The Arbitration Process, has made signing a Pitcher as a Free Agent, a real gamble. Owners and GM's I think are starting to see this.
Take Noah Syndergaard. Made his debut at 22, by the time he gets to FA, he'll be 29, you want to sign him say at 25+ million, at that age? He'll be 30 the year he signs and Pitches. Me, no. His better days are behind him. He'll start trending more down then up. Might get 2 or even 3 good years from him, but age and innings will catch up to you, as a Pitcher.
Why I feel the smallest window for greatness, for any Player in the Majors, is a Pitcher.
That's why I think when you pay 20+ million a year to any Player, I expect very good production.
At 30+ a year, you better give it to me as an Owner.