harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-93607/
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https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/travelers/proof-of-vaccination.html#:~:text=Do%20I%20still%20need%20proof,proof%20of%20COVID%2D19%20vaccination.
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Any love for Arizona first baseman Christian Walker, who has posted a higher fWAR than Peter Alonso and Valdimir Guerrero Jr. this year and who has a surplus trade value of only $3.5 million at Baseball Trade Values? https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=1b&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2022&month=0&season1=2022&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2022-01-01&enddate=2022-12-31 https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/9690/
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Even with a 14-game win streak (and winning 22 of 25) the Mariners' season winning percentage (.548) falls short of last year's full-season winning percentage (.556). But this year's team has a +36 run differential while last year's team ended at -51. But the modest second-half strength of schedule is encouraging: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds After 93 games the Mariners are 51-42 with a 67.7 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, according to FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2022-07-18&dateDelta= After 93 games of the 2018 season the Mariners were 58-35 with a an 80.6 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, according to FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2018-07-11&dateDelta= Baseball can be cruel as the Mariners came up short in 2018 ... perhaps this is the year for the Mariners. Or not.
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Baseball Trade Values gives the expiring contract of righthander Nathan Eovaldi a surplus value of $3.6 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/8096/ Of roughly equal value would be Seattle's 23-year-old prospect righthander Taylor Dollard, who is having a Brandon Walter-type season at Double A: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/43013/ https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=dollar000tay
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Find equal value on the Seattle Mariners: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/teams/478/ ... although the Mariners are unlikely to trade 23-year-old righthander Emerson Hancock, a former No. 6 draft pick who struck out the side in the sixth inning of Saturday's Futures Game.
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Thank you for the correction.
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This weekend the Mariners host a three-game series against the Houston Astros, who host a doubleheader against the Yankees on Thursday before flying to Seattle to start the weekend series on Friday. The Mariners have split a dozen games against the Astros this season. But indeed in the first 20 games after the All Star Break the Mariners play the Astros seven times and the Yankees six times.
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Would the Red Sox consider trading Nick Pivetta at the deadline? Baseball Trade Values lists Pivetta with a surplus value of $6.3 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/9135/
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The defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves pick three places ahead of the Toronto Blue Jays and one pick ahead of the Seattle Mariners, neither of whom advanced to the postseason last year.
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7/17 SOX @ Yankems 1:35PM ET
harmony replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
The Red Sox need the All Star Break. -
July 16th Red Sox at Yankees
harmony replied to Tedballgame's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
The Red Sox run differential took a hit tonight. -
The Last Picture Show by Larry McMurtry was a great book and great movie but the sequels (four books and one film) got sillier and sillier. Nevertheless I identified with protagonist Duane as we aged together.
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What about a trade of outfielder Mitch Haniger and lefthander Tommy Milone for lefthander Blake Snell and infielder Ha-Seong Kim? https://sodomojo.com/2022/07/15/mock-trade-mariners-padres-snell-haniger/ The Padres would take on the balance of Haniger's final arbitration salary of $7.75 million. For the Mariners, 2020 Rookie of the Year Kyle Lewis would return to join Julio Rodriguez and Jesse Winker in the Seattle outfield with Taylor Trammell and Jarred Kelenic waiting in the wings (and Carlos Santana securely at designated hitter). However, a trade of Haniger probably would not be well received in the Seattle clubhouse.
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Marcelo Mayer, Triston Casas, Brayan Bello and Nick Yorke might not be enough to get it done.
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The trade deadline reportedly is 6 pm EDT on August 2: https://www.si.com/mlb/2022/07/01/trade-deadline-primer-five-tool-newsletter#:~:text=We're%20just%20about%20a,2%20at%206%20p.m.%20ET.
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July Fourteenth Red Sox @ Rays
harmony replied to moonslav59's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Toronto and Seattle are losing as well at this moment. -
From Thursday's chat with Steve Adams at MLB Trade Rumors: https://www.jotcast.com/chat/chat-with-mlbtrs-steve-adams-7-14-22-13521.html
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Especially when that 10-game homestand is against the struggling Rangers, Athletics and Tigers.
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What if the head-to-head tiebreaker in a three-way tie looks at the cumulative record of one team against the other two teams? The Red Sox are 9-8 against the Blue Jays and Mariners, the Blue Jays 9-8 against the Red Sox and Mariners, and the Mariners 6-8 against the Red Sox and Blue Jays. Under that scenario, the Blue Jays and Red Sox would secure postseason slots and the Mariners would be left out in the cold again.
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The new tiebreaker rules can be confusing but if the season ended at this moment the Red Sox would likely fall short of the postseason. The Red Sox, Blue Jays and Mariners are currently tied for the second and third Wild Card slots. The first tiebreaker is head-to-head competition which gives the Red Sox the edge over the Mariners, the Mariners the edge over the Blue Jays and the Blue Jays the edge over the Red Sox. The second tiebreaker is intradivision record in which the Red Sox stand at 11-23, the Blue Jays at 16-18 and the Mariners at 20-16. Presumably the Mariners would secure the second Wild Card slot and the Blue Jays the third slot. The Mariners might receive a benefit in playing in a weaker division. Or not. In 20-game stretch after the All Star Break the Mariners play seven games against the Houston Astros and six games against the New York Yankees. It could be an interesting season.
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Dennis Lin, the veteran Padre beat reporter at The Athletic, had this response in a June 28 mailbag: https://theathletic.com/3386941/2022/06/28/padres-mailbag-joe-musgrove-esteury-ruiz/?source=emp_shared_article
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ZiPS projects Blake Snell with 50 innings the remainder of the 2022 season. A veteran starter such Tommy Milone who can effectively shuttle between Triple A and the parent club has value in these days of crowded active rosters.
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If San Diego is looking to shed payroll the Padres are unlikely to be interested in the guaranteed 2023 salaries of $8.375 million and $3.5 million for Matt Barnes and Jake Diekman (not to mention the buyouts of their 2024 options). Veterans Tommy Milone and Justin Upton might be attractive to the Padres only because of their expiring contracts at league-minimum net salaries.
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Tommy Milnne, who takes the mound tonight, would likely post fewer strikeouts and fewer walks than Blake Snell. ZiPS projects rest-of-season ERA of 3.72 for Snell and 3.82 for Milone.