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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
True realists know this is the Pessimistic Thread -- it sure ain't Optimistic -- and that the Red Sox are last in the league in stolen bases and last in the league in home runs. They don't play Smallball and they don't play Largeball. No one is going to legally grow muscles overnight that are big enough to hit the ball 50 more feet. But Boston has one sacrifice bunt -- when Narvaez did it on his own -- back on Opening Day. Breslow told the truth when he constructed a roster he said was all about Run Prevention. But his own team's? -
The only Sandoval seen in a Red Sox jersey was Biggut, who broke his belt buckle before going back to San Francisco, where he flourished once again when he resumed his diet of sea otters.
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Those who think the Red Sox offense is just brutal need only look at the league batting statistics. The Sox don't completely suck, but they are completely average. Boston's team batting average is .231 while the average average in the American League is .232. Seven teams in the AL are better, seven teams are worse. Five Red Sox are basically .300 hitters but seven are in the .100s. Right in the middle is Roman Anthony at .230 -- a completely average hitter who strikes out a ton... but whose 19 Ks are only tied with WiLLson Contreras and WBC teammate Byron Buxton for 22nd in the AL. The difference is that Buxton looks like a total superstar in Minnesota vs. the Sox, who can't get back home fast enough.
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Red Sox Select Contract of Pitcher Jack Anderson
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to Nick John's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Hope when Oviedo returns he's ready to hit homers. -
Red Sox all alone with worst record again
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to Deja Doh's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Crochet may have been spoiled during Covid, because no matter how good or bad he pitched, every cardboard fan still looked like they were cheering. -
Not to genderflect, but consider the pals of ancient philosphers. The sayings "diamonds are a girl's best friend" and "a dog is a man's best friend" can only be attributed back to baseball. At least, I know several women who love the fact that their men are obsessed with watching baseball while they pursue interests of their own. Meanwhile, nobody but a loyal dog can keep a guy company when the staff ace is getting shelled off the mound by the 2nd inning.
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Yes, training Twins to sprint 360 feet. 4 bases X 90 feet = 360... ... dang yo, I just figured out why running around a diamond is called "Circling the bases." Query for math brains: when a good baserunner properly cuts the inside corner of the bags with his left foot and leans towards the mound, how many degrees is the shortest route, home to home? Don't forget to account for the wider first "leg" from home to 1st, when a smart runner veers into foul territory before the coach's box to reduce the angle turning to 2nd... Would a protractor help here? Amateur tractor?
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Weak, too weak. CJ Abrams, 25, leads NL shortstops with 5 homers. Brandon Lowe leads all second basemen with 6 HRs. Marte has 4, Donovan 3. Old Max Muncy leads third basemen with 4 bombs. Paredes is tied with Durbin with zero... -
The Red Sox losing record in extra innings in the 2020s is always due to SSS. Scarce Sacrifice Skills. In 2021, when Boston's offense was good enough to go deep into the ALCS, the Sox were 11-5 in extra innings. The rest of this decade: 29 wins, 44 losses. That's a .397 winning percentage... or to misquote Meatloaf: two outta five ain't good.
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Red Sox all alone with worst record again
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to Deja Doh's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Trying to remember any Red Sox pitchers who were strictly relievers when drafted and made it. Two that were supposedly MLB ready right out of college were Craig Hansen and Cla Meredith... seems like there was another more recently? But most pitching prospects bounce back and forth initially, especially since anyone should be willing to do whatever it takes to get to The Show and stay there. Some even embrace change, like Papelbon, the best closer in Boston history. Last year Tolle was the best starting pitching prospect the Sox have had in a long time. Now, who knows -- Eyanson is already lights out at low A, and he was rated below Early, Witherspoon, Valera and Phillips. -
Ober never pitched for Boston before where he could sit in dugouts or bullpens every day and discuss with staff mates how -- if given the chance -- they'd exploit the hole in the swing of each Red Sox batter (this is really who writes the forward in "the book" that pitchers eventually compose on every MLB hitter).
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That 9th was the best inning of the season and must have felt even better for Red Sox batters than fans watching it. Are the Sox capable of stringing together six straight singles on a regular basis? Yes -- when facing mediocre relievers like in St. Louis. However, a few singles and an extra-base hit is more reasonable for most clubs that feature some semblance of power. Hopefully, Abreu will be consistent all year, and streaky veterans will contribute again: Story, Rafaela and Duran. We know Contreras is always a threat (in many ways). Other than that... ... and don't count on Anthony to blast 30 to 40 HRs, because trying to do that will just mess him up more. Roman is best when he's driving liners over the shortstop; that's the approach for his return to a .290-.300 batting average. Right now only the White Sox have less extra-base hits than Boston in the AL. The thing is, about half the teams in the league have around the same totals as the Soxes. Hitting is just down in baseball so far, and being a few games out of 1st or a wild card maybe isn't such an illusion.
