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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Kyle Schwarber, who is nearly a year younger than Blake Swihart, could still develop as a catcher but probably won't get the chance because his bat is currently ready to play other positions. Swihart could develop as a catcher but his bat probably is not ready to play at other positions.
  2. I entered this discussion about Blake Swihart because I was surprised by his bearish projections from FanGraphs Depth Charts, Steamer and especially ZiPS. I provide projections from all sources I can find. Objectivity is a heavy cross to bear.
  3. I hope Petco Park drains before the World Baseball Classic moves to San Diego on March 14: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C5t90vjVAAI4IO-.jpg:large My wife and daughter were in San Diego today for my daughter's recruiting trip but they did not mention the weather. Their return flight has been delayed by 30 minutes so I'll have late-night pickup duties at the airport.
  4. The hometown crowd also includes Red Sox consultant Bill James and his optimistic 2017 projections for Blake Swihart: http://www.masslive.com/redsox/index.ssf/2016/11/boston_red_sox_2017_projection.html The projected on-base percentage is surprising in light of Swihart's .328 career mark buoyed by a likely unsustainable BABIP of .357.
  5. Major League Baseball reportedly is a strong advocate of the World Baseball Classic. The owners and the players union worked out the details in the Collective Bargaining Agreement. Baseball America reports: http://www.baseballamerica.com/international/2017-world-baseball-classic-notebook/#17wVzYa4ScT8P2xx.99 http://nesn.com/2016/11/mlb-mlbpa-new-cba-agreement-winter-meetings-2016/ http://www.foxsports.com/mlb/story/morosi-2017-world-baseball-classic-could-be-barometer-of-mlb-labor-relations-030514 The owners and players are holding up their respective ends of the agreement. My union negotiates with management for days off; the players union has negotiated with management for job-related outside activity.
  6. Have any players violated "contracted obligations" by playing in the World Baseball Classic? Would a team violate "contracted obligations" by forbidding a player's participation in the World Baseball Classic? I suspect the aggrieved party would enforce the contract if a violation arose. The Seattle Mariners know the risk of WBC participation but have given their blessing this year to Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz, Edwin Diaz, Yovani Gallardo, Tyler O'Neill, Sam Gaviglio, Pat Venditte, Sebastian Valle, Emilio Pagan and possibly Drew Smyly.
  7. I read that: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/travis-sawchik-fangraphs-chat-6/ The career trajectory of Mets catcher Travis d'Arnaud, who is three years older than Blake Swihart, might provide an interesting comp: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/02/make-or-break-year-travis-darnaud.html#comments https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/02/make-or-break-year-travis-darnaud.html#comments ... or not. Like Swihart, d'Arnaud peaked at No. 17 in Baseball America preseason prospect rankings.
  8. In an unattributed direct quote, Peter Gammons reported that "Several teams tried to get in on Swihart, but Dave refused to talk about him." http://www.gammonsdaily.com/peter-gammons-primary-storylines-from-the-winter-meetings/ I rather doubt that Blake Swihart is untouchable. I suspect other teams, looking to buy low, were not willing to offer up talent that would further trade talks.
  9. Some Blake Swihart swings are better than others: http://www.foxsports.com/mlb/story/blake-swihart-hits-first-mlb-home-run-for-red-sox-video-060415 http://m.mlb.com/tor/video/topic/8877962/v772074283/torbos-swihart-loses-bat-on-a-nasty-knuckleball
  10. I understand that Blake Swihart made his MLB debut after only 38 games at Triple A but I would note that Swihart made his MLB debut at age 23 years, 29 days, a more advanced age than the debut ages of four of the six catchers in the 2016 All Star game (and older than the debut ages of Gary Sanchez, Mike Zunino, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Yadier Molina, Joe Mauer, Brian McCann and Kyle Schwarber).
  11. Drawing upon his 383 MLB plate appearances and 1,466 minor league plate appearances, FanGraphs Depth Charts, Steamer and ZiPS project Blake Swihart with 2017 OPS of .693, .710 and .676, respectively, despite solid BABIP of .321, .321 and .320: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C
  12. Putting business ahead of country? The use of the word "trump" got me thinking.
  13. In 383 MLB plate appearances, Blake Swihart has a career OPS of .714 with a likely unsustainable BABIP of .357. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C
  14. Blake Swihart has a career OPS+ of 90 and a career wRC+ of 92 with projected 2017 wRC+ of 82, 87 and 77: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C Swihart has posted only pedestrian wRC+ in 273 plate appearances at Triple A. Swihart's bat may play only if he is a defensively adequate catcher or an exceptional defender elsewhere.
  15. From Friday's FanGraphs chat with columnist Jeff Sullivan: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/jeff-sullivan-fangraphs-chat-22417/
  16. http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2017/1/8/14189138/pecota-zips-steamer-marcel-projection-systems-graded
  17. From Thursday's FanGraphs chat with columnist Dan Szymborski, who developed the ZiPS projections: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/dan-szymborski-fangraphs-chat-22317/
  18. Homers from Mitch Moreland and Sam Travis against Northeastern: Boston Globe beat reporter Pete Abraham suggests a Rusney Castillo solution:
  19. FanGraphs Depth Charts, Steamer and ZiPS project Andrew Benintendi with 2017 OBP of .339, .338 and .341, respectively, along with 12, 10 and 12 home runs: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=17901&position=OF The 2017 WAR projections come in at 1.9, 1.4 and 2.1 while the wRC+ is projected at 105, 104 and 106.
  20. Agreed again.
  21. That's what gives this Seattle fan hope.
  22. You and I agree.
  23. For example: http://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/17652-Christian-Vazquez?p=1049028#post1049028
  24. Insults are unbecoming.
  25. Hey! I saw two cold and wet innings of an NCAA Division III game on Saturday and will see five Cactus League games* in three days next month. And then it's on to the regular season ... * 3/12: Mariners at Angels, White Sox at Dodgers; 3/13: Royals at Rockies, Giants at Rangers; 3/14: Brewers at Cubs
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