notin
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Everything posted by notin
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But most of the correlations are so vague. If there was any magic formula for winning a title, every team would do it. But that magic formula simply doesn’t exist. And even if the Sox signed no one this off-season and then won the title, we slay have prime free agents. Certainly Story should qualify. Or Kike…
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This is another generalization where criteria gets melded to fit the statement. Sort of like “you need an ace to win the World Series” Or you need a close. Now you need a free agent. The problem is there are guests exceptions. And quite often the rules for what fits get redefined to support the initial postulate. The reality is - there are no rules. Other than winning at the right time…
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Rule? There are no rules.
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The 2015 Royals didn’t win a World Series?
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The President of the Devers for President Club chooses Judge? Ok if those parameters are too far apart, when does it get closer? Devers - 10years $320mill Judge 8 years $275mmill ??
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Not even remotely part of the question…
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And then of course there is the perennial rebuttal to every “all World Series champions” sweeping generalizations - the 2015 Royals. Unless of course Edinson Volquez qualifies as a prime free agent somehow…
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If you can’t trust Goat Boy, who can you trust?
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I’ll call Bloom. You call Bill Schmidt…
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The definition of “prime free agent” will be taken as loosely as possible, I see. The reality is the Yankees started going heavy into actual prime free agents like Mike Mussina and Jason Giambi, and that was when they STOPPED winning titles…
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Rendon was older than Devers when he signed, but at age 26 his 12 career fWAR did trail Devers at that age. Over the next 3 years, Rendon would be worth nearly 19 fWAR. Devers certainly could do that, but will he?
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So say it comes down to this: Devers wants 10 years $350mill Judge wants 7 years $260mill Who do you sign?
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The 1996-2000 Yankees?
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That’s why they hired Bobby Valentine. The hired s manager they KNEW would be a problem. If the team succeeded, they can blame Tito and call themselves genius problem-solvers. If the team failed, they can say it proves the manager was the problem…
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Or Japan to foster more geographically-impaired baseball stars…
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BTV gives Marquez a surplus value of $4.3mill, making Matt Lugo ($5.6mill) a more than adequate return by that standard…
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Will Devers settle for a 7 year deal like Rendon did? Are you suggesting a 7 year $266mill contract? Or a 10 year $380mill contract? And are we defining fair market value as “what the player wants”?
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Devers was worth 4.9 fWAR. Judge was worth 11.4 fWAR. Judge could decrease a lot while Devers improves a lot and still be better and hypothetically cheaper. I don’t think it’s such an easy question. Although a lot depends on Judge’s actual demands…
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Can we get a smarter troll? Maybe one who can read at the fourth grade level???
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Not really…
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The question then is - what’s a fair market contract for Devers? Is he really a $300mill player? What might get interesting is if Judge at age 30 isn’t a $300mill player. Every player who has signed a $300mill contract was at least three younger than Judge when they signed. (Edit: Gerrit Cole was actually one year younger.) So if Devers wants $300mill and Judge is looking like $280mill, who do you sign?
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The lowball offer to Devers appears to be the same offer Austin Reilly accepted. And interestingly, Reilly has been the better player over the last two seasons…
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I’m sure he will be, but that doesn’t mean the Sox will make the best offer. Or relocate to the west coast where the bulk of those Japanese players sign…
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But would you prefer Devers and Judge over that pair? Even taking into account Judge’s potentially exorbitant contract?
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I’ve been saying that since 2019. Except I didn’t ask Bloom to do it back then