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Smallsamplesize and all that, but on one of the worst offenses in baseball, Wilyer Abreu leads the American League in WAR, Batting Average, Hits and Total Bases. I see he's batting 5th again in Boston's line-up. If the Sox are readjusting the batting order because some guys are slumping, then I have one suggestion: please make sure the best hitter -- in the league -- gets up in the 1st inning. In these days of Mason Miller Time, scoring first is more important than ever...
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Be prepared for posters to scramble to hit Caps Lock before tying replies to such blasphemy after 12 whole games of It's Still Too Early To Panic (I bet if this was posted by a new forum member, guys like moonslav, MVP and notin would be hammering their keyboards right now). Personally, I have no problem with any suggestions by fans who pay for tickets to Fenway or cable/internet fees for NESN and streaming services. Slow starts suck and when new acquisitions are part of the problem, it's even worse. We're not that dumb that we can't see immediately that changes have to be made. Because even though the Red Sox -- with the worst record in baseball -- are only 2 games out of a wild card spot, there are 14 other AL teams ahead of them vying for those 6 postseason berths. Cora agrees or he wouldn't have scrambled his batting order already. Craig Breslow, who still hasn't completed his roster with all his offseason goals, can actually still make impact moves for Big League BATS if he can find another trade partner in panic mode. Who else has as many top pitching prospects to dangle????? -
I've posted that no one can -- many times -- but that doesn't mean the smartest CBOs and GMs in the room don't try. The Red Sox agreed to pay Bregman $120 million a year ago and the Cubs agreed to pay Bregman $175 million this year. Only they know how much of that is worth it to their teams to secure the intangible impact of a well-respected player/coach. Same with Refsnyder -- besides the fact that he can hit lefties, why did Seattle deem him at age 35 worth triple his Red Sox salary?
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Just remember, it's always still early -- until the trade deadline comes, and the CBO didn't do enough to actually help a team that is all about winning championships go all in full throttle for the stretch run before going deep into October. -
I was waiting for someone to cite stats, as if anyone could quantify dugout/clubhouse leadership. Same with Refsnyder, who isn't hitting yet in Seattle but who everyone lauded in Boston as a leader. Now management voices are trying to contrive lists of veteran names to the media, but it's funny no actual young players marvel at the guidance they're getting that is helping them adjust to a game of failure.
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Durbin would be a welcomed role player on an actual good team: solid third baseman with contact skills and decent speed. The problem is the Red Sox are not a good team, and one of the reasons is that the CBO acquired Durbin to replace an All-Star and veteran leader who for over a decade has a 162-game average of 28 HRs, 95 RBI and an .840 OPS. This season could get worse, but it will be hard to top last night as a low-point, losing to a pitcher Boston couldn't wait to get rid of, who was also the worst starter in baseball so far this year.
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https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/03/mlb-to-test-check-swing-rule-changes-in-triple-a.html "A check-swing challenge system requires an objective cutoff point. The threshold is whether the bat head breaks a 45° angle relative to the handle (essentially aligning with the opposite base line). Major League Baseball’s rulebook doesn’t have an official check-swing cutoff, instead leaving it at the umpire’s discretion as to whether the hitter offered. As Longenhagen demonstrates with video, the 45° threshold is further along than what umpires have generally treated as the cutoff. That led hitters to successfully challenge a lot of calls last year. It appears that’s a deliberate consideration by the league. MLB’s memo notes a slight drop in the Florida State League strikeout rate after the check-swing challenge was implemented, 'having a positive impact on balls in play and encouraging more extensive testing at higher levels.' It’s not a huge effect but one that would turn more swinging strikes into balls than vice versa." ... in my opinion, there will be a much bigger effect in the majors, where pitchers presumably have better stuff and batters have less time to react (and egotistical umps have a bigger stage to punch fists in the air of inferiority). Don't forget, catchers don't just call for Check-the-Check on what could be Strike Three, but any time a batter exhales. When a hitter gets down in the count he has to worry more about swinging at a pitcher's pitch, and when he doesn't swing and miss there can still be poor contact. But being ahead in the count ideally gives batters more hittable pitches or even mistake pitches they can crush. So even if there are slightly less strikeouts, the new rule can result in considerably more contact, which can produce more baserunners, more run-scoring, and a more balanced game to watch.
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Not arguing with your last line, but the point that can never be quantified is what Breslow pivoted away from... ... except maybe in the final standings or Boston's future postseason record. -
A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
He was basically a player-coach, and not just the on-field stuff. Cora talked about Bregman like he was his bench coach. AB also showed the young guys how to be professionals, and they really appreciated his gestures like buying rookies new suits. -
A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
But as we've seen so far in this historically bad beginning, what price does a franchise put on chemistry? Leaders may emerge but it says a lot about Breslow's roster construction when a 21-year old has to be the spokesman every night about why the team sucks. Maybe the Sox will warm to Contreras' fire and rally around him. We know Story is well-liked, but he's more of a lead-by-example guy. And there is no other position player who's been around long enough or fluent enough to handle the press. -
A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Boston may need to focus on All-Star batters who will be free agents in 2028 and trade for them next offseason before their contracts expire. Mid-market clubs that expect to lose such good ballplayers to free agency should be willing to make a deal for pitching prospects. Wait -- which one are we again?

