense? I guess this is the million-dollar question right now. Alex Bregman was brought here to play third base and will stay at the position throughout the entire season according to Alex Cora. This decision has likely rubbed the longest-tenured member of the team the wrong way, even if he’s saying all the right things, and he will take some time to adjust to his new role. But what if Bregman doesn’t live up to the hype in Boston, especially on the defensive side of the ball? In fairness, I don’t see this being an issue but it’s something to consider. We sometimes forget that free agents fail to live up to the hype they bring to their new teams. Rafael Devers: Will he continue to put the team first or will the drama from early in camp rear its ugly head again? Devers has said all the right things to the media. Sam Kennedy applauded him for putting the team first in his decision to accept the full-time designated hitter role. There’s speculation he’s understandably still upset about it though. Will his frustration leak into his performance? What if he starts making comments similar to the ones he made early in training camp again? At the end of the day, Devers wants to win championships and will do whatever is asked of him to get that done, but don’t be surprised if there are some signs throughout the season that he’s still not totally over his role changing. Romy Gonzalez: Does he have a place on the roster once Marcelo Mayer is ready to be called up? In all likelihood, Gonzalez will be the person DFA’d when Marcelo Mayer is ready to join the big league club. Gonzalez plays one position that Mayer doesn’t, first base, but the team can adjust to that to make sure another member of the Big Three gets his time in the majors this season. Gonzalez has slowly become someone to rally behind, but his time in Boston is probably fairly limited at this point. David Hamilton: Can a utility infielder lead the team in steals? Absolutely. Hamilton will likely see time at various spots across the infield and will pinch-run and hit late in games. Before he was injured last season, he already had 33 steals. Don’t be shocked to see him be a menace on the basepaths in 2025 as well, likely leading the team in steals. Outfielders Jarren Duran: Can he repeat his MVP-caliber season from 2024? In all likelihood, Duran will put up excellent numbers in 2025. He really seemed to come into his own last year and proved that he should be counted on as a valuable, contributing member of the team for the next couple of years. However, repeating his 2024 season is going to be tough. To start, Cora has already mentioned that Duran won’t be chasing playing all 162 games this year. That should open the door for him to steal more bases because he’s not as focused on keeping his legs from tiring out. I expect the biggest contribution from Duran to be on the defensive side of the ball. Don’t be shocked to see him in the conversation for a Gold Glove at the end of the season. Ceddanne Rafaela: Can he continue to showcase a more patient approach at the plate? Rafaela’s defense gives fans a ton to be excited about. He likely would have been in the Gold Glove conversation last year had he not shifted positions so much, but Cora has said that Rafaela will see most of his time in center field this year. The biggest question coming out of 2024 was if he could figure out the offensive side of the game at the big leagues. So far throughout spring training, that answer seems to be yes. He’s been patient, working counts and drawing walks. In spring training he put up a 146 wRC+. I think it’s a bit lofty to expect him to do that during the season but if he takes even just a small step forward on offense then he suddenly becomes one of the better center fielders in the league. There was debate if he was worth the extension he was given, and he seems set on proving to people that he is. Wilyer Abreu: Is he just a platoon outfielder? I want Abreu to be more than a platoon outfielder, and if the minor leagues weren’t stacked with as much talent as they are, I expect we’d see him get more time against left-handed pitching this season. As things stand though, he’s an excellent defender who struggles too much against lefties to be trusted as an everyday outfielder. Rob Refsnyder: Can the Red Sox justify his position on the roster with Roman Anthony knocking on the door? This question goes hand in hand with Abreu’s a bit, because I actually think to make room for Anthony, Abreu will be traded at some point. For this exercise though, I don’t want to speculate on trades, so the question is can Refsnyder survive Anthony’s call-up? Yes, I think he can. He’s a platoon outfielder, no doubt, but he’s a veteran leader in the clubhouse and can hit left-handed pitching better than pretty much anyone on the team. He’s valuable as a late-game pinch hitter, even if his playing time drops once Anthony is in the big leagues. Starting Pitchers Garrett Crochet: Is the deadline of Opening Day real or will his agent still negotiate during the season? I don’t think the deadline is legit. It feels a lot like a hardball tactic that the Red Sox have dealt with quite a bit in the past. Sam Kennedy cited specific examples in his recent sitdown with "The Fenway Rundown" podcast and I think the belief is that they’ll get a deal worked out at some point this season. If not, they are going to have to overpay even more than they would right now to keep Crochet in Boston long-term. Walker Buehler: Can he build on his 2024 postseason success? It’s not crazy to assume Buehler’s performance in the postseason is the main reason he was given the deal he was given. He’s looking to bet on himself this season and his performance in spring training hopefully bodes well for his time in Boston. If he can continue his spring training success into the regular season, the top two spots in the rotation look like legitimate Cy Young contenders. Tanner Houck: What if 2024 was actually his outlier season? Houck has looked overmatched in spring training. He’s not been great in spring trainings past, except for last year. If 2024 was his outlier season, then expect him to get shuffled down in the rotation as the season goes on. They’ll use extra rest days and spot starts to reorganize the starting rotation and it wouldn’t be shocking to see one of the names below end up starting over him if he can’t figure things out. Richard Fitts: Can he force the Red Sox to keep him in the rotation over more veteran pitchers? Houck was the name that immediately came to mind when I wrote this question. I expect Brayan Bello to take a significant step forward this season, Lucas Giolito has the potential to pitch like he did before the back half of the 2023 season, and Kutter Crawford is dependable as long as he’s on the field. Fitts has been electric in spring training and looks like someone who can force a tough conversation about a more established starter who is underperforming. His talent would be wasted in Triple-A, so if he shows out in first few turns through the rotation, don’t be shocked for him to supplant someone more established. Sean Newcomb: How many times will he travel between Boston and Worcester in 2025? A lot. He’s looked great in camp but undoubtedly will be the first name sent back to Worcester as the rest of the staff gets healthy. Should he have a good showing during his time on the big league roster, expect him to be the first pitcher called up when the need arises. Relief Pitchers Aroldis Chapman: How long will he be the closer in 2025? If we’re lucky, not very long. Chapman was once a dominant closer but those days are behind him. Sure, he’s looked good during the end of spring training and can still hit 100 mph on the radar gun, but he’s not reliable. It won’t take long for him to walk in the winning run with a blown save opportunity, and he’s going to be on an incredibly short leash as the season gets underway. Liam Hendriks: Can he return to form or is he unable to be an effective relief pitcher this season? (After I wrote this article, Hendriks hit the IL, so consider this a bonus question.) Watching Hendriks in spring training has been rough. We all are rooting for the guy and want him to return to form after everything he’s been through, but it’s just not happening so far. He’s made the roster but looks like a guy who could benefit from an extended spring training. I don’t think any of us will feel comfortable watching him jog in from the bullpen until he gets his velocity up and isn’t knocked around as hard as he has been so far. Cooper Criswell: Can he make a case to not be optioned back to Worcester while Hendriks is on the IL? Last season was a pleasant surprise from Criswell. He posted a 4.08 ERA, which is what you’d hope for from a back-of-the-rotation starter. He ended up finishing the season a a bullpen piece and that’s where he will begin this season with Liam Hendriks landing on the IL just a few hours before first pitch. He flashed solid stuff last year and has a pitch mix that should work well out of the bullpen for an extended period of time. Should the IL stay be a long one for Hendriks (and elbow inflammation is rarely a quick trip), Criswell can easily make the case that he should be the man to take over that mid to high-leverage position. Justin Slaten: How long until he takes over as the closer in 2025? My prediction is the beginning of May. I believe Slaten is the prime closer candidate in the bullpen and has the mental fortitude to take over the position. It won’t take long for Chapman’s inability to control his pitches to grow old with Cora and we’ll see Slaten start to take a more prominent position in the closer role. Right now, he’ll be the eighth-inning guy, but that won’t last long. Garrett Whitlock: Will the transition to the bullpen prove to be the thing that propels him to dominance again? Let’s hope so. Whitlock is an incredibly likable guy who has struggled to find his footing after being shuttled between the bullpen and starting rotation. He shined as a high-leverage reliever in 2021 and should do so again in 2025. Justin Wilson: Can he be the go-to left-hander in the bullpen? Right now, yes. As long as Chapman is closing Wilson should be the go-to lefty out of the bullpen, but once the closer role is adjusted, we’ll likely see him come in for specific matchups and be used as someone who takes over when the starter can’t get out of the fifth inning. Brennan Bernardino: Just which version of him will we see in 2025? Another loaded question here in the bullpen. Bernardino struggled mightily last year, especially in the second half of the season. His pitch mix was ineffective, but he’s been working on that with Andrew Bailey, so a return to his 2023 form would be a welcome change. It would likely solidify him as the best left-handed reliever in the bullpen as well. Greg Weissert: Will he have more than a mop-up role this season? Weissart started strong in 2024 then fell apart as the season carried on. He spent some time in Worcester where he seemed to figure things out and had a bit of a resurgence at the end of the season. Currently, he feels like he’s jockeying for the low-leverage innings. If he can excel in that role early on, expect Cora to start using him in higher leverage spots as the bullpen wears down throughout the season. Zack Kelly: Can he stick on the roster over Newcomb and Fitts once the rotation is fully healthy? Out of all the options in the bullpen, I think Kelly is the one most likely to be optioned to Worcester if Cora decides to keep either Fitts or Newcomb. Kelly offered glimpses of what he could be last season but wore down with extended use. He has the stuff to make a play for the closer role, but he will have to prove to be more reliable before that conversation can even begin to happen. It will be incredibly interesting to track these questions as the season unfolds. What questions do you have about the Opening Day roster? Let’s discuss them below! View full article