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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. “Use old stats; the math is easier!” How did MLB miss out on that slogan? The real big problem here is MLB needs to successfully market itself to a new generation, and we have an older generation telling them how to appreciate with old stats. The new stats are not the problem. The math doesn’t matter. Kids don’t watch sports for the math. In fact, many of them don’t like math. But you know what they actually do like? Looking stuff up on their phones. They don’t care how fWAR is calculated; they only care that it’s accessible…
  2. Oh you mean like the value you see in Torres no one else sees? The A’s traded away two arb years of the more valuable Matt Chapman. They didn’t do that to squeeze the lesser Gleyber Torres on to the roster…
  3. Conforto is still out there. Just sayin’
  4. But my point is that back in 1888, when casual fans talked about pitching, do you think ERA was the hot topic? “Tim Keefe had a 1.74 ERA this year. They should name an award after him.” “Well how many games did he win?” “35.” “So… less than two years ago? He’s slowing down” “But his ERA was 1.74. That’s better than two years ago.” “What in the name of President Garfield is ERA?” “Why you just take earned runs and divide by innings pitch then multiply by nine.” “With what? My slide rule? No one is going to invent the pocket calculator for 60 years!” “But it’s a new smarter better way to look at pitching!” “You can stick your ERA or whatever under the giant front wheel of my old timey bicycle. Wins are good enough for me, thank you.”
  5. I considered Vlad, but I wanted a middle infielder. Ohtani was a stupid omission on my part…
  6. Of course WAR is not the only analytic. Don’t forget this new wave started with simple math stats like FIP and OPS…
  7. Ok. Open discussion question. If you were to market MLB around 5 players, who would you choose? Top three seem like slam dunks - Trout, Betts, and Acuna. Next two? I’ll pick Tatis and Buehler. But there are ton of potentially good answers here…
  8. The issue was the inclusion of Torres, not the absence of the plus. The A’s have acquired 10 players via three trades and none of them are arbitration-eligible. They are not going to change this practice to help out the Yankee farm system. They have actually been prone to mild ripoffs using the BTV calculator. But regardless any deal with NY will focus solely on prospects and not on Torres at all…
  9. I’m (not so) secretly rooting for Yolmer Sanchez to win the 2b job…
  10. So the Athletics would be all over trading away their arbitration eligible players to acquire another arbitration eligible player? The A’s want no part of Torres. They’re cleaning house of as many players as possible that are in his exact same contract position…
  11. Not only does Bloom project an improved SLG, but he also projects your nipples to be thoroughly tweaked…
  12. You know, I was saying that just the other day to A-Rod…
  13. If Story goes to the Cardinals, trade for Paul DeJong. He’s basically Story, but $20mill cheaper…
  14. Who? Larry? Oh what the heck. Larry? Trade Bogaerts!!
  15. That also works…
  16. Oodles of it…
  17. Because that makes no sense…
  18. He would have been better off lumped in with Travis Shaw…
  19. Hey that signing looks bigger and bigger every time Sale sneezes…
  20. The bottom line is, at some point someone introduced ERA as a stat in a era where pitchers where solely judged by wins and losses. ERA, when compared to wins, is much more complicated and it was a whole new way of looking at pitching. Fifty years from now, when dWAR is on the backs of baseball cards and as mainstream as Apple pie and crystal meth, the new analytical fans will be eschewing it in favor of some new wave of analytical stats based on video input through 4 dimensional hyperspace…
  21. Analytics. Some might remember Earl Weaver’s logic for sticking it out with a 4 man rotation. “It’s easier to find 4 good pitchers than it is to find 5.” Jim Palmer, Mike Flanagan, and Scott MacGregor still give thanks every day that Weaver never extended this logic to a 3 man rotation…
  22. Close what? He throws fewer strikes in baseball than I do in bowling…
  23. Current state per my best guess C: Vazquez 1b: Dalbec. Presumably Casas at some point. 2b: E Hernandez? Arroyo once hurt himself catching a throw. I think he’s good, but there are legitimate durability concerns. (But he might fit in with a platoon with JBJ.) SS: Bogaerts 3b: Devers LF: Duran? Conforto is still available! CF: JBJ, with Kike stepping in vs LHP and Arroyo taking 2b. RF: Verdugo DH: JDM Rotation: Eovaldi, Pivetta, Hill, Wacha, Houcklock. Eovaldi’s health is paramount here. BP: Houclock part 2, Barnes, Brasier, Diekman, Strahm, Taylor, Sawamura and maybe Davis? Pretty left-handed bullpen here. D Hernandez doesn’t fix this. Maybe Seabold? Not sure who is joining Plawecki and Arroyo on the bench, but an outfielder might be nice…
  24. I’ve touted this banner a few times. It is easy for me, since I bear no responsibility if he flops. If Bloom just isn’t looking, not good. If he passed on Bradley due to medical issues or injury history, that at least makes sense to me. I get that Sale’s replacement is probably Houck or Whitlock. But at some point that does mean you need to backfill Houck or Whitlock…
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