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harmony

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  1. Blake Swihart has a career OPS+ of 90 and a career wRC+ of 92 with projected 2017 wRC+ of 82, 87 and 77: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C Swihart has posted only pedestrian wRC+ in 273 plate appearances at Triple A. Swihart's bat may play only if he is a defensively adequate catcher or an exceptional defender elsewhere.
  2. From Friday's FanGraphs chat with columnist Jeff Sullivan: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/jeff-sullivan-fangraphs-chat-22417/
  3. http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2017/1/8/14189138/pecota-zips-steamer-marcel-projection-systems-graded
  4. From Thursday's FanGraphs chat with columnist Dan Szymborski, who developed the ZiPS projections: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/dan-szymborski-fangraphs-chat-22317/
  5. Homers from Mitch Moreland and Sam Travis against Northeastern: Boston Globe beat reporter Pete Abraham suggests a Rusney Castillo solution:
  6. FanGraphs Depth Charts, Steamer and ZiPS project Andrew Benintendi with 2017 OBP of .339, .338 and .341, respectively, along with 12, 10 and 12 home runs: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=17901&position=OF The 2017 WAR projections come in at 1.9, 1.4 and 2.1 while the wRC+ is projected at 105, 104 and 106.
  7. Agreed again.
  8. That's what gives this Seattle fan hope.
  9. You and I agree.
  10. For example: http://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/17652-Christian-Vazquez?p=1049028#post1049028
  11. Insults are unbecoming.
  12. Hey! I saw two cold and wet innings of an NCAA Division III game on Saturday and will see five Cactus League games* in three days next month. And then it's on to the regular season ... * 3/12: Mariners at Angels, White Sox at Dodgers; 3/13: Royals at Rockies, Giants at Rangers; 3/14: Brewers at Cubs
  13. Mitch Moreland has a career OPS+ of 100 and a career wRC+ of 98 while Blake Swihart has a career OPS+ of 90 and a career wRC+ of 92. Moreland posted higher wRC+* than Swihart at every level in the minors although Moreland was drafted as 21-year-old out of college while Swihart was drafted as a 19-year-old out of high school. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3086&position=1B http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C I hope Blake Swihart has a long and productive MLB career. I envy Swihart, who plays the game I love at a level I could only dream of. I don't doubt that Swihart strives to be the best he can be. I cannot blame Swihart if the nearly 25-year-old has been the victim of overhype. * wRC+ is scaled to a league average: http://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/wrc/
  14. FanGraphs Depth Charts, Steamer and ZiPS project 2017 wRC+ of: 82, 87 and 77 for Blake Swihart 91, 95 and 86 for Mitch Moreland 89, 88 and 90 for Brock Holt 92, 97 and 86 for Pablo Sandoval 97, 99 and 96 for Chris Young http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3086&position=1B http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=9345&position=3B/OF http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5409&position=3B http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3882&position=OF
  15. Blake Swihart's parents stand by him amid the recent report: https://www.facebook.com/arlan.swihart.batman?pnref=lhc
  16. Meanwhile, FanGraphs Depth Charts and ZiPS are bullish on the Red Sox chances this year: http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=3 http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings#AL-E http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2017-zips-projections-boston-red-sox/
  17. FanGraphs Depth Charts and Steamer project Blake Swihart, a career 92 wRC+ hitter, with a 2017 wRC+ of 87. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C ZiPS projects Swihart, a career 90 OPS+ hitter, with a 2017 OPS+ of 80. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2017-zips-projections-boston-red-sox/ Perhaps the rest of the Red Sox lineup will be strong enough to carry those career or projected hitting statistics at third base or elsewhere. For what it's worth, Pablo Sandoval is projected with a 2017 wRC+ of 97 and a 2017 OPS+ of 91 (Brock Holt 88 and 91).
  18. Did Blake Swihart work on his defensive skills over the offseason? Did Swihart have any reason to do do?
  19. FanGraphs Depth Chart, Steamer and ZiPS suggest that I will: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13265&position=C http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2017-zips-projections-seattle-mariners/ ... as Mike Zunino and Blake Swihart likely regress from their 2016 BABIP of .250 and .348, respectively. Swihart could take as a compliment a comp to Jarrod Saltalamacchia, who is entering his 11th MLB season. Saltalamacchia was 18 years, one month, old when he was taken with the 36th pick of the 2003 draft while Swihart was 19 years, two months, old when he was taken with the 26th pick of the 2011 draft. The switch-hitting catchers peaked at No. 17 (Swihart) and No. 18 (Saltalamacchia) in Baseball America preseason prospect rankings.
  20. Blake Swihart and Jarrod Saltalamacchia may share another characteristic: http://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2017/02/17/notebook-red-sox-catcher-blake-swihart-thrown-for-loop/3KTX6JMAsd2TuvIOZKUEjJ/story.html http://deadspin.com/5539083/jarrod-saltalamacchia-has-a-strange-case-of-the-yips ... or not.
  21. Steamer600, which assumes 450 plate appearances for each catcher, projects 2017 WAR of 1.6 apiece for Christian Vazquez and Sandy Leon, to rank 37th and 38th among all projected catchers: http://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=27%2cd Steamer600 projects Blake Swihart with a 2017 WAR of 1.4 in 600 plate appearances: http://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=3&lg=all&players=0 FanGraphs Depth Charts project a combined 2017 WAR of 2.1 in 640 plate appearances for Leon (1.1 in 352), Vazquez (0.8 in 256) and Swihart (0.1 in 32): http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=3#C ZiPS projects Leon with a 2017 WAR of 1.3 in 276 plate appearances, Vazquez with 1.1 in 357 and Swihart with -0.1 in 342: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2017-zips-projections-boston-red-sox/
  22. Steamer600, which assumes 200 innings for each starting pitcher, projects Chris Sale with the ninth-highest 2017 WAR with the lefthander finishing in a three-way tie for third in RA9-WAR: http://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=19,d http://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=20,d http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2012/9/14/3324826/the-correlation-between-ra9-wins-and-rwar
  23. Daisuke Matsuzaka was Baseball America's top-ranked prospect as a 26-year-old rookie in 2007 while Rusney Castillo was BA's 21st-ranked prospect as a 27-year-old rookie in 2015. http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/rankings/top-100-prospects/2007/263445.html http://www.baseballamerica.com/2015-top-100-prospects/
  24. To be clear, those of the chances of each player posting at least 3 WAR over the six years of team control. Andrew Benintendi falls into a group that averages a combined 15.3 WAR over six seasons, Rafael Devers in a group that averages 13.0 WAR over six seasons and Jason Groome in a group that averages 6.4 WAR over six seasons.
  25. The Red Sox naturally have the highest surplus value on an individual player -- top-ranked Andrew Benintendi -- and a high mean because their four ranked players are highly ranked. However, with relatively few ranked players, the Red Sox have a higher risk factor because they're spreading the risk across fewer players.
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